Realized P&L
-$489
Unrealized P&L
+$5.61K
Hit rate
1.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,602
lifetime
Volume
$252.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$21.8K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
81% 50% $-355
Politics
16% 0% $-134
Sports
3%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +15,788 $9,877 99¢ $15.6K +$5,714 06-14 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11,138 $5,073 46¢ $5.2K +$106 07-22 00:05
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +751 $270 37¢ $278 +$8 07-20 18:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,572 $440 12¢ $189 $-252 07-01 23:54
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +433 $152 40¢ $171 +$19 07-11 15:01
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +3,088 $120 $108 $-12 07-20 23:42
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -106 $-61 77¢ $-82 $-21 06-10 00:19
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes -170 $-85 38¢ $-64 +$21 06-24 14:01
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +288 $37 22¢ $63 +$26 07-16 19:29
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +240 $26 15¢ $36 +$10 07-15 18:23
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +52 $32 62¢ $33 +$1 07-19 16:22
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +127 $32 18¢ $22 $-9 07-16 16:56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? Yes +71 $7 12¢ $8 +$1 07-11 10:17