Daring-President — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$489

Unrealized P&L

+$4.47K

Hit rate

1.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,543

lifetime

Volume

$236.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

$23.0K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-24 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

80% 50% $-355

Politics

17% 0% $-134

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+11,904	$8,433	99¢	$11.8K	+$3,387	06-15 04:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+15,788	$9,877	70¢	$11.0K	+$1,096	06-14 06:13
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	-106	$-61	80¢	$-85	$-24	06-10 00:19
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	-170	$-85	43¢	$-73	+$12	06-24 14:01
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	+84	$53	60¢	$51	$-2	05-31 16:13
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	+62	$28	53¢	$33	+$5	06-22 16:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	178	$51.1K	44,663	44,663	+0	open	—	04-27 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	39	$21.6K	14,775	14,775	+0	open	—	05-27 15:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	21	$12.8K	7,815	7,815	-0	open	—	05-26 18:31
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	33	$12.4K	8,183	9,243	-1,060	open	—	02-16 05:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	30	$11.8K	17,665	1,877	+15,788	open	—	06-14 06:13
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	55	$9.8K	9,010	9,010	-0	open	—	02-16 05:33
will trump say china during the state of the union address	5	$8.8K	8,609	8,609	+0	open	—	02-25 05:22
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	33	$8.5K	6,222	6,315	-93	open	—	02-16 05:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$8.4K	11,904	0	+11,904	open	—	06-15 04:49
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	31	$8.1K	5,950	5,950	+0	open	—	02-16 05:42
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	21	$5.4K	4,032	4,032	+0	open	—	02-16 05:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$5.0K	0	6,627	-6,627	open	—	06-07 19:30
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	25	$3.7K	1,987	1,987	-0	open	—	04-17 04:48
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	23	$3.4K	1,851	1,851	+0	open	—	04-26 17:55
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	63	$3.3K	8,140	1,028	+7,113	open	—	02-10 06:46
will there be 6 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	3	$3.1K	1,571	1,571	-0	open	—	01-26 02:17
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	100	$2.7K	10,131	4,106	+6,025	open	—	01-26 18:36
will there be 14 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	115	$2.4K	12,094	5,979	+6,115	open	—	01-26 03:24
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	20	$2.4K	9,859	3,358	+6,501	open	—	02-27 13:18
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	15	$2.4K	1,864	2,049	-185	open	—	02-16 05:33
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	10	$2.1K	1,592	1,487	+105	open	—	04-20 23:13
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9 12	5	$2.1K	1,184	1,067	+117	open	—	04-22 05:02
Kash Patel out by May 31?	30	$1.9K	9,036	1,088	+7,948	open	—	05-17 22:51
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	20	$1.9K	3,887	0	+3,887	open	—	01-26 05:19
Kash Patel out by April 30?	61	$1.7K	9,273	3,435	+5,838	open	—	04-30 21:40
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	16	$1.7K	2,175	655	+1,519	open	—	04-27 22:02
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$1.7K	1,838	0	+1,838	open	—	03-19 19:46
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	16	$1.7K	4,056	1,021	+3,036	open	—	05-14 04:49
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	32	$1.5K	4,376	3,512	+864	open	—	01-20 19:52
trump announces attorney general pick by april 17 2026	15	$1.5K	1,063	906	+158	open	—	04-17 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 14:01:49	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	170	50¢	$85	0xcd2b44…
06-22 16:02:11	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	62	46¢	$28	0x54ad83…
06-15 04:49:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	220	70¢	$154	0x2fd376…
06-15 00:21:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0076e7…
06-15 00:17:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	190	71¢	$135	0x727a4c…
06-15 00:15:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	345	71¢	$245	0x198d8e…
06-15 00:13:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x82bef9…
06-15 00:13:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x342dc4…
06-15 00:03:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	380	72¢	$274	0x06a7b0…
06-15 00:03:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	242	71¢	$172	0xbbef86…
06-15 00:01:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	147	71¢	$104	0xed6a50…
06-14 23:59:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xca5fff…
06-14 23:58:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x08a34f…
06-14 23:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcd93ab…
06-14 23:57:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x290566…
06-14 23:57:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	172	71¢	$122	0x5716a6…
06-14 23:57:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	118	71¢	$84	0x9fb621…
06-14 23:57:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,853	71¢	$4,156	0x952253…
06-14 14:52:39	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	No	BUY	399	51¢	$203	0xa20758…
06-14 06:13:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	240	44¢	$106	0x493670…
06-14 06:08:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	415	44¢	$183	0x37c7c1…
06-14 06:07:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	442	44¢	$194	0x534a95…
06-13 14:03:13	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x5f5405…
06-13 06:15:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	46	51¢	$24	0xbe9bd3…
06-13 06:15:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	56	51¢	$28	0x01c977…
06-13 05:57:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	192	51¢	$98	0x22a69e…
06-13 05:56:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x82dd2f…
06-13 05:56:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x864b5e…
06-13 05:56:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0xf20e6c…
06-13 05:53:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,220	51¢	$622	0x3264ba…
06-13 05:53:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	325	52¢	$169	0x944b42…
06-12 22:06:00	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb46910…
06-12 22:05:10	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x79dbfb…
06-12 21:00:36	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x9ba9ee…
06-12 20:00:58	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x17595e…
06-12 16:06:34	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0x981500…
06-11 19:34:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	384	52¢	$200	0xf353f6…
06-11 19:34:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x61a0c3…
06-11 05:55:25	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0xc4fb2f…
06-11 04:24:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3,108	74¢	$2,300	0x17f2d4…
06-10 13:14:04	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	BUY	72	58¢	$41	0x2fe17b…
06-10 03:43:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,390	70¢	$973	0x8cb02a…
06-10 03:41:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$0	0x945559…
06-10 03:41:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,909	69¢	$2,007	0x49c212…
06-10 03:31:12	Will Chris Mathys advance from the CA-22 Primary?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xce9649…
06-10 03:30:12	Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x22dd5f…
06-10 00:19:52	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	SELL	106	57¢	$61	0x0e3e55…
06-09 03:21:22	Will Chris Mathys advance from the CA-22 Primary?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf8749d…
06-07 19:30:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	2,727	79¢	$2,156	0x707cee…
06-06 17:45:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1,000	74¢	$740	0x1c1e4f…
06-06 01:21:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x0ce239…
06-05 23:55:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	843	66¢	$556	0x96f7a7…
06-05 19:10:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,687	66¢	$1,113	0xfd4b52…
06-05 15:46:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	735	82¢	$603	0x96cd94…
06-05 15:42:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,411	65¢	$917	0x5c1b25…
06-03 23:53:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	54	66¢	$36	0x05fe8b…
06-03 23:52:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	56	66¢	$37	0x8e7d08…
06-03 23:52:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0x1d6106…
06-03 23:51:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	147	66¢	$97	0xc9e94a…
06-03 23:43:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xff2ff7…
06-03 23:42:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	114	66¢	$76	0xd24fa1…
06-03 03:35:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	2,900	71¢	$2,059	0x219560…
05-31 16:13:22	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	84	63¢	$53	0x640e92…
05-30 14:02:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	338	67¢	$226	0x82591c…
05-30 14:01:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,365	67¢	$915	0x1ab6d6…
05-30 14:00:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	520	67¢	$348	0x0341a4…
05-30 13:58:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,459	47¢	$686	0xdc8cfd…
05-30 13:57:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,718	46¢	$790	0x726996…
05-30 13:56:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	430	67¢	$288	0x623f00…
05-28 17:06:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1,396	89¢	$1,242	0xf6bc31…
05-27 20:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0x4c30b1…
05-27 15:58:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,901	99¢	$2,872	0x434bd9…
05-26 18:31:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,115	81¢	$899	0xb8083b…
05-26 18:23:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	184	81¢	$149	0x59c592…
05-26 18:19:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	650	80¢	$518	0xda97b5…
05-26 18:02:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	934	79¢	$741	0xd6744b…
05-26 16:53:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x6221f9…
05-26 16:52:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	362	80¢	$291	0xf73913…
05-26 16:47:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	2,000	81¢	$1,612	0xd59886…
05-26 14:05:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	823	79¢	$652	0x024f7c…
05-26 13:52:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	870	79¢	$688	0x36743b…
05-26 13:52:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x048192…
05-26 02:30:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,735	98¢	$2,672	0xa7f46e…
05-26 01:00:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6,054	98¢	$5,904	0x8e3b9b…
05-25 23:28:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	358	74¢	$264	0x993dab…
05-25 23:28:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	405	74¢	$300	0x4adea6…
05-25 22:44:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,585	97¢	$2,509	0x2cf0c2…
05-23 17:58:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	577	84¢	$482	0xa96e31…
05-23 17:57:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	3,000	83¢	$2,504	0x9fe3bf…
05-21 04:06:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	214	84¢	$180	0x4a2a21…
05-21 03:36:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	390	84¢	$328	0xdb8331…
05-17 22:51:41	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$50	0xc22db5…
05-17 00:23:45	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	528	13¢	$69	0x83828c…
05-15 12:54:58	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x94ff8d…
05-14 14:59:07	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	Yes	BUY	194	40¢	$78	0xdf7853…
05-14 04:49:14	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	28¢	$83	0xa69075…
05-14 04:48:46	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	246	27¢	$67	0xe4beda…
05-12 19:23:11	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0x21aa80…
05-11 18:35:20	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xa01a98…
05-05 13:52:12	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	115	72¢	$83	0x4aff09…