Daring-President — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$489

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,647

lifetime

Volume

$263.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-04 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

82% 50% $-355

Politics

16% 0% $-134

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	178	$51.1K	44,663	44,663	+0	open	—	04-27 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	39	$21.6K	14,775	14,775	+0	open	—	05-27 15:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	34	$16.1K	17,665	6,146	+11,519	open	—	08-02 16:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	21	$12.8K	7,815	7,815	-0	open	—	05-26 18:31
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	33	$12.4K	8,183	9,243	-1,060	open	—	02-16 05:44
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	55	$9.8K	9,010	9,010	-0	open	—	02-16 05:33
will trump say china during the state of the union address	5	$8.8K	8,609	8,609	+0	open	—	02-25 05:22
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	33	$8.5K	6,222	6,315	-93	open	—	02-16 05:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$8.4K	11,904	0	+11,904	open	—	06-15 04:49
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	31	$8.1K	5,950	5,950	+0	open	—	02-16 05:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$7.2K	15,497	0	+15,497	open	—	07-30 03:54
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	21	$5.4K	4,032	4,032	+0	open	—	02-16 05:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$5.0K	0	6,627	-6,627	open	—	06-07 19:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$4.1K	4,823	0	+4,823	open	—	07-21 05:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	4	$3.9K	3,158	2,119	+1,039	open	—	08-04 18:35
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	25	$3.7K	1,987	1,987	-0	open	—	04-17 04:48
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	23	$3.4K	1,851	1,851	+0	open	—	04-26 17:55
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	63	$3.3K	8,140	1,028	+7,113	open	—	02-10 06:46
will there be 6 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	3	$3.1K	1,571	1,571	-0	open	—	01-26 02:17
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	100	$2.7K	10,131	4,106	+6,025	open	—	01-26 18:36
will there be 14 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	115	$2.4K	12,094	5,979	+6,115	open	—	01-26 03:24
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	20	$2.4K	9,859	3,358	+6,501	open	—	02-27 13:18
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	15	$2.4K	1,864	2,049	-185	open	—	02-16 05:33
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	10	$2.1K	1,592	1,487	+105	open	—	04-20 23:13
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9 12	5	$2.1K	1,184	1,067	+117	open	—	04-22 05:02
Kash Patel out by May 31?	30	$1.9K	9,036	1,088	+7,948	open	—	05-17 22:51
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	20	$1.9K	3,887	0	+3,887	open	—	01-26 05:19
Kash Patel out by April 30?	61	$1.7K	9,273	3,435	+5,838	open	—	04-30 21:40
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	16	$1.7K	2,175	655	+1,519	open	—	04-27 22:02
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$1.7K	1,838	0	+1,838	open	—	03-19 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 18:35:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	435	71¢	$309	0x3c8c6d…
08-04 18:21:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	90	71¢	$64	0x322422…
08-04 18:08:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	1,594	71¢	$1,132	0x210e79…
08-02 20:16:53	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	SELL	477	32¢	$153	0xe728b7…
08-02 16:45:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x3ef573…
08-02 16:42:26	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x5abc8b…
08-02 16:39:17	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	105	16¢	$17	0xc777d4…
08-02 16:22:17	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	385	57¢	$220	0xb42592…
08-01 20:40:59	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	231	4¢	$9	0xaed107…
08-01 15:10:41	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	SELL	519	96¢	$498	0x7de4d3…
08-01 13:49:30	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x201e9f…
08-01 13:33:50	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 15 20260710184334566	No	BUY	154	37¢	$57	0xdaaeb3…
08-01 13:33:38	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 15 20260710184334566	No	BUY	154	37¢	$57	0xe19a14…
07-31 18:08:18	will mike lee vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926659	No	BUY	130	53¢	$69	0xeda136…
07-31 16:34:36	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x0bcf41…
07-31 16:33:56	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	BUY	392	43¢	$169	0x2ae6e3…
07-31 16:32:36	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	BUY	777	43¢	$334	0xb6bff0…
07-30 04:05:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x161299…
07-30 03:54:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0x68ad30…
07-30 03:44:30	will the uptspt lift caatsa sanctions on turkey by december 31 2026 20260708213004787	Yes	BUY	154	58¢	$89	0xcb004d…
07-30 02:34:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x7d1ab9…
07-30 01:51:11	will the uptspt lift caatsa sanctions on turkey by december 31 2026 20260708213004787	Yes	BUY	170	55¢	$94	0x0eaf94…
07-30 01:50:00	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	86	82¢	$71	0xc44409…
07-30 00:20:14	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	BUY	235	6¢	$14	0x317c63…
07-29 18:17:30	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	BUY	865	31¢	$269	0x544891…
07-29 18:17:29	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x7b1285…
07-29 18:16:42	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723190142925	Yes	BUY	218	17¢	$38	0x3d1ec3…
07-29 18:15:41	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 15 20260710184334566	No	BUY	154	35¢	$53	0xfd348c…
07-26 14:36:55	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x724d46…
07-24 20:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	269	99¢	$267	0xae3462…
07-24 13:17:31	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	89	4¢	$4	0x4b7ca6…
07-24 01:27:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x65fa2d…
07-24 00:42:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x87c5a9…
07-24 00:42:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	585	48¢	$281	0x5e52e2…
07-24 00:41:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	770	48¢	$370	0x6c248c…
07-23 22:59:09	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x6ce535…
07-23 22:52:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	654	46¢	$302	0x68dda1…
07-23 21:31:40	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0xe02c14…
07-23 21:31:40	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x6b70c3…
07-23 21:28:46	first round outright winner in the sc special republican senate primary 20260721230048140	No	BUY	308	74¢	$229	0xc1a24d…
07-23 04:19:04	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	Yes	BUY	155	72¢	$111	0x037e9b…
07-23 02:14:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x929bfe…
07-23 00:21:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xda2544…
07-22 01:13:52	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	SELL	107	29¢	$31	0x51fed9…
07-22 00:05:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,540	47¢	$724	0xc370b9…
07-21 20:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,308	46¢	$602	0x1b5d96…
07-21 20:35:21	will digger be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	218	30¢	$65	0xd728d3…
07-21 18:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,423	46¢	$655	0x8700af…
07-21 18:36:31	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	146	74¢	$107	0xd1134e…
07-21 17:33:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	271	46¢	$125	0xa734cf…
07-21 06:47:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,596	45¢	$1,618	0xf240ba…
07-21 06:44:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,000	45¢	$1,350	0x333ecb…
07-21 05:08:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	3,158	76¢	$2,400	0x8f562d…
07-21 05:07:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	4,823	86¢	$4,148	0x503a56…
07-20 23:42:54	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	305	3¢	$10	0x13a374…
07-20 18:58:46	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	751	36¢	$270	0x5a6499…
07-20 13:54:15	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	96	36¢	$35	0xa19848…
07-19 18:30:25	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	Yes	BUY	58	63¢	$36	0x788370…
07-19 16:22:37	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	BUY	52	61¢	$32	0xd15082…
07-19 16:21:49	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0xf54606…
07-18 18:52:58	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	132	13¢	$17	0xf88882…
07-17 20:16:45	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	185	18¢	$33	0x43eb4a…
07-17 18:23:00	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	81	40¢	$32	0xfaf254…
07-17 15:11:07	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	91	18¢	$16	0x2dea6c…
07-17 15:10:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	165	18¢	$30	0x5d30a7…
07-17 15:10:45	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	482	18¢	$87	0x15b722…
07-17 05:10:24	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	579	4¢	$22	0x420242…
07-16 19:29:05	Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	288	13¢	$37	0x8c7003…
07-16 16:56:23	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	25¢	$32	0xaa76c5…
07-16 16:18:46	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	Yes	BUY	109	71¢	$77	0x1e2d10…
07-16 12:13:13	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	222	3¢	$7	0xc66b0f…
07-16 12:11:40	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	78	38¢	$30	0x9c05da…
07-15 23:39:32	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	262	3¢	$8	0x01dea1…
07-15 23:16:47	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	240	29¢	$70	0xe07b98…
07-15 18:35:19	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe8d714…
07-15 18:24:19	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	Yes	BUY	234	75¢	$175	0x6f5590…
07-15 18:23:05	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	240	11¢	$26	0x411482…
07-15 18:21:44	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by september 30 20260626182353439	No	BUY	260	72¢	$187	0x455ec4…
07-15 18:21:01	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by july 30 20260626182353438	No	BUY	980	94¢	$926	0xa699d3…
07-15 15:56:11	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	BUY	101	80¢	$81	0xa3292e…
07-15 13:30:08	will the safeguarding swiss neutrality neutrality initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote 20260713144919277	Yes	BUY	541	9¢	$49	0x471091…
07-15 13:29:02	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	Yes	BUY	113	34¢	$38	0xb7878f…
07-15 13:27:46	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	310	5¢	$16	0x4e847e…
07-15 13:22:16	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xa80ba4…
07-14 14:45:20	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	231	5¢	$12	0xc82ab6…
07-14 14:43:35	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	No	BUY	235	13¢	$30	0x4ed50c…
07-14 14:42:40	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	107	37¢	$40	0xf12ca1…
07-14 05:30:37	us treasury transactions on blockchain by december 31 20260629152656715	No	BUY	205	88¢	$180	0x73b0c1…
07-13 23:50:34	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	Yes	BUY	207	57¢	$118	0x4ff486…
07-12 15:04:31	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	125	35¢	$44	0xcd9c1f…
07-11 15:01:10	Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0xadaa82…
07-11 10:17:40	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0x91d1c0…
07-09 16:57:44	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	1,031	4¢	$40	0xf8b525…
07-06 20:36:22	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x052501…
07-06 03:28:04	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	172	40¢	$69	0x194c30…
07-05 15:54:32	Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	381	35¢	$133	0x3d17e0…
07-04 20:54:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	221	11¢	$24	0xb2a2bb…
07-04 20:54:23	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	509	11¢	$56	0xf4623f…
07-04 20:53:22	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	No	BUY	125	7¢	$8	0xa8f74e…
07-03 13:58:43	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	597	7¢	$43	0x304ffa…