Realized P&L (90d)
+$30.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.64K
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved (90d)
79
Trades (90d)
265
2,452 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$44.2K
$370.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$20.2K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 14:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
76% 48% +$53,237
Politics
17% 41% +$4,054
Tech
4% 100% +$2,524
Sports
3% 46% -$580
Crypto
0% 50% -$99
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20,241 $10,227 88¢ $17.9K +$7,686 08-25 15:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +1,420 $576 45¢ $639 +$64 10-21 17:47
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,162 $248 24¢ $530 +$281 10-09 07:55
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +289 $118 84¢ $244 +$126 06-10 00:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -512 -$143 44¢ $-223 -$79 08-22 01:00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,572 $440 14¢ $220 -$220 07-01 23:54
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +192 $152 86¢ $165 +$14 07-21 02:14
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +120 $91 88¢ $106 +$15 07-23 22:59
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +1,370 $245 7¢ $96 -$149 10-15 00:50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +248 $25 15¢ $36 +$11 08-23 20:47
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +3,408 $133 1¢ $26 -$108 08-01 20:40
Blue wave in 2026? No +95 $15 15¢ $14 -$1 05-05 13:53
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -127 -$14 8¢ $-10 +$4 05-26 14:42