Realized P&L
-$130
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
14.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
115
lifetime
Volume
$3.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$1.47K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
75% 33% $-130
Politics
25%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +600 $454 86¢ $519 +$65 07-13 18:07
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +319 $256 79¢ $252 $-4 07-22 20:26
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -289 $-194 66¢ $-189 +$4 07-14 01:46
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +172 $138 95¢ $163 +$25 06-09 12:27
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +427 $155 38¢ $162 +$7 07-19 17:01
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +114 $39 34¢ $39 $-0 06-17 02:42
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +157 $37 21¢ $33 $-4 07-16 18:35
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +240 $29 12¢ $30 +$1 05-30 23:59
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +188 $19 15¢ $27 +$8 07-06 14:12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +445 $67 $15 $-52 07-06 00:48
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? Yes +69 $10 18¢ $13 +$3 07-07 19:25
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +78 $21 16¢ $12 $-9 06-02 18:14
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +100 $8 11¢ $11 +$4 06-08 15:03
Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? No +17 $5 22¢ $4 $-1 07-22 20:37