Aromatic-Carter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$666

Unrealized P&L

-$320

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

742

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$2.03K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

76% 50% +$443

Politics

22% 75% +$223

Crypto

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+613	$247	84¢	$512	+$265	10-26 01:06
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	-400	-$264	77¢	$-308	-$44	07-28 12:20
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	+274	$238	95¢	$260	+$22	08-25 23:44
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	+800	$222	23¢	$184	-$38	10-05 17:42
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	+169	$106	96¢	$163	+$57	09-10 22:30
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+157	$101	88¢	$139	+$38	10-01 12:08
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	+800	$451	12¢	$92	-$359	10-01 01:24
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+717	$133	11¢	$75	-$58	10-23 12:01
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	+800	$112	8¢	$60	-$52	10-20 18:30
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	+700	$89	8¢	$54	-$35	08-24 02:21
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+753	$137	7¢	$53	-$84	10-02 21:12
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+240	$29	13¢	$31	+$2	05-30 23:59
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+157	$37	12¢	$18	-$18	07-16 18:35
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	+145	$3	9¢	$13	+$10	09-18 15:36
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-100	-$18	13¢	$-13	+$5	08-24 12:41
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+643	$23	2¢	$12	-$11	10-15 00:49
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+67	-$136	16¢	$11	+$147	09-20 01:37
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	+495	$153	2¢	$10	-$143	10-05 08:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-100	-$9	10¢	$-9	$0	09-25 13:06
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+61	$33	14¢	$9	-$24	10-20 00:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	60	$3.8K	4,039	3,239	+800	open	—	10-02 12:26
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	24	$1.5K	1,943	1,143	+800	Yes	+$398	10-09 23:31
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	41	$1.3K	1,885	1,577	+308	open	—	10-20 14:13
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	16	$1.3K	958	958	+0	No	+$69	09-30 20:33
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	19	$1.0K	1,189	981	+208	open	—	10-23 01:41
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	23	$1.0K	1,567	887	+680	open	—	10-26 01:06
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	20	$930	1,421	998	+423	Yes	+$315	08-18 12:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	7	$893	800	800	+0	open	—	10-26 13:20
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	5	$821	600	390	+210	Yes	+$123	08-14 20:48
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	10	$795	813	461	+352	open	—	10-17 05:53
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	19	$727	851	851	+0	open	—	10-18 22:02
Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	9	$716	800	0	+800	open	—	10-05 15:17
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	10	$706	445	445	+0	open	—	09-24 12:07
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	32	$697	895	576	+319	open	—	09-27 16:03
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	16	$661	1,061	661	+400	open	—	10-05 17:42
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	10	$642	600	286	+315	open	—	10-01 12:08
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	29	$608	1,595	795	+800	open	—	10-20 18:30
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	5	$575	435	266	+169	open	—	09-10 22:30
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	25	$573	1,836	1,036	+800	Yes	-$75	10-09 01:15
will china have an ebola case in 2026	17	$537	700	0	+700	open	—	08-23 06:00
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	6	$409	500	500	+0	Yes	-$53	04-25 15:40
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	11	$391	607	0	+607	open	—	09-27 20:46
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	6	$390	332	236	+96	open	—	10-05 08:50
Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	2	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	10-19 14:17
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	8	$322	505	505	+0	open	—	08-28 15:58
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	7	$319	375	0	+375	open	—	09-29 14:21
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	9	$316	418	0	+418	open	—	10-03 20:44
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	12	$301	371	310	+61	open	—	10-20 00:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	6	$292	718	0	+718	open	—	10-20 23:08
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	10	$291	368	368	+0	No	+$46	05-21 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:48:20	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0xe38926…
10-26 13:20:39	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	275	63¢	$174	0xeede61…
10-26 13:18:11	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	525	64¢	$333	0x118a63…
10-26 10:10:53	Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	73	8¢	$6	0x6b8796…
10-26 01:06:42	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	75	79¢	$59	0x03e229…
10-25 17:51:29	Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	34	55¢	$19	0x69889f…
10-25 15:19:20	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	110	79¢	$87	0x27ca50…
10-25 15:11:14	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	69	80¢	$55	0x0a671a…
10-25 12:43:38	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xffaff0…
10-25 12:43:38	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x899ac6…
10-25 08:16:21	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x49518a…
10-25 01:25:05	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xd56ebc…
10-25 00:37:21	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x870e7c…
10-24 18:18:11	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6f32a1…
10-24 18:18:09	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	43¢	$86	0x91a889…
10-24 17:11:44	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x5fa35c…
10-24 16:21:08	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4d099d…
10-24 14:50:38	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0xa0110a…
10-24 14:47:56	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x9971e5…
10-24 12:31:39	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x7440ec…
10-24 11:10:02	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x1da3da…
10-24 10:58:05	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x3dd353…
10-24 01:03:26	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x9a6622…
10-23 23:56:02	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x0073de…
10-23 22:38:30	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x10022b…
10-23 17:33:17	Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	53¢	$43	0x3cabfe…
10-23 12:01:42	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x581582…
10-23 03:43:30	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x896fc1…
10-23 01:41:41	Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xcbd400…
10-22 20:28:05	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0xc57275…
10-22 20:05:41	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x0654ba…
10-22 20:00:08	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x0d906b…
10-22 18:10:53	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x16fa09…
10-22 17:06:47	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x5011e8…
10-22 17:03:51	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	58	32¢	$19	0x1aa9ca…
10-22 11:48:53	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x78865c…
10-22 11:15:11	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x06a1c8…
10-22 10:58:08	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x6dab84…
10-22 10:50:38	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xbc5daf…
10-22 10:08:15	Will XRP reach $6.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$1	0x92c001…
10-22 06:16:52	Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0xac0fce…
10-22 02:58:08	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0xcb27f6…
10-21 09:41:27	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	207	9¢	$19	0x776eb2…
10-21 08:30:14	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xeeacb5…
10-21 07:59:59	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x539a79…
10-21 07:57:23	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xc4cb15…
10-21 04:04:51	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xb89d00…
10-21 03:32:18	Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	98	11¢	$11	0x6284b8…
10-21 02:54:38	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xbfb513…
10-20 23:08:02	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	208	40¢	$83	0x3ed67b…
10-20 18:30:45	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	130	11¢	$14	0x4de668…
10-20 15:37:09	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	72	20¢	$14	0x954240…
10-20 14:32:02	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x6209b6…
10-20 14:13:30	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x093b2c…
10-20 13:10:20	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x7f72ef…
10-20 13:07:39	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x5dbf8f…
10-20 12:57:50	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x945cb9…
10-20 05:03:38	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x7ddf6c…
10-20 04:36:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xc04723…
10-20 00:48:24	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2b87cb…
10-19 16:18:12	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x9bdf49…
10-19 14:17:15	Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x0c2622…
10-19 14:05:51	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0xd4fa4b…
10-19 12:00:05	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	117	18¢	$21	0xb344fd…
10-19 10:44:23	Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8ff7bd…
10-18 22:02:02	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0xeb0f2c…
10-17 18:39:11	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	223	85¢	$190	0xa8f7e2…
10-17 14:20:12	Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x316364…
10-17 11:55:38	Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5362df…
10-17 10:48:39	Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xfa30d5…
10-17 10:47:03	Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc6db00…
10-17 09:23:05	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x790310…
10-17 05:53:01	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	269	68¢	$182	0xb501f2…
10-17 05:48:07	Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xb30527…
10-16 23:35:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$83	0x0b431e…
10-16 23:33:20	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xb81b8e…
10-16 23:30:45	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4238d2…
10-16 14:44:01	Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x658df2…
10-16 14:33:10	Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc795a3…
10-16 13:44:31	Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6b43b1…
10-16 13:40:03	Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x4394b3…
10-16 13:21:52	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	179	67¢	$121	0x8301f8…
10-15 13:57:13	Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	198	24¢	$48	0xe9df1e…
10-15 13:38:58	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x16a532…
10-15 00:49:29	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf0e265…
10-14 14:12:03	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	72	49¢	$35	0x593423…
10-13 18:17:28	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xea1c1c…
10-13 18:04:43	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0x7f2a76…
10-13 12:33:35	Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	75¢	$120	0x78e190…
10-13 01:00:35	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	79	73¢	$58	0xaf1aa0…
10-10 23:32:36	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8a155a…
10-10 19:39:07	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0xaa595d…
10-10 02:26:00	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	183	60¢	$111	0x1e34d3…
10-10 01:09:38	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	321	60¢	$194	0x63322e…
10-09 23:48:43	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x64d387…
10-09 23:46:16	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	61¢	$56	0x636442…
10-09 23:31:34	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	210	43¢	$90	0x1ab3c3…
10-09 23:29:44	Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	73¢	$117	0xc71fa9…
10-09 23:29:20	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0x37755b…
10-09 23:29:17	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	87	60¢	$52	0x3015e8…