Realized P&L
+$115.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.50K
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved
371
Trades
7,592
lifetime
Volume
$951.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$49.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 03:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
57% 59% +$24,826
Politics
42% 64% +$91,902
Pop-Culture
0% 62% -$178
Sports
0% 25% -$1,044
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +22,793 $5,087 46¢ $10.4K +$5,284 11-09 00:59
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +7,095 $4,909 97¢ $6.9K +$1,984 09-10 18:46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? No +9,745 $3,202 48¢ $4.6K +$1,426 10-21 01:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? Yes +7,142 $2,141 52¢ $3.7K +$1,608 11-09 03:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +13,503 $6,492 20¢ $2.6K -$3,859 10-25 12:23
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -110,071 -$2,201 2¢ $-2587 -$385 10-21 02:55
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2,927 $2,155 88¢ $2.6K +$421 10-23 17:46
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +2,727 $1,698 78¢ $2.1K +$429 08-14 02:31
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2,498 $1,887 80¢ $2.0K +$124 09-29 11:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +7,028 $1,868 28¢ $1.9K +$64 11-04 17:31
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +2,123 $1,825 90¢ $1.9K +$85 09-23 10:40
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1,375 -$1,279 98¢ $-1348 -$69 06-02 21:57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028? No +1,140 $914 97¢ $1.1K +$196 10-21 01:27
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +982 $804 88¢ $860 +$55 10-29 03:10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,277 -$954 32¢ $-732 +$222 07-15 15:46
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1,401 $323 44¢ $624 +$300 09-01 20:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +1,166 $418 42¢ $484 +$66 11-08 21:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +739 $401 58¢ $432 +$31 10-29 03:29
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +3,120 $1,217 12¢ $374 -$842 07-09 13:01
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +420 $190 79¢ $332 +$142 06-01 15:54
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -393 -$232 82¢ $-323 -$90 05-31 05:17
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? No +265 $249 98¢ $261 +$12 10-26 20:37
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +284 $186 92¢ $260 +$73 07-26 02:52
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +1,138 $497 22¢ $250 -$247 09-21 22:09
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +555 $333 44¢ $247 -$86 09-22 06:02
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +5,456 $600 3¢ $155 -$445 08-27 02:49
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,333 -$177 5¢ $-155 +$22 07-24 08:07
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +255 $148 58¢ $148 $0 11-09 12:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? No +237 $107 56¢ $132 +$25 10-08 11:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +222 $164 55¢ $121 -$43 09-28 17:51