Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9f5…20a08d Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$115.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$10.2K
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved
373
Trades
7,629
lifetime
Volume
$964.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$43.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 19:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
58% 58% +$24,279
Politics
42% 64% +$91,902
Pop-Culture
0% 62% -$178
Sports
0% 25% -$1,044
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +7,095 $4,909 97¢ $6.9K +$1,984 09-10 18:46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? Yes +8,008 $2,601 56¢ $4.5K +$1,883 11-11 02:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? No +9,798 $3,222 44¢ $4.3K +$1,089 11-10 11:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +22,793 $5,087 14¢ $3.1K -$2,010 11-09 00:59
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -110,071 -$2,201 2¢ $-2587 -$385 10-21 02:55
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2,927 $2,155 86¢ $2.5K +$348 10-23 17:46
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +4,120 $2,414 60¢ $2.5K +$37 11-11 18:48
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2,498 $1,887 88¢ $2.2K +$324 09-29 11:11
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +2,123 $1,825 88¢ $1.9K +$53 09-23 10:40
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +2,727 $1,698 66¢ $1.8K +$102 08-14 02:31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +4,376 $1,767 40¢ $1.8K -$16 11-10 02:06
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +13,503 $6,492 12¢ $1.6K -$4,939 10-25 12:23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1,375 -$1,279 98¢ $-1354 -$75 06-02 21:57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028? No +1,140 $914 96¢ $1.1K +$185 10-21 01:27
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +982 $804 92¢ $899 +$94 10-29 03:10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,277 -$954 31¢ $-705 +$249 07-15 15:46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +996 $531 60¢ $597 +$67 11-09 15:35
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +1,138 $497 34¢ $387 -$110 09-21 22:09
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +3,120 $1,217 12¢ $374 -$842 07-09 13:01
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +420 $190 87¢ $365 +$175 06-01 15:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +7,028 $1,868 5¢ $337 -$1,531 11-04 17:31
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,079 $7,044 3¢ $277 -$6,767 11-10 22:03
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -393 -$232 69¢ $-271 -$39 05-31 05:17
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +284 $186 94¢ $267 +$80 07-26 02:52
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? No +265 $249 98¢ $261 +$12 10-26 20:37
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +555 $333 40¢ $219 -$114 09-22 06:02
Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? Yes +214 $211 96¢ $205 -$6 11-10 19:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +222 $164 86¢ $192 +$28 09-28 17:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1,401 $323 14¢ $189 -$134 09-01 20:20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,333 -$177 5¢ $-162 +$15 07-24 08:07