Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$239

Unrealized P&L

+$78

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$400

1 position

First seen

2026-06-22

last 09-23 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

77% 64% -$214

Tech

16% 50% -$24

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+400	$322	100¢	$400	+$78	06-28 22:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	2	$1.5K	860	860	+0	open	—	06-27 22:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$423	314	314	+0	Yes	-$52	07-30 21:12
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	3	$350	200	200	+0	No	+$30	06-27 23:04
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	1	$322	400	0	+400	open	—	06-28 22:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$260	200	200	+0	Yes	+$28	07-31 22:35
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	6	$247	325	325	+0	No	+$0	09-23 00:14
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	3	$240	300	0	+300	open	—	07-02 18:54
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$207	300	0	+300	Norway	-$207	07-05 20:44
ebola case in the us by june 30	3	$190	200	0	+200	No	+$10	06-23 14:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	14	$141	702	364	+338	No	-$119	08-25 08:30
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	1	$122	200	0	+200	No	+$78	08-25 05:44
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	3	$107	129	0	+129	open	—	07-06 14:37
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	2	$95	100	0	+100	Yes	+$5	06-22 22:29
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$85	50	50	+0	No	+$13	07-29 07:06
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?	3	$24	133	0	+133	No	-$24	06-25 03:48
Will "Digger" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	09-23 00:17
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on September 30?	5	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	09-23 02:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 02:27:19	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd15d52…
09-23 02:27:19	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9dba85…
09-23 02:14:26	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcc885f…
09-23 02:14:26	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on September 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x451f93…
09-23 00:17:56	Will "Digger" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x02694d…
09-23 00:14:14	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	325	38¢	$124	0x87b5bd…
09-23 00:09:44	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on September 30?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x124dd1…
09-22 23:52:38	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x4be590…
09-22 23:52:16	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd7ba52…
09-22 23:52:04	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x9aed18…
09-22 23:50:22	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x822e89…
09-22 23:49:56	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	210	38¢	$80	0x245a26…
08-25 08:30:31	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	194	3¢	$6	0xc5140d…
08-25 08:25:48	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x5a1f11…
08-25 07:41:04	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x000e41…
08-25 05:44:12	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x59465a…
08-25 05:34:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	120	3¢	$4	0xbb3c7f…
08-25 05:34:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x8be82e…
08-11 00:40:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x5a1543…
08-11 00:40:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x30d841…
08-10 21:42:49	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	317	5¢	$16	0x65355e…
07-31 22:35:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0xfbfdbd…
07-30 22:04:48	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x4d71c5…
07-30 22:03:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x76313f…
07-30 22:03:26	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xbd36e9…
07-30 22:00:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	58	41¢	$24	0x22005a…
07-30 21:39:50	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x92f70c…
07-30 21:35:51	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x67b862…
07-30 21:34:17	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x97bc17…
07-30 21:12:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	314	59¢	$185	0x2cfffc…
07-29 07:06:14	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x36a46a…
07-21 13:46:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	186	74¢	$138	0x99f68a…
07-07 17:50:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x6e01ee…
07-06 14:37:52	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	75	83¢	$62	0x3e0f1c…
07-06 11:55:47	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb69a66…
07-06 10:28:08	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x3c49db…
07-05 21:01:40	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x59a5eb…
07-05 20:44:01	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0x16aa2e…
07-02 18:54:17	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	197	80¢	$157	0xa668d2…
07-02 18:54:07	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	96	80¢	$77	0x0aa3e0…
07-01 21:05:31	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x892381…
06-28 22:38:10	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	81¢	$322	0xb90588…
06-27 23:04:11	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	199	95¢	$189	0xe14710…
06-27 22:58:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x31ffc1…
06-27 22:19:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	860	88¢	$757	0x550c62…
06-25 18:37:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	860	88¢	$757	0xec7c2c…
06-25 03:48:52	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xedeb02…
06-23 17:59:31	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xdf8dc5…
06-23 14:38:07	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	115	95¢	$109	0xf39c99…
06-23 10:53:22	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0x9e165b…
06-23 05:57:44	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x4c88a1…
06-23 05:36:22	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x0f1a4d…
06-22 22:29:29	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb56eb6…
06-22 22:29:25	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xd7436a…
06-22 21:03:26	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x3971a7…