Fearful-Congress 0x60a92c…545a71
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.05K
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
17,166
lifetime
Volume
$3.66M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$213
Open exposure
$87.9K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
72% 70% +$6,460
Other
28% 80% +$431
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30,527 $22,685 74¢ $22.4K $-247 07-21 02:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +19,481 $9,925 66¢ $13.0K +$3,030 07-20 20:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +15,767 $8,307 70¢ $11.0K +$2,651 07-15 23:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +12,592 $7,000 62¢ $7.9K +$870 07-06 01:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -7,658 $-6,448 88¢ $-6701 $-252 07-20 21:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +5,787 $5,470 78¢ $4.5K $-927 07-18 18:53
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +5,572 $4,000 80¢ $4.5K +$458 07-03 22:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +10,226 $3,365 34¢ $3.4K +$61 07-14 07:11
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3,442 $2,272 80¢ $2.7K +$465 06-24 16:57
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,359 $875 100¢ $2.4K +$1,482 06-19 22:58
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -2,450 $-1,960 86¢ $-2119 $-159 06-03 13:15
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +2,221 $1,800 84¢ $1.9K +$55 06-29 19:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2,143 $1,339 86¢ $1.9K +$515 07-20 19:26
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +1,300 $1,084 87¢ $1.1K +$52 07-20 21:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +1,351 $500 38¢ $507 +$7 07-06 19:05
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +3,292 $991 14¢ $444 $-546 07-20 22:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,143 $300 14¢ $289 $-11 07-13 18:23
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -310 $-280 89¢ $-276 +$4 07-21 02:12
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -276 $-264 96¢ $-264 +$0 07-20 19:26
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +1,300 $78 13¢ $164 +$86 06-09 07:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -533 $82 26¢ $-141 $-223 06-21 19:42
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +1,947 $258 6¢ $107 $-151 05-31 18:39
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +500 $75 20¢ $103 +$28 07-11 22:51
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +116 $85 78¢ $90 +$5 07-04 13:07
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +93 $76 80¢ $74 $-1 06-29 13:39
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +110 $252 30¢ $34 $-218 07-20 20:07
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2,123 $987 0¢ $2 $-985 06-13 14:33