Fearful-Congress 0x60a92c…545a71
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.5K
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
15,996
lifetime
Volume
$3.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$93.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
75% 70% +$6,460
Other
25% 80% +$431
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 397 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +22,953 $15,402 100¢ $22.9K +$7,493 06-16 17:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +16,008 $7,910 59¢ $9.4K +$1,535 06-20 18:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10,621 $8,380 86¢ $9.1K +$701 06-15 00:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +11,123 $4,889 57¢ $6.4K +$1,507 06-29 04:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +5,173 $4,536 100¢ $5.2K +$624 06-24 21:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5,262 $3,916 80¢ $4.2K +$320 06-19 02:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +3,788 $3,140 100¢ $3.8K +$639 06-03 20:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -3,338 $-3,209 100¢ $-3334 $-125 05-31 22:02
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +3,311 $2,503 99¢ $3.3K +$783 06-20 21:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +3,056 $2,644 100¢ $3.0K +$404 06-14 18:02
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3,442 $2,272 72¢ $2.5K +$224 06-24 16:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +2,510 $2,300 99¢ $2.5K +$194 06-02 18:54
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,359 $875 100¢ $2.4K +$1,482 06-19 22:58
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +2,266 $2,005 96¢ $2.2K +$174 06-01 19:07
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -2,450 $-1,960 86¢ $-2095 $-135 06-03 13:15
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -2,095 $-1,887 99¢ $-2073 $-185 06-25 19:38
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +2,221 $1,800 80¢ $1.8K $-12 06-29 19:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +8,989 $1,888 15¢ $1.3K $-584 06-17 03:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +2,589 $1,167 42¢ $1.1K $-93 06-23 20:09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,500 $1,050 42¢ $1.1K +$13 06-30 18:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,425 $970 41¢ $994 +$24 06-24 21:55
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +817 $670 96¢ $787 +$117 06-02 20:11
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? No +761 $752 100¢ $760 +$8 06-20 19:36
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +565 $480 99¢ $559 +$79 06-11 19:20
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +1,947 $258 6¢ $127 $-132 05-31 18:39
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +93 $76 84¢ $79 +$3 06-29 13:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -533 $82 15¢ $-77 $-159 06-21 19:42
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? Yes -1,833 $-92 4¢ $-74 +$17 06-14 01:07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +23,787 $426 0¢ $59 $-367 06-16 22:04
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +1,300 $78 4¢ $50 $-28 06-09 07:50