Fearful-Congress 0x60a92c…545a71
whale hot
4Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$184.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$67.1K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
1,127
Trades
24,940
lifetime
Volume
$7.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$303
Open exposure
$230.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Politics
71% 60% +$140,086
Other
29% 63% +$41,111
Sports
0% 100% +$2,846
Tech
0% 50% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$225
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +26,986 $16,954 82¢ $22.1K +$5,174 10-29 23:10
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +16,511 $7,858 94¢ $15.4K +$7,580 09-26 17:23
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +17,187 $7,479 87¢ $15.0K +$7,473 10-29 17:31
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +15,678 $5,959 86¢ $13.4K +$7,446 10-29 23:03
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +13,943 $720 92¢ $12.8K +$12,107 09-29 17:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +21,034 $10,532 52¢ $10.9K +$406 10-29 22:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10,773 $5,760 90¢ $9.7K +$3,990 10-29 23:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +10,226 $2,446 92¢ $9.4K +$6,911 08-28 19:36
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +11,819 $9,229 74¢ $8.8K -$424 10-29 13:22
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +8,068 $5,225 99¢ $8.0K +$2,766 10-23 19:53
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +8,694 $7,418 90¢ $7.9K +$450 10-17 01:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +10,883 $7,472 70¢ $7.7K +$201 10-29 17:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +11,059 $6,622 62¢ $6.8K +$179 10-30 00:51
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +8,014 $5,378 84¢ $6.7K +$1,354 09-14 18:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,395 $8,499 60¢ $6.2K -$2,314 10-29 22:56
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +6,882 $2,176 86¢ $6.0K +$3,777 08-13 18:41
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +6,957 $3,645 85¢ $5.9K +$2,268 10-29 00:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +31,801 $6,267 18¢ $5.7K -$542 08-02 03:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6,401 $5,246 80¢ $5.2K -$93 10-29 22:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,246 $4,619 70¢ $5.1K +$490 10-29 04:53
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -5,197 -$4,722 94¢ $-4911 -$189 09-22 18:28
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +7,077 $1,177 64¢ $4.6K +$3,388 10-28 16:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -5,096 -$4,462 90¢ $-4561 -$99 10-24 23:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -4,580 -$4,400 94¢ $-4328 +$73 07-20 21:57
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,233 $3,744 68¢ $4.3K +$526 10-29 17:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,571 $4,757 40¢ $4.2K -$539 10-25 01:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5,299 $3,800 76¢ $4.0K +$228 10-29 19:03
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +3,729 $2,857 100¢ $3.7K +$853 10-27 20:25
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +5,841 $1,777 62¢ $3.6K +$1,816 10-29 19:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +5,703 $1,553 60¢ $3.4K +$1,874 10-05 22:09