Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
202
lifetime
Volume
$18.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$2.43K
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-09 16:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
28%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,535 $1,192 72¢ $1.1K $-79 06-08 23:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +990 $881 95¢ $942 +$61 06-08 22:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +323 $265 76¢ $247 $-18 06-09 00:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +220 $52 24¢ $54 +$2 05-30 04:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +57 $41 74¢ $42 +$1 06-02 01:25
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +29 $23 82¢ $24 +$0 06-01 22:17
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? No +18 $14 76¢ $14 $-0 06-01 22:25