Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
222
lifetime
Volume
$21.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$150
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-18 15:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
27%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -70 $-62 92¢ $-65 $-2 06-13 16:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +42 $7 76¢ $31 +$25 06-27 23:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-25 84¢ $-25 $-0 07-18 15:06
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? No +18 $14 82¢ $15 +$1 06-01 22:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-10 56¢ $-11 $-2 07-18 15:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -3 $-5 78¢ $-2 +$3 07-18 15:12