Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?
open
Total volume
$3,355
$233 in 24h
Trades
304
Unique wallets
87
Liquidity
$2,505
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-09-26
last 11-05 23:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.5¢
(top1%: 14% YES on $907
vs crowd: 12% YES on $2.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 40 | $207 | $1.8K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $73 | $429 | $357 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $65 | $253 | $189 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $4 | $13 | $9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 29 | $125 | $782 | $657 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $1 | $251 | $251 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $35 | $13 | +$23 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 4 | $4 | $13 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $19 | $91 | $72 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $67 | $286 | $219 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $97 | $1.1K | $955 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giant-Slip 0x274e…648c | Yes | +472 | $31 | $31 | 7 | 10-10 21:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +452 | $35 | $35 | 19 | 11-04 23:39 |
| Remarkable-Cosset 0x777f…a1bb | Yes | +399 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 10-31 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +255 | $229 | $229 | 6 | 10-29 08:48 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +226 | $164 | $164 | 8 | 11-03 23:16 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +200 | $30 | $30 | 5 | 11-02 02:29 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +200 | $180 | $213 | 5 | 11-01 16:37 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +187 | $171 | $171 | 8 | 10-13 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fc6…4690 | Yes | +174 | $35 | $35 | 9 | 11-05 23:20 |
| Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | +138 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-18 19:03 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +120 | $110 | $110 | 3 | 10-28 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7df0…0dfe | No | +105 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 10-10 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7167…d110 | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 11-04 04:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +80 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 11-04 22:07 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +60 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 10-31 16:36 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +60 | $52 | $88 | 4 | 10-31 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc301…66aa | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 11-05 01:29 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 23:20 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 10-24 18:39 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 10-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-17 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-28 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +45 | $40 | $74 | 3 | 11-04 04:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-01 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 11-01 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 10-31 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 11-01 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 11-01 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 11-04 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 11-01 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 11-01 16:37 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +39 | $36 | $36 | 5 | 10-28 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | +37 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 11-05 23:20 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | +33 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-29 08:48 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +33 | $3 | $6 | 5 | 10-29 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 10-23 08:30 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 10-09 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +30 | $30 | $58 | 4 | 11-01 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-28 23:07 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 10-25 11:39 |
| Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 11-04 04:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x7248…7e72 | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-17 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-09 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +20 | $18 | $20 | 2 | 09-28 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-31 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-26 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-01 15:06 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-26 23:12 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-06 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-29 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-31 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-31 14:36 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-17 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-01 16:37 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-01 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-05 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +16 | $2 | $3 | 5 | 10-13 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 23:20 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 23:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 23:20:15 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 23:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 23:20:15 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 23:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 23:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x6fc6…4690 | Yes | SELL | 165 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 23:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 23:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 23:20:15 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 23:20:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xd5aa4f… |
| 11-05 16:59:45 | (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d5581… |
| 11-05 16:59:45 | Ethical-Dilapidation 0x89b9…367a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d5581… |
| 11-05 01:29:40 | (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4520… |
| 11-05 01:29:40 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4520… |
| 11-05 01:29:40 | (anonymous) 0xc301…66aa | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x4b4520… |
| 11-04 23:39:37 | Squeaky-Polyp 0x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x43b59b… |
| 11-04 23:39:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x43b59b… |
| 11-04 22:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe38eb3… |
| 11-04 22:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe38eb3… |
| 11-04 22:07:12 | (anonymous) 0xc301…66aa | No | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0xe38eb3… |
| 11-04 22:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe38eb3… |
| 11-04 13:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x34c1c3… |
| 11-04 13:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x4ae4…f84a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x34c1c3… |
| 11-04 04:22:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xc8bc45… |
| 11-04 04:22:00 | Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | No | BUY | 23 | 90¢ | $21 | 0xc8bc45… |
| 11-04 04:22:00 | (anonymous) 0x6fc6…4690 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc8bc45… |
| 11-04 04:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x6fc6…4690 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x274cb7… |
| 11-04 04:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x4c52…0d84 | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x274cb7… |
| 11-04 04:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x9c6b55… |
| 11-04 04:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x9c6b55… |
| 11-04 04:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x9c6b55… |
| 11-04 04:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x7167…d110 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x9c6b55… |
| 11-04 04:19:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x9c6b55… |
| 11-03 23:16:01 | Ethical-Dilapidation 0x89b9…367a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x9db4ac… |
| 11-03 23:16:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x9db4ac… |
| 11-02 02:29:21 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xda5e5b… |
| 11-02 02:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xda5e5b… |
| 11-01 17:16:25 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x08e120… |
| 11-01 17:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x08e120… |
| 11-01 16:37:42 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xa16e64… |
| 11-01 16:37:42 | (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | No | BUY | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0x7ee9b1… |
| 11-01 16:37:42 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0x7ee9b1… |
| 11-01 16:37:42 | (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xa16e64… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x309470… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x309470… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xaa8ce7… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xa2a2…fae9 | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xb0338e… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x08287a… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x309470… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xaa8ce7… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x08287a… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x35f2a5… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x35f2a5… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x35f2a5… |
| 11-01 16:37:40 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xb0338e… |
| 11-01 15:06:21 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x3cdc55… |
| 11-01 15:06:21 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x3cdc55… |
| 11-01 15:06:21 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xd36935… |
| 11-01 15:06:21 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xd36935… |
| 11-01 15:06:19 | (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x78af58… |
| 11-01 15:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x0491c3… |
| 11-01 15:06:19 | (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x0491c3… |
| 11-01 15:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x78af58… |
| 11-01 14:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xd58c05… |
| 11-01 14:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xd58c05… |
| 11-01 14:01:52 | (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xb4e374… |
| 11-01 14:01:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0xb4e374… |
| 11-01 10:16:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x36aa37… |
| 11-01 10:16:25 | (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x36aa37… |
| 10-31 20:36:58 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x050549… |
| 10-31 20:36:58 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | SELL | 21 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x050549… |
| 10-31 20:36:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 41 | 63¢ | $26 | 0x050549… |
| 10-31 20:36:22 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 25 | 55¢ | $14 | 0x8ed9f0… |
| 10-31 20:36:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 55¢ | $14 | 0x8ed9f0… |
| 10-31 20:33:21 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xf63747… |
| 10-31 20:33:21 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xf63747… |
| 10-31 16:36:58 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 35 | 35¢ | $12 | 0x6cd0e8… |
| 10-31 16:36:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 35 | 65¢ | $23 | 0x6cd0e8… |
| 10-31 16:36:52 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x208328… |
| 10-31 16:36:52 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x208328… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xf066a4… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | Remarkable-Cosset 0x777f…a1bb | Yes | BUY | 399 | 13¢ | $53 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 86¢ | $69 | 0xf066a4… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xf066a4… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | BUY | 21 | 87¢ | $18 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xf066a4… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 14¢ | $23 | 0xf066a4… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 200 | 87¢ | $173 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-31 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xa2a2…fae9 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xc990df… |
| 10-30 22:05:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x602693… |
| 10-30 22:05:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x602693… |
| 10-29 14:32:13 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x419b82… |
| 10-29 14:32:13 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa0a954… |
| 10-29 14:32:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x419b82… |
| 10-29 14:32:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa0a954… |