Giant-Slip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.39K

Unrealized P&L

-$194

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,967

lifetime

Volume

$109.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$2.93K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-31 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

78% 50% +$6,125

Other

21% 60% +$1,266

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$1,480	72¢	$1.4K	-$50	10-21 13:49
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+466	$446	98¢	$457	+$11	10-04 22:32
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	+600	$182	61¢	$366	+$184	10-17 02:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+10,585	$590	3¢	$328	-$262	10-30 19:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+210	$138	64¢	$134	-$4	10-22 15:16
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+280	$201	41¢	$116	-$85	10-22 14:29
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	+76	$72	97¢	$73	+$1	10-29 15:24
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	+100	$12	16¢	$16	+$4	10-26 08:35
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+100	$7	13¢	$13	+$7	10-29 22:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	107	$20.9K	10,738	19,973	-9,235	Yes	+$1,737	02-03 22:22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	36	$5.8K	5,600	5,320	+280	open	—	10-22 14:29
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	17	$4.6K	3,112	3,112	+0	No	-$403	01-23 18:11
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	26	$4.1K	2,552	2,504	+48	open	—	08-04 23:56
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	28	$3.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-16 16:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?	23	$3.6K	4,953	1,088	+3,865	open	—	10-08 16:09
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	6	$2.2K	4,037	237	+3,800	Yes	-$21	05-19 18:35
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$158	08-04 17:24
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	5	$2.2K	1,299	1,299	+0	open	—	09-14 14:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	124	$2.2K	20,134	9,549	+10,585	open	—	10-30 19:50
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	16	$2.2K	1,557	1,457	+100	No	+$801	08-26 00:41
Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?	9	$1.8K	2,034	2,034	+0	open	—	10-22 13:29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?	9	$1.7K	1,080	1,080	-0	open	—	10-22 13:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	5	$1.5K	938	938	+0	open	—	09-13 22:03
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	1	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-21 13:49
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?	10	$1.5K	700	1,706	-1,006	Yes	+$237	07-30 00:40
Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	4	$1.3K	2,410	0	+2,410	No	+$1,134	06-25 09:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	112	$1.2K	10,860	11,054	-194	No	-$8	02-03 22:10
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	4	$1.1K	1,080	1,080	+0	Yes	+$543	08-15 08:27
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	15	$1.1K	1,596	1,485	+111	Yes	-$119	08-25 23:30
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	27	$1.1K	2,379	368	+2,011	Yes	+$1,349	03-13 16:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%?	6	$1.1K	626	626	+0	open	—	09-30 19:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	9	$981	849	600	+249	open	—	10-30 16:40
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$975	411	653	-242	No	-$26	06-04 18:29
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	2	$880	883	883	+0	Yes	+$456	08-16 09:20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	18	$846	3,021	3,021	+0	Yes	+$242	10-15 19:17
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?	6	$843	731	177	+554	open	—	09-18 20:51
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	8	$842	1,600	1,000	+600	open	—	10-17 02:05
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	2	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-22 13:33
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?	5	$776	412	412	+0	open	—	09-15 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:35:46	Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?	No	BUY	60	79¢	$48	0x94bfb5…
10-31 01:33:10	Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x8a35da…
10-31 00:15:09	Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xd511aa…
10-31 00:14:58	Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xfe8264…
10-30 23:18:45	Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x94f6e2…
10-30 22:32:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?	No	BUY	212	78¢	$165	0xb8bb15…
10-30 21:50:30	Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x90c77b…
10-30 21:12:39	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x409bae…
10-30 21:12:39	Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x22377a…
10-30 21:12:37	Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xe1fa14…
10-30 21:12:37	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xb5272c…
10-30 21:12:37	Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb401f6…
10-30 21:12:37	Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5ff809…
10-30 21:12:37	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x335860…
10-30 21:12:37	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x143dfd…
10-30 20:24:55	Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xef9504…
10-30 19:50:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xd6d2e3…
10-30 19:40:33	Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xb79cba…
10-30 17:55:37	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	39	15¢	$6	0xe6a83f…
10-30 17:12:30	Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6a5a38…
10-30 17:08:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x83337f…
10-30 17:05:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x479b62…
10-30 16:58:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xfcc6a7…
10-30 16:40:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xd71dad…
10-30 16:40:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x394c5c…
10-30 15:16:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0x41cda5…
10-30 10:10:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	108	7¢	$8	0xdb3e28…
10-30 09:37:46	Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0x3abed3…
10-30 09:24:25	Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x267ebc…
10-30 09:22:34	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xfccb32…
10-30 09:21:48	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	165	0¢	$0	0x4b37e3…
10-30 09:21:18	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	147	0¢	$0	0xa7aa61…
10-30 09:14:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x295f3e…
10-30 08:37:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xaf0733…
10-30 07:53:43	Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$2	0x27fc6f…
10-30 07:38:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x478864…
10-30 07:38:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x7c4eb7…
10-30 06:47:36	Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xed2019…
10-30 06:24:00	Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x083812…
10-30 04:36:48	Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$6	0x940419…
10-30 04:05:55	Will Republicans win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Democrats win Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8b45ab…
10-30 04:03:45	Will Republicans win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Democrats win Texas?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xf6da7f…
10-30 03:13:58	Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x99f195…
10-30 02:30:10	Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas?	Yes	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0x207999…
10-30 02:26:18	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x17f7c9…
10-30 02:13:48	Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x92045b…
10-30 00:31:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	88	79¢	$70	0xcbae35…
10-30 00:31:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x1058c3…
10-30 00:23:34	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcc44e7…
10-30 00:23:31	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6d9027…
10-30 00:21:13	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3beb3f…
10-30 00:20:58	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4c721e…
10-30 00:20:58	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x23762f…
10-30 00:20:54	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc41ba0…
10-29 23:19:30	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x764ea7…
10-29 23:05:57	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x58da00…
10-29 22:52:52	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xfd6d79…
10-29 22:46:36	Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	177	0¢	$0	0x3f4423…
10-29 22:43:37	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xd9c11a…
10-29 22:43:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x9518b5…
10-29 22:43:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x77dbf5…
10-29 22:43:37	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x6f9cb6…
10-29 22:43:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x2edb18…
10-29 22:43:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x29d77f…
10-29 22:42:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?	Yes	BUY	126	0¢	$0	0xb1ae68…
10-29 22:42:22	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x92d317…
10-29 22:42:12	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	177	0¢	$0	0x5b020b…
10-29 22:42:07	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x05c0aa…
10-29 22:42:01	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	169	0¢	$0	0x34525c…
10-29 22:41:57	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x75f71e…
10-29 22:41:52	Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0xc9a288…
10-29 22:41:48	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfb849e…
10-29 22:41:43	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0x8bb0fc…
10-29 22:41:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$0	0x14859d…
10-29 22:41:34	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x93ed8b…
10-29 22:41:30	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x3f71a2…
10-29 22:41:25	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$0	0x8ce4a3…
10-29 22:41:22	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xf43fa4…
10-29 22:41:16	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x7c1584…
10-29 22:41:10	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	214	0¢	$0	0xa4d5a9…
10-29 22:41:04	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0xeb3c39…
10-29 22:41:00	Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	129	0¢	$0	0xf66c14…
10-29 22:40:55	Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	127	0¢	$0	0x980fd9…
10-29 22:40:51	Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0xeafb38…
10-29 22:40:46	Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x490a46…
10-29 22:40:40	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xbf15b8…
10-29 22:40:36	Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0x872f13…
10-29 22:40:30	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xee09df…
10-29 22:40:24	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0x298f76…
10-29 22:40:19	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xf4be52…
10-29 22:40:10	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x4ac275…
10-29 22:40:04	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x813a1c…
10-29 22:39:58	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x6a11f8…
10-29 22:39:51	Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xb033f9…
10-29 22:39:39	Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x768071…
10-29 22:39:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x91da84…
10-29 22:39:22	Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x599bb1…
10-29 22:39:13	Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0x922f44…
10-29 22:39:07	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x5d85e7…
10-29 22:39:03	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xd38768…