(anonymous) 0xc301c1…0466aa
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$188.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.8K
Hit rate
93.3%
Resolved
18
Trades
6,224
lifetime
Volume
$1.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$268
Open exposure
$403.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-16
last 10-26 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
94% 57% +$188,789
Other
6% 25% -$135
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 1521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +74,911 $56,480 82¢ $61.5K +$5,022 10-26 16:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +93,383 $60,606 66¢ $61.2K +$560 10-25 22:54
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +44,400 $28,803 69¢ $30.6K +$1,833 10-25 23:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48,218 $24,604 54¢ $26.1K +$1,482 10-26 21:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +16,577 $15,040 100¢ $16.5K +$1,455 10-25 22:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22,596 $15,071 66¢ $14.8K -$270 10-25 23:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +14,653 $12,305 96¢ $14.0K +$1,688 10-26 19:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +20,893 $13,115 64¢ $13.3K +$152 10-26 20:53
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +14,203 $10,690 84¢ $11.9K +$1,240 10-26 19:35
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +11,781 $10,118 98¢ $11.5K +$1,428 10-26 13:55
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +15,630 $11,103 68¢ $10.7K -$396 10-26 21:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12,149 $8,980 88¢ $10.7K +$1,711 10-25 22:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +35,884 $8,708 26¢ $9.5K +$802 10-25 14:13
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +15,606 $9,791 60¢ $9.3K -$505 10-26 20:53
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +10,437 $9,115 86¢ $8.9K -$191 10-26 17:26
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +13,477 $9,000 66¢ $8.8K -$173 10-25 18:10
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +8,724 $7,818 90¢ $7.8K -$10 10-26 20:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +9,324 $7,401 82¢ $7.7K +$291 10-25 15:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +10,276 $7,655 74¢ $7.6K -$102 10-25 22:26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,657 $8,095 60¢ $7.5K -$564 10-26 20:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +7,745 $7,090 93¢ $7.2K +$112 10-26 18:01
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +9,782 $6,892 70¢ $6.8K -$94 10-26 21:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,494 $6,619 62¢ $6.6K -$60 10-26 20:53
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +6,142 $5,547 89¢ $5.5K -$81 10-26 20:12
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +7,523 $4,988 69¢ $5.2K +$203 10-26 15:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5,276 $4,852 94¢ $4.9K +$81 10-26 17:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,689 $4,441 68¢ $4.5K +$107 10-25 02:05
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +6,473 $4,374 68¢ $4.4K +$60 10-25 01:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +4,592 $4,089 93¢ $4.3K +$177 10-26 19:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,197 $4,318 68¢ $4.2K -$135 10-26 21:14