Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

16.1%

Resolved

1,369

Trades

7,958

lifetime

Volume

$58.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-28 00:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

49% 6% -$776

Politics

32% 3% -$252

Crypto

9% 55% -$38

Sports

6% 7% -$50

Tech

3% 6% -$54

Pop-Culture

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+25	$20	88¢	$22	+$2	08-17 01:28
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+25	$4	12¢	$3	-$1	08-17 01:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+0	$0	17¢	$0	$0	09-30 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	19	$245	235	185	+50	No	-$2	08-19 08:43
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	17	$225	167	167	+0	No	+$1	09-28 03:02
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?	17	$180	162	162	+0	No	-$8	09-27 02:44
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	14	$176	131	131	+0	Yes	-$5	09-27 17:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	14	$156	152	152	+0	open	—	09-29 00:10
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	14	$154	126	126	+0	open	—	09-28 01:36
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	11	$153	130	130	+0	open	—	10-01 01:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	11	$136	130	130	+0	No	-$3	09-30 17:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?	8	$120	94	94	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 02:25
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	12	$115	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-23 23:30
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	14	$112	113	113	+0	open	—	10-13 14:46
Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	11	$109	70	70	+0	No	-$3	09-21 05:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10	$106	66	66	+0	open	—	10-10 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	6	$102	59	59	+0	No	$0	10-01 11:52
Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$101	83	83	+0	No	-$3	09-23 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	10-10 05:16
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	13	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 16:14
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	7	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	10-12 16:07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	6	$97	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-07 07:36
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027?	4	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 00:27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	9	$95	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-22 05:52
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	10	$94	92	92	+0	open	—	10-10 21:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	8	$93	87	87	+0	open	—	10-01 10:55
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$93	60	60	+0	open	—	09-20 19:36
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?	8	$92	77	77	+0	No	+$0	09-14 07:09
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	8	$91	84	84	+0	open	—	09-14 21:58
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	4	$91	60	60	+0	open	—	09-08 22:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	5	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	09-25 18:04
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	9	$89	62	62	+0	Yes	-$2	09-25 01:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	09-23 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:55:36	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb75aed…
10-28 01:08:20	Will Eljif Elmas be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc473ed…
10-28 00:30:36	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd88522…
10-27 23:20:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x7ee1a6…
10-27 22:48:08	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x7f53e0…
10-27 22:42:56	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x78f1c8…
10-27 22:34:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8059cd…
10-27 22:13:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x899ed6…
10-27 22:10:21	Will crashies play for Fnatic in 2027?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xae0466…
10-27 22:05:50	Will Dylan Harper win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa012e2…
10-27 21:46:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xfe7566…
10-27 21:21:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa93181…
10-27 21:21:26	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x7d01c9…
10-27 21:18:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x4454fc…
10-27 21:03:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf95ad1…
10-27 20:41:08	Will Bijan Robinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	No	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0xdf189c…
10-27 20:29:14	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xbc8176…
10-27 19:48:09	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x06a79b…
10-27 19:27:35	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xef9368…
10-27 19:18:30	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xd4977c…
10-27 19:13:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7a1957…
10-27 18:59:27	Will Dylan Harper win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe9cc21…
10-27 18:45:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x0fdcb5…
10-27 18:18:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x327146…
10-27 18:11:32	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xd52d5f…
10-27 18:09:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 30% or more?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0x7a1979…
10-27 17:57:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xbe2917…
10-27 17:55:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x86f921…
10-27 17:55:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x6e6927…
10-27 17:27:56	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xce1c1b…
10-27 17:27:56	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x646383…
10-27 17:19:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xfa7474…
10-27 17:07:47	Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x763411…
10-27 17:01:42	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 0% to 1%?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0xd61c46…
10-27 16:53:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x900d42…
10-27 16:41:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x74c5af…
10-27 16:36:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x0f901f…
10-27 16:18:11	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcbb94a…
10-27 16:16:36	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x25c379…
10-27 16:07:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x6aa0f6…
10-27 15:28:45	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xe691eb…
10-27 15:22:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xa4bbe4…
10-27 15:07:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5e9a56…
10-27 15:07:02	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 0% to 1%?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x989232…
10-27 14:57:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x577d78…
10-27 14:57:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x720a74…
10-27 14:52:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x020c40…
10-27 14:48:59	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x0fd7f6…
10-27 14:44:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 70%-75%?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x809e6a…
10-27 14:35:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x46bb56…
10-27 14:23:53	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x0429d0…
10-27 14:18:59	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x85b5d7…
10-27 14:12:09	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xf0d27a…
10-27 14:07:32	Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x272eee…
10-27 14:06:45	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x5f2da6…
10-27 14:06:30	Will Kyle Pitts Sr. finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xd74370…
10-27 14:04:48	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x7f943e…
10-27 13:50:08	Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x9b9526…
10-27 13:36:38	Will Ajay Mitchell win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xb0295d…
10-27 13:31:00	Will Ajay Mitchell win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x81addc…
10-27 13:26:50	Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x43af1f…
10-27 13:24:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xfccb17…
10-27 13:16:14	Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xbe5fef…
10-27 13:12:00	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x0fbac3…
10-27 12:44:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 70%-75%?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x7528c7…
10-27 12:29:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x5c603c…
10-27 12:04:12	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x875ecd…
10-27 12:00:17	Will Ajay Mitchell win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x619370…
10-27 11:55:50	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x173cca…
10-27 11:50:17	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8fc610…
10-27 11:31:35	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xe5bf13…
10-27 11:26:14	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x37c2e8…
10-27 11:08:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x06fee5…
10-27 11:06:03	Will Kyle Pitts Sr. finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9232fc…
10-27 10:59:17	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x39d102…
10-27 10:49:48	Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x1a12fe…
10-27 10:39:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xb5e44b…
10-27 10:37:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x59826e…
10-27 10:28:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xec405a…
10-27 10:18:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xd1f4d6…
10-27 10:16:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x8cbba5…
10-27 10:10:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x66279d…
10-27 09:10:21	Will Crystal Palace qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x9dd610…
10-27 09:08:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xabd08a…
10-27 09:05:08	Will Crystal Palace qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xa82840…
10-27 08:40:36	Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4a6cdc…
10-27 08:05:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x880ccd…
10-27 07:59:24	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xfc1435…
10-27 07:58:50	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa21846…
10-27 05:25:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x02c466…
10-27 05:20:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x838baa…
10-27 05:15:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xef7f8e…
10-27 04:41:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x741165…
10-27 04:22:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x21dc87…
10-27 03:42:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x1d9a1b…
10-27 03:22:15	Will Bijan Robinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xd4f349…
10-27 03:10:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xddfce9…
10-27 03:01:51	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe2b6af…
10-27 02:54:08	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x30342e…
10-27 01:52:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xee96a0…