Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

16.1%

Resolved

1,364

Trades

7,878

lifetime

Volume

$58.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-27 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

50% 6% -$774

Politics

32% 3% -$252

Crypto

9% 55% -$38

Sports

6% 7% -$50

Tech

3% 6% -$54

Pop-Culture

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+25	$20	88¢	$22	+$2	08-17 01:28
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+25	$4	12¢	$3	-$1	08-17 01:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+0	$0	33¢	$0	$0	09-30 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	19	$245	235	185	+50	No	-$2	08-19 08:43
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	17	$225	167	167	+0	No	+$1	09-28 03:02
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?	17	$180	162	162	+0	No	-$8	09-27 02:44
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	14	$176	131	131	+0	Yes	-$5	09-27 17:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	14	$156	152	152	+0	open	—	09-29 00:10
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	14	$154	126	126	+0	open	—	09-28 01:36
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	11	$153	130	130	+0	open	—	10-01 01:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	11	$136	130	130	+0	No	-$3	09-30 17:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?	8	$120	94	94	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 02:25
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	12	$115	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-23 23:30
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	14	$112	113	113	+0	open	—	10-13 14:46
Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	11	$109	70	70	+0	No	-$3	09-21 05:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10	$106	66	66	+0	open	—	10-10 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	6	$102	59	59	+0	No	$0	10-01 11:52
Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$101	83	83	+0	No	-$3	09-23 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	10-10 05:16
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	13	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 16:14
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	7	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	10-12 16:07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	6	$97	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-07 07:36
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027?	4	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 00:27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	9	$95	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-22 05:52
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	10	$94	92	92	+0	open	—	10-10 21:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	8	$93	87	87	+0	open	—	10-01 10:55
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$93	60	60	+0	open	—	09-20 19:36
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?	8	$92	77	77	+0	No	+$0	09-14 07:09
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	8	$91	84	84	+0	open	—	09-14 21:58
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	4	$91	60	60	+0	open	—	09-08 22:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	5	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	09-25 18:04
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	9	$89	62	62	+0	Yes	-$2	09-25 01:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	09-23 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:49:48	Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x1a12fe…
10-27 10:39:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xb5e44b…
10-27 10:37:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x59826e…
10-27 10:28:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xec405a…
10-27 10:18:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xd1f4d6…
10-27 10:16:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x8cbba5…
10-27 10:10:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x66279d…
10-27 09:10:21	Will Crystal Palace qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x9dd610…
10-27 09:08:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xabd08a…
10-27 09:05:08	Will Crystal Palace qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xa82840…
10-27 08:40:36	Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4a6cdc…
10-27 08:05:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x880ccd…
10-27 07:59:24	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xfc1435…
10-27 07:58:50	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa21846…
10-27 05:25:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x02c466…
10-27 05:20:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x838baa…
10-27 05:15:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xef7f8e…
10-27 04:41:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x741165…
10-27 04:22:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x21dc87…
10-27 03:42:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x1d9a1b…
10-27 03:22:15	Will Bijan Robinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xd4f349…
10-27 03:10:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xddfce9…
10-27 03:01:51	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe2b6af…
10-27 02:54:08	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x30342e…
10-27 01:52:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xee96a0…
10-27 01:22:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x030641…
10-27 00:08:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x6f0387…
10-27 00:01:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xbd3f15…
10-26 23:52:15	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfa868c…
10-26 23:24:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x0874f9…
10-26 23:23:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xd43a91…
10-26 23:07:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb92342…
10-26 20:26:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$15	0x2fe620…
10-26 20:23:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa3daf6…
10-26 19:49:41	Will Team Spirit win PARI Universe?	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xa873de…
10-26 19:32:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xd7f425…
10-26 19:32:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xcdc779…
10-26 19:26:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x979a89…
10-26 18:36:44	Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xf3721a…
10-26 18:11:06	Will Team Spirit win PARI Universe?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x1172b9…
10-26 18:07:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb36438…
10-26 17:45:59	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0xfd9679…
10-26 17:37:05	Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xd552c8…
10-26 17:34:00	Will Oregon State Beavers Win the 2026 Pac-12 Championship?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xf7fc80…
10-26 17:28:32	Will Oregon State Beavers Win the 2026 Pac-12 Championship?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xe8e8c9…
10-26 17:08:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x5784dd…
10-26 17:06:50	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xd13d4c…
10-26 17:06:50	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x746c4e…
10-26 17:03:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x7d8112…
10-26 16:59:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xbbc51c…
10-26 16:25:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x6c133c…
10-26 16:18:32	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x5bbda6…
10-26 16:08:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x650568…
10-26 16:08:08	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$0	0xa5eb1f…
10-26 15:36:26	Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xc3c953…
10-26 14:27:26	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x6c87fd…
10-26 13:53:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x896ba0…
10-26 13:37:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x030b94…
10-26 13:35:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x2b98e7…
10-26 13:34:06	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x49fa4a…
10-26 13:33:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc24018…
10-26 12:44:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x3668af…
10-26 12:32:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xe495bf…
10-26 12:27:39	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe52f17…
10-26 12:25:35	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x0b25ce…
10-26 12:06:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 650,000 and 700,000?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xf64665…
10-26 12:03:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xd7f991…
10-26 11:27:09	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xd9e2be…
10-26 11:04:51	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x4180b0…
10-26 11:00:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd7e39e…
10-26 10:59:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc3ef60…
10-26 10:45:08	Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb68969…
10-26 10:37:18	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x0002ed…
10-26 10:35:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 65%-70%?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x3d291a…
10-26 10:34:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xf744ab…
10-26 10:30:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x4713ba…
10-26 10:26:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xcfe924…
10-26 10:24:45	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$16	0x4d3f15…
10-26 10:17:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x7d78f1…
10-26 10:12:59	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x1819bb…
10-26 10:12:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x7606ac…
10-26 10:10:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x70f911…
10-26 10:07:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xf87809…
10-26 10:05:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 650,000 and 700,000?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x4dcb03…
10-26 09:51:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xfccc07…
10-26 09:46:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x2a4764…
10-26 09:46:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x185878…
10-26 09:37:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb48d24…
10-26 09:36:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x5bba29…
10-26 09:24:47	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x0d1ce7…
10-26 09:04:12	Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x149e39…
10-26 08:23:05	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xb93572…
10-26 07:45:26	Will Gregor Kobel (Dortmund) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xae0f44…
10-26 07:36:57	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x41d003…
10-26 07:30:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0xab818b…
10-26 07:14:57	Will Gregor Kobel (Dortmund) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x5f54da…
10-26 07:11:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xee5f3e…
10-26 06:34:24	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be less than 7,000,000?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x03fde4…
10-26 06:25:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa4fea9…
10-26 06:24:26	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x9edc5d…