Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

1,509

Trades

9,066

lifetime

Volume

$66.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-02 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

46% 6% -$923

Politics

36% 3% -$284

Crypto

8% 54% -$43

Sports

6% 9% -$54

Tech

3% 5% -$60

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+25	$20	84¢	$21	+$1	08-17 01:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	+20	$13	62¢	$12	$0	11-01 23:18
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+25	$4	16¢	$4	+$0	08-17 01:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+0	$0	10¢	$0	$0	09-30 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	19	$245	235	185	+50	No	-$2	08-19 08:43
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	17	$225	167	167	+0	No	+$1	09-28 03:02
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?	17	$180	162	162	+0	No	-$8	09-27 02:44
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	14	$176	131	131	+0	Yes	-$5	09-27 17:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	14	$156	152	152	+0	No	-$4	09-29 00:10
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	14	$154	126	126	+0	open	—	09-28 01:36
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	11	$153	130	130	+0	open	—	10-01 01:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	11	$136	130	130	+0	No	-$3	09-30 17:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?	8	$120	94	94	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 02:25
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	12	$115	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-23 23:30
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	14	$112	113	113	+0	Yes	-$3	10-13 14:46
Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	11	$109	70	70	+0	No	-$3	09-21 05:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10	$106	66	66	+0	open	—	10-10 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	6	$102	59	59	+0	No	$0	10-01 11:52
Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$101	83	83	+0	No	-$3	09-23 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	10-10 05:16
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	13	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 16:14
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	7	$98	60	60	+0	resolved	-$3	10-12 16:07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	6	$97	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-07 07:36
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027?	4	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 00:27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	9	$95	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-22 05:52
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	10	$94	92	92	+0	open	—	10-10 21:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	8	$93	87	87	+0	open	—	10-01 10:55
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$93	60	60	+0	open	—	09-20 19:36
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?	8	$92	77	77	+0	No	+$0	09-14 07:09
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	8	$91	84	84	+0	No	-$3	09-14 21:58
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	4	$91	60	60	+0	No	-$10	09-08 22:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	5	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	09-25 18:04
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	9	$89	62	62	+0	Yes	-$2	09-25 01:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	09-23 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 11:04:06	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xa8cf9f…
11-02 10:19:16	Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x47c9d6…
11-02 10:17:19	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x0ac1bb…
11-02 10:13:55	Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x4ba5d0…
11-02 09:53:18	Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x555c9c…
11-02 09:46:51	Will Viking reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xe8bbe2…
11-02 08:42:52	Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x04e226…
11-02 08:29:51	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc55532…
11-02 08:13:45	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8ac8a4…
11-02 08:08:06	Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x4e4444…
11-02 07:27:58	Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x00e8f7…
11-02 07:20:22	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x41d389…
11-02 07:20:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0544cb…
11-02 07:19:31	Will Simone Tebet be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd6e8bf…
11-02 07:19:27	Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xf313e9…
11-02 07:19:19	Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x72e005…
11-02 07:12:57	Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xdd577d…
11-02 07:08:34	Will Liberty Flames Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	No	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x45e338…
11-02 07:08:22	Will Zach Hyman record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf69592…
11-02 06:24:15	Will Iowa have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x5aa472…
11-02 06:24:10	Will Dylan Harper win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x18fdcc…
11-02 06:23:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xa3210f…
11-02 06:23:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x21ba29…
11-02 06:21:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xfb502d…
11-02 05:59:07	Will Barcelona finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$14	0x23f072…
11-02 05:58:24	Will Trevor Lawrence finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc87b13…
11-02 05:50:52	Will valyn play for NRG in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2472d0…
11-02 05:37:09	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf578a7…
11-02 05:35:57	Will Arizona have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xcf2b2f…
11-02 05:30:36	Will Arizona have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xa67bbc…
11-02 05:27:19	Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x91f64b…
11-02 05:21:28	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x3aac7d…
11-02 05:20:21	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xb25197…
11-02 04:53:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x15d72b…
11-02 04:43:37	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xe4b9ca…
11-02 04:43:37	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xe37368…
11-02 04:16:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 0%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x24fe60…
11-02 04:16:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x17731d…
11-02 03:50:18	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xb3d087…
11-02 03:28:09	Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xbbd2b3…
11-02 03:28:09	Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x33d7d1…
11-02 02:34:36	Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf88ab9…
11-02 02:34:24	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x7d3c21…
11-02 02:21:18	Will Javier Sanoja win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0c6af9…
11-02 02:09:40	Will Brighton finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x754fdf…
11-02 02:09:40	Will Brighton finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x736b11…
11-02 02:09:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x9324c6…
11-02 02:06:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x199f15…
11-02 02:02:31	Will UCLA Bruins Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x519336…
11-02 01:52:34	Will UCLA Bruins Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0xce95fe…
11-02 01:39:39	Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x63924a…
11-02 01:37:49	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xdded95…
11-02 01:37:49	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x2d30cb…
11-02 01:06:33	Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x4bf302…
11-02 00:59:45	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xbec7f0…
11-02 00:56:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x8ff07d…
11-02 00:45:54	Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb70ccd…
11-02 00:23:42	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x266e51…
11-02 00:13:31	Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb001de…
11-02 00:12:13	Will Anna Leigh Waters win exactly four Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xc51765…
11-01 23:55:49	Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x762067…
11-01 23:53:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x35a11c…
11-01 23:53:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x785440…
11-01 23:52:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x04c8f4…
11-01 23:28:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6380a5…
11-01 23:26:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa24e3d…
11-01 23:18:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x4503f3…
11-01 23:12:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc8135b…
11-01 23:10:06	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0cfc29…
11-01 23:05:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x1863dc…
11-01 23:03:42	Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5dd3f1…
11-01 23:02:36	Will DK Metcalf have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x51c320…
11-01 23:01:30	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xff81df…
11-01 22:43:52	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf96a0c…
11-01 22:40:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe4b272…
11-01 22:35:39	Will Jalen Hurts have 199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x234f3b…
11-01 22:34:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x6effbb…
11-01 22:31:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x404569…
11-01 22:24:18	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x6ad83a…
11-01 22:22:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe1843b…
11-01 22:19:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x701db6…
11-01 22:18:57	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8a5d4f…
11-01 22:17:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1dde04…
11-01 22:13:25	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3edc67…
11-01 22:13:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe18906…
11-01 22:07:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x364740…
11-01 22:02:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x47fc70…
11-01 21:55:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x44d614…
11-01 21:31:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x012317…
11-01 21:19:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4b768d…
11-01 21:13:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be less than 3,250,000?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x12fbf4…
11-01 21:10:09	Will Bijan Robinson win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf9875d…
11-01 20:14:27	Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x0ea8b0…
11-01 20:10:09	Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf0126d…
11-01 19:56:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x84cf09…
11-01 19:52:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x35e4d0…
11-01 19:50:16	Will Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xff01e2…
11-01 19:49:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x357148…
11-01 19:36:21	Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x8673c0…
11-01 19:35:31	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x181103…