Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

6.9%

Resolved (90d)

839

Trades (90d)

7,836

8,822 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$61.4K

$64.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-01 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

47% 6% -$868

Politics

36% 3% -$273

Crypto

8% 55% -$41

Sports

6% 9% -$52

Tech

3% 5% -$60

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+25	$20	85¢	$21	+$1	08-17 01:28
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+25	$4	15¢	$4	+$0	08-17 01:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+0	$0	7¢	$0	$0	09-30 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	19	$245	235	185	+50	No	-$2	08-19 08:43
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	17	$225	167	167	+0	No	+$1	09-28 03:02
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?	17	$180	162	162	+0	No	-$8	09-27 02:44
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	14	$176	131	131	+0	Yes	-$5	09-27 17:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	14	$156	152	152	+0	open	—	09-29 00:10
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	14	$154	126	126	+0	open	—	09-28 01:36
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	11	$153	130	130	+0	open	—	10-01 01:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	11	$136	130	130	+0	No	-$3	09-30 17:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?	8	$120	94	94	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 02:25
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	12	$115	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-23 23:30
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	14	$112	113	113	+0	open	—	10-13 14:46
Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	11	$109	70	70	+0	No	-$3	09-21 05:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10	$106	66	66	+0	open	—	10-10 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	6	$102	59	59	+0	No	$0	10-01 11:52
Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$101	83	83	+0	No	-$3	09-23 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	10-10 05:16
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	13	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 16:14
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	7	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	10-12 16:07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	6	$97	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-07 07:36
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027?	4	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 00:27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	9	$95	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-22 05:52
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	10	$94	92	92	+0	open	—	10-10 21:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	8	$93	87	87	+0	open	—	10-01 10:55
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$93	60	60	+0	open	—	09-20 19:36
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?	8	$92	77	77	+0	No	+$0	09-14 07:09
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	8	$91	84	84	+0	No	-$3	09-14 21:58
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	4	$91	60	60	+0	No	-$10	09-08 22:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	5	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	09-25 18:04
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	9	$89	62	62	+0	Yes	-$2	09-25 01:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	09-23 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:32:37	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x65f4e0…
11-01 02:31:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x915f65…
11-01 02:30:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x059385…
11-01 02:26:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xace129…
11-01 02:20:19	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,200,000 and 5,400,000?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x5b089e…
11-01 02:14:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xdbce8e…
11-01 02:04:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x16b20a…
11-01 02:04:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xedd9ff…
11-01 01:45:28	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2cedc0…
11-01 01:44:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 0%-20%?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xf88f5a…
11-01 01:44:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 0%-20%?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xe1df7b…
11-01 01:44:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xa50e3b…
11-01 01:44:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x4b553d…
11-01 01:38:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xf9b8e0…
11-01 01:30:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x8bb131…
11-01 01:24:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xb93bea…
11-01 01:23:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6de0dd…
11-01 01:20:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1834ce…
11-01 01:10:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x457f1e…
11-01 01:04:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x0a75e8…
11-01 00:58:39	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc74dce…
11-01 00:49:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa08472…
11-01 00:43:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x20d6de…
11-01 00:36:18	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x0773a7…
11-01 00:24:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x3808ad…
11-01 00:17:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x4a146d…
11-01 00:13:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x506038…
11-01 00:12:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x3076e2…
11-01 00:01:31	Will UCLA Bruins Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x3305aa…
11-01 00:00:33	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x9835bf…
10-31 23:57:40	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xc1525d…
10-31 23:52:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x162189…
10-31 23:52:16	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xabe310…
10-31 23:52:07	Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x1eab48…
10-31 23:38:24	Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xa72daf…
10-31 23:27:33	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8783c6…
10-31 23:25:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xd07246…
10-31 22:54:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xaa01d7…
10-31 22:38:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xc473a6…
10-31 22:32:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb1ea3a…
10-31 22:27:43	Will the median home value in Miami be between $788,000 and $809,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x73413a…
10-31 22:27:40	Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x2db6c2…
10-31 22:27:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 55%-60%?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x55ff66…
10-31 22:27:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x7de9c7…
10-31 22:25:37	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x042711…
10-31 22:05:09	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	No	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xeb3279…
10-31 22:02:18	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x6b8dde…
10-31 22:00:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x2fe27d…
10-31 21:55:03	Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x9c7ef2…
10-31 21:42:42	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x277ea8…
10-31 21:22:25	Will "NAZA" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x24f341…
10-31 21:20:51	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x5ee7a5…
10-31 21:17:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x34f7dc…
10-31 21:14:16	Will James Cook III be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x3361fa…
10-31 21:07:45	Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x168841…
10-31 20:56:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3e1a5b…
10-31 20:55:04	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x726d96…
10-31 20:47:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x269de5…
10-31 20:42:54	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x965667…
10-31 20:40:49	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc52801…
10-31 20:38:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,550,000 and 2,700,000?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xcc7381…
10-31 20:27:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	No	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xc1df13…
10-31 20:25:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x762766…
10-31 20:12:15	Will Gabriel Moreno win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc09ac0…
10-31 20:10:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xa88bcb…
10-31 20:06:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x484843…
10-31 19:52:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf3d882…
10-31 19:42:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x719df2…
10-31 19:41:52	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x07c66f…
10-31 19:41:24	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x9ce437…
10-31 19:37:09	Will Jeremiah Smith be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0095d5…
10-31 19:35:52	Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xce5c78…
10-31 19:25:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xcb3044…
10-31 19:25:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0x01e8c6…
10-31 19:16:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x792501…
10-31 19:02:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xc1596a…
10-31 18:55:37	Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x16c3da…
10-31 18:46:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0ab4d4…
10-31 18:29:01	Will Bryce Underwood be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xf49d47…
10-31 18:21:24	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2c287b…
10-31 17:49:15	Will Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6c9e6c…
10-31 17:46:57	Will Diable play for Bilibili Gaming in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf6b226…
10-31 17:35:43	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xee82ea…
10-31 17:34:04	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x9aafdd…
10-31 17:20:52	Will Mike Malott fight Uros Medic next?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9d7a41…
10-31 17:11:13	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xae90b3…
10-31 17:05:49	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x8e8af3…
10-31 17:04:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xb7b665…
10-31 16:58:07	Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x38ee12…
10-31 16:18:42	Will Lille finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x782ea8…
10-31 16:10:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xfc5e2b…
10-31 15:53:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x5766af…
10-31 15:39:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 50%-55%?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x83053b…
10-31 15:34:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 50%-55%?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x4d777e…
10-31 15:29:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x86f891…
10-31 15:27:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,250,000 and 2,400,000?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x121cf3…
10-31 15:21:48	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x8bf865…
10-31 15:17:34	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0x712afa…
10-31 15:06:01	Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x209140…
10-31 15:02:24	Will GamerLegion win PARI Universe?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd48ab1…