Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

6.8%

Resolved (90d)

879

Trades (90d)

8,027

9,013 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$62.8K

$66.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-02 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

46% 6% -$906

Politics

36% 3% -$284

Crypto

8% 54% -$43

Sports

6% 9% -$54

Tech

3% 5% -$60

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+25	$20	84¢	$21	+$1	08-17 01:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	+20	$13	60¢	$12	-$1	11-01 23:18
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+25	$4	16¢	$4	+$0	08-17 01:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	09-30 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	19	$245	235	185	+50	No	-$2	08-19 08:43
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	17	$225	167	167	+0	No	+$1	09-28 03:02
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?	17	$180	162	162	+0	No	-$8	09-27 02:44
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	14	$176	131	131	+0	Yes	-$5	09-27 17:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	14	$156	152	152	+0	No	-$4	09-29 00:10
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	14	$154	126	126	+0	open	—	09-28 01:36
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	11	$153	130	130	+0	open	—	10-01 01:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	11	$136	130	130	+0	No	-$3	09-30 17:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?	8	$120	94	94	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 02:25
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	12	$115	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-23 23:30
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	14	$112	113	113	+0	open	—	10-13 14:46
Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	11	$109	70	70	+0	No	-$3	09-21 05:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10	$106	66	66	+0	open	—	10-10 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	6	$102	59	59	+0	No	$0	10-01 11:52
Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$101	83	83	+0	No	-$3	09-23 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	10-10 05:16
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	13	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 16:14
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	7	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	10-12 16:07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	6	$97	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-07 07:36
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027?	4	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 00:27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	9	$95	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-22 05:52
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	10	$94	92	92	+0	open	—	10-10 21:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	8	$93	87	87	+0	open	—	10-01 10:55
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$93	60	60	+0	open	—	09-20 19:36
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?	8	$92	77	77	+0	No	+$0	09-14 07:09
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	8	$91	84	84	+0	No	-$3	09-14 21:58
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	4	$91	60	60	+0	No	-$10	09-08 22:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	5	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	09-25 18:04
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	9	$89	62	62	+0	Yes	-$2	09-25 01:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	09-23 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:16:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 0%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x24fe60…
11-02 04:16:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x17731d…
11-02 03:50:18	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xb3d087…
11-02 03:28:09	Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xbbd2b3…
11-02 03:28:09	Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x33d7d1…
11-02 02:34:36	Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf88ab9…
11-02 02:34:24	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x7d3c21…
11-02 02:21:18	Will Javier Sanoja win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0c6af9…
11-02 02:09:40	Will Brighton finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x754fdf…
11-02 02:09:40	Will Brighton finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x736b11…
11-02 02:09:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x9324c6…
11-02 02:06:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x199f15…
11-02 02:02:31	Will UCLA Bruins Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x519336…
11-02 01:52:34	Will UCLA Bruins Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0xce95fe…
11-02 01:39:39	Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x63924a…
11-02 01:37:49	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xdded95…
11-02 01:37:49	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x2d30cb…
11-02 01:06:33	Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x4bf302…
11-02 00:59:45	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xbec7f0…
11-02 00:56:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x8ff07d…
11-02 00:45:54	Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb70ccd…
11-02 00:23:42	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x266e51…
11-02 00:13:31	Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb001de…
11-02 00:12:13	Will Anna Leigh Waters win exactly four Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xc51765…
11-01 23:55:49	Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x762067…
11-01 23:53:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x35a11c…
11-01 23:53:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x785440…
11-01 23:52:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x04c8f4…
11-01 23:28:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6380a5…
11-01 23:26:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa24e3d…
11-01 23:18:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x4503f3…
11-01 23:12:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc8135b…
11-01 23:10:06	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0cfc29…
11-01 23:05:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x1863dc…
11-01 23:03:42	Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5dd3f1…
11-01 23:02:36	Will DK Metcalf have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x51c320…
11-01 23:01:30	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xff81df…
11-01 22:43:52	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf96a0c…
11-01 22:40:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe4b272…
11-01 22:35:39	Will Jalen Hurts have 199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x234f3b…
11-01 22:34:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x6effbb…
11-01 22:31:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x404569…
11-01 22:24:18	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x6ad83a…
11-01 22:22:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe1843b…
11-01 22:19:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x701db6…
11-01 22:18:57	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8a5d4f…
11-01 22:17:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1dde04…
11-01 22:13:25	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3edc67…
11-01 22:13:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe18906…
11-01 22:07:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x364740…
11-01 22:02:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x47fc70…
11-01 21:55:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x44d614…
11-01 21:31:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x012317…
11-01 21:19:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4b768d…
11-01 21:13:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be less than 3,250,000?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x12fbf4…
11-01 21:10:09	Will Bijan Robinson win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf9875d…
11-01 20:14:27	Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x0ea8b0…
11-01 20:10:09	Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf0126d…
11-01 19:56:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x84cf09…
11-01 19:52:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x35e4d0…
11-01 19:50:16	Will Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xff01e2…
11-01 19:49:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x357148…
11-01 19:36:21	Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x8673c0…
11-01 19:35:31	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x181103…
11-01 19:29:01	Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x02c36f…
11-01 18:48:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x8e398c…
11-01 18:39:54	Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x28a9e1…
11-01 18:28:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xb7e147…
11-01 18:26:09	Will Caleb Williams have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x38e1f3…
11-01 18:07:30	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xe588ef…
11-01 18:05:55	Will Ben Johnson win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd350d8…
11-01 18:00:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x5f7871…
11-01 17:52:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x448f97…
11-01 17:38:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xc32c1a…
11-01 17:33:09	Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x14dd3b…
11-01 17:32:42	Will Ferran Torres (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x778e26…
11-01 17:13:03	Will Leroy Sané record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x8fedea…
11-01 17:06:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x921fc7…
11-01 17:00:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xda4bf3…
11-01 16:58:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x3053f6…
11-01 16:45:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x0931a6…
11-01 16:45:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf491e3…
11-01 16:42:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xdca639…
11-01 16:37:40	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xb0338e…
11-01 16:36:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x7abc5d…
11-01 16:29:43	Will Virginia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x696bfa…
11-01 15:58:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd2cae5…
11-01 15:40:04	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$0	0x23c65d…
11-01 15:35:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x80178a…
11-01 15:29:16	Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xbf43fa…
11-01 15:26:54	Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x52104e…
11-01 15:25:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa232ce…
11-01 15:22:54	Will Lucas Chevalier (PSG) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x04902c…
11-01 15:11:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 3% or more?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x27201f…
11-01 15:09:27	Will PP win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xbff1ce…
11-01 15:08:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xef5e65…
11-01 15:07:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x9b7450…
11-01 15:06:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x2fabae…
11-01 15:01:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xe659b3…
11-01 14:55:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x01e116…