Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$95

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

2.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

891

8,474 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$6.66K

$62.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-30 11:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

48% 6% -$799

Politics

34% 3% -$268

Crypto

9% 55% -$38

Sports

6% 9% -$52

Tech

3% 6% -$54

Pop-Culture

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+25	$20	88¢	$22	+$1	08-17 01:28
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+25	$4	12¢	$3	-$1	08-17 01:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	09-30 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	19	$245	235	185	+50	No	-$2	08-19 08:43
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	17	$225	167	167	+0	No	+$1	09-28 03:02
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?	17	$180	162	162	+0	No	-$8	09-27 02:44
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	14	$176	131	131	+0	Yes	-$5	09-27 17:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	14	$156	152	152	+0	open	—	09-29 00:10
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	14	$154	126	126	+0	open	—	09-28 01:36
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	11	$153	130	130	+0	open	—	10-01 01:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	11	$136	130	130	+0	No	-$3	09-30 17:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?	8	$120	94	94	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 02:25
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	12	$115	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-23 23:30
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	14	$112	113	113	+0	open	—	10-13 14:46
Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	11	$109	70	70	+0	No	-$3	09-21 05:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10	$106	66	66	+0	open	—	10-10 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	6	$102	59	59	+0	No	$0	10-01 11:52
Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$101	83	83	+0	No	-$3	09-23 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	10-10 05:16
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	13	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 16:14
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	7	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	10-12 16:07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	6	$97	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-07 07:36
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027?	4	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 00:27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	9	$95	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-22 05:52
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	10	$94	92	92	+0	open	—	10-10 21:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	8	$93	87	87	+0	open	—	10-01 10:55
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$93	60	60	+0	open	—	09-20 19:36
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?	8	$92	77	77	+0	No	+$0	09-14 07:09
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	8	$91	84	84	+0	No	-$3	09-14 21:58
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	4	$91	60	60	+0	No	-$10	09-08 22:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	5	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	09-25 18:04
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	9	$89	62	62	+0	Yes	-$2	09-25 01:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	09-23 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:20:30	Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd5bc07…
10-30 12:12:49	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be less than 250,000?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc73007…
10-30 12:09:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe48fc7…
10-30 12:07:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x528883…
10-30 12:07:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xbcd40d…
10-30 11:58:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x338eef…
10-30 11:50:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x3c0b2e…
10-30 11:45:52	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,850,000 and 3,000,000?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x4dc961…
10-30 11:35:12	Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe6528c…
10-30 11:35:12	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x9f0da5…
10-30 11:09:36	Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc90a7a…
10-30 11:04:19	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be 3,000,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6a6aa1…
10-30 11:04:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be 3,000,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdc802d…
10-30 10:57:40	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x9ad24c…
10-30 10:51:51	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xb8e596…
10-30 10:46:37	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x6f2b4b…
10-30 10:44:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x9ff1a9…
10-30 10:39:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x011d86…
10-30 10:23:25	Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe97f6b…
10-30 10:19:12	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 1% and 3%?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xfb61cf…
10-30 10:16:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf05613…
10-30 10:10:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xcf9791…
10-30 10:04:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x53c0a6…
10-30 10:02:12	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf6acfc…
10-30 10:00:07	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x74acd1…
10-30 10:00:07	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x3702d1…
10-30 09:58:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x188314…
10-30 09:47:34	Will Greens win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x3a3db4…
10-30 09:47:33	Will Greens win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x1f3975…
10-30 09:45:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xcba518…
10-30 09:43:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x4f653f…
10-30 09:33:12	Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x30f786…
10-30 09:26:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x044d97…
10-30 09:16:49	Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x391fe9…
10-30 09:03:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x995559…
10-30 09:01:19	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x143018…
10-30 08:57:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xfa1584…
10-30 08:52:12	Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x58c96e…
10-30 08:52:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 275,000 and 290,000?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xf4c392…
10-30 08:42:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3ef533…
10-30 08:37:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x98207d…
10-30 08:35:31	Will Brandon Miller win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x7cc4ad…
10-30 08:18:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be 4,750,000 or more?	No	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x1b01d9…
10-30 08:15:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd124cd…
10-30 08:14:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Attorney General election?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x8a77ba…
10-30 08:11:51	Will Anna Leigh Waters win six or more Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd96429…
10-30 08:06:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfabb33…
10-30 08:06:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x7f9a9e…
10-30 08:05:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x71990e…
10-30 08:04:24	Will Republicans win young men in the midterms?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x96a7ca…
10-30 07:49:24	Will James Cook finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xe5c848…
10-30 07:38:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x74412c…
10-30 07:17:22	Will Derrick Henry finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xffbe09…
10-30 07:17:22	Will Derrick Henry finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x071154…
10-30 07:15:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xaa5562…
10-30 07:08:37	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be 4,750,000 or more?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xfcd0bb…
10-30 06:56:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x12d9a5…
10-30 06:52:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x10897a…
10-30 06:41:16	Will Josh Allen have 3,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x7489de…
10-30 06:40:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0d5cee…
10-30 06:31:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x7c215a…
10-30 06:29:15	Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x2f0ba9…
10-30 06:25:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb7643e…
10-30 06:23:24	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x90d960…
10-30 06:12:18	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x3d1da6…
10-30 06:09:37	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x6640e8…
10-30 06:06:24	Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x69c99d…
10-30 05:50:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 0%-10%?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xa412f0…
10-30 05:44:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 0%-10%?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x92bfbb…
10-30 05:24:25	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x64ace4…
10-30 05:12:18	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0x2ae5d2…
10-30 05:05:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xac02bd…
10-30 05:05:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x4de5b3…
10-30 04:59:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x1ed6f5…
10-30 04:59:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x2bb29b…
10-30 04:54:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x15b6f4…
10-30 04:52:42	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc15443…
10-30 04:51:25	Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x97aa75…
10-30 04:42:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x5553da…
10-30 04:42:45	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x7e49f0…
10-30 04:41:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc02eee…
10-30 04:18:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 70%-75%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc86720…
10-30 04:10:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x0c4fc1…
10-30 04:08:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x754ba4…
10-30 04:08:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x40cb4a…
10-30 04:07:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xc92f85…
10-30 04:06:06	Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x9dbaeb…
10-30 04:05:58	Will Qatar win Group F at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x9bea88…
10-30 04:05:48	Will Harry Kane score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x731215…
10-30 04:04:07	Will an FBS Independent win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xfad96b…
10-30 03:48:27	Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x794497…
10-30 03:38:09	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xe01fdf…
10-30 03:36:10	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xffc046…
10-30 03:17:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x2c1ec2…
10-30 02:52:52	Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x3bf703…
10-30 02:40:00	Will Zay Flowers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x12f3f6…
10-30 02:36:43	Will Liverpool finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x8269fa…
10-30 02:36:33	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0e20e4…
10-30 02:25:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x48acc4…
10-30 02:24:54	Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xbcd129…