Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$598

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

4.3%

Resolved (30d)

423

Trades (30d)

3,312

9,132 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$26.8K

$67.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-02 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

46% 6% -$952

Politics

36% 3% -$287

Crypto

8% 54% -$43

Sports

6% 9% -$54

Tech

3% 5% -$60

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+25	$20	84¢	$21	+$1	08-17 01:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	+20	$13	62¢	$12	$0	11-01 23:18
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+25	$4	16¢	$4	+$0	08-17 01:28
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	+20	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	11-02 17:55
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+0	$0	11¢	$0	$0	09-30 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	19	$245	235	185	+50	No	-$2	08-19 08:43
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	17	$225	167	167	+0	No	+$1	09-28 03:02
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?	17	$180	162	162	+0	No	-$8	09-27 02:44
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	14	$176	131	131	+0	Yes	-$5	09-27 17:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	14	$156	152	152	+0	No	-$4	09-29 00:10
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	14	$154	126	126	+0	open	—	09-28 01:36
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	11	$153	130	130	+0	open	—	10-01 01:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	11	$136	130	130	+0	No	-$3	09-30 17:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?	8	$120	94	94	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 02:25
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	12	$115	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-23 23:30
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	14	$112	113	113	+0	Yes	-$3	10-13 14:46
Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	11	$109	70	70	+0	No	-$3	09-21 05:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10	$106	66	66	+0	open	—	10-10 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	6	$102	59	59	+0	No	$0	10-01 11:52
Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$101	83	83	+0	No	-$3	09-23 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	10-10 05:16
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	13	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 16:14
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	7	$98	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	10-12 16:07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	6	$97	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-07 07:36
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2027?	4	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	10-10 00:27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	9	$95	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-22 05:52
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	10	$94	92	92	+0	open	—	10-10 21:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	8	$93	87	87	+0	open	—	10-01 10:55
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$93	60	60	+0	open	—	09-20 19:36
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?	8	$92	77	77	+0	No	+$0	09-14 07:09
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	8	$91	84	84	+0	No	-$3	09-14 21:58
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	4	$91	60	60	+0	No	-$10	09-08 22:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	5	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	09-25 18:04
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	9	$89	62	62	+0	Yes	-$2	09-25 01:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	09-23 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 22:20:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc87e46…
11-02 22:20:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0x61b1ab…
11-02 22:19:42	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xcd8dcb…
11-02 22:11:25	Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0a0133…
11-02 22:09:09	Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x7ef1ad…
11-02 22:02:13	Will Alabama have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9a50b6…
11-02 22:01:34	Will Kylian Mbappé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe2ee2e…
11-02 21:55:43	Will Kylian Mbappé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe41c36…
11-02 21:34:34	Will Leroy Sané record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1aef07…
11-02 21:26:54	Will brawk play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x04ddfb…
11-02 21:11:13	Will Bijan Robinson win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xf9c65f…
11-02 20:52:30	Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x94fc57…
11-02 20:46:58	Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4bff14…
11-02 20:41:12	Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0x8a0b2a…
11-02 20:38:43	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb69ae2…
11-02 20:22:36	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x331f6b…
11-02 20:20:24	Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xec1be0…
11-02 20:19:00	Will Matthew Stafford be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8af049…
11-02 20:16:51	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x00aa98…
11-02 20:14:00	Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xec6a57…
11-02 20:12:34	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in November?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa9876a…
11-02 20:08:06	Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x550f4e…
11-02 20:03:49	Will Ferran Torres (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x050bf1…
11-02 19:47:16	Will With Tapes and Toasts in the Car win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1ac702…
11-02 19:41:49	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x847753…
11-02 19:39:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x588449…
11-02 19:37:00	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xf108fb…
11-02 19:16:06	Will Sevilla finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfafabe…
11-02 18:58:04	Will Caleb Williams have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xf29cc3…
11-02 18:37:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x1e6758…
11-02 18:33:52	Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x979ad4…
11-02 18:29:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x378898…
11-02 18:23:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x3e1bd9…
11-02 18:23:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x1055f2…
11-02 18:16:39	Will Vladislav Kondratovič win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x783da1…
11-02 18:06:48	Will Ben Johnson win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa096d5…
11-02 18:03:42	Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9013f1…
11-02 17:55:18	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x589aac…
11-02 17:37:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x362857…
11-02 17:31:13	Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2b2ff6…
11-02 17:09:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x419f9a…
11-02 17:06:36	Will Virginia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x861ba3…
11-02 17:01:07	Will Virginia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xdcf055…
11-02 17:00:25	Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x4f91b9…
11-02 16:50:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x6109f6…
11-02 16:30:03	Will Brighton finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd0df8b…
11-02 16:24:27	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xa9cd09…
11-02 16:12:18	Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xedce99…
11-02 16:01:49	Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xb3e3fc…
11-02 15:59:42	Will Green Bay Packers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xccacdc…
11-02 15:26:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xf79123…
11-02 15:18:45	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xa0847c…
11-02 15:12:55	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x8f8a5a…
11-02 15:12:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 3% or more?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x46aef1…
11-02 15:06:36	Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xab1909…
11-02 14:44:04	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9e64ed…
11-02 14:02:28	Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x5ebdf5…
11-02 13:43:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x37ad03…
11-02 13:40:54	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	U 8.5	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfa761e…
11-02 13:33:42	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x8253ae…
11-02 13:24:57	Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x527fdc…
11-02 13:17:40	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x948e5d…
11-02 13:09:36	Will Bologna finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x38a7ed…
11-02 13:08:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x6def61…
11-02 13:07:12	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x5bc217…
11-02 13:02:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x738b65…
11-02 13:01:01	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xf5254f…
11-02 12:51:19	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in November 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x782698…
11-02 12:15:06	Will Iran win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x2604e1…
11-02 11:58:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xccffef…
11-02 11:42:45	Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?	Kansas	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xf9ae9d…
11-02 11:37:31	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x60971d…
11-02 11:04:06	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xa8cf9f…
11-02 10:19:16	Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x47c9d6…
11-02 10:17:19	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x0ac1bb…
11-02 10:13:55	Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x4ba5d0…
11-02 09:53:18	Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x555c9c…
11-02 09:46:51	Will Viking reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xe8bbe2…
11-02 08:42:52	Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x04e226…
11-02 08:29:51	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc55532…
11-02 08:13:45	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8ac8a4…
11-02 08:08:06	Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x4e4444…
11-02 07:27:58	Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x00e8f7…
11-02 07:20:22	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x41d389…
11-02 07:20:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0544cb…
11-02 07:19:31	Will Simone Tebet be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd6e8bf…
11-02 07:19:27	Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xf313e9…
11-02 07:19:19	Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x72e005…
11-02 07:12:57	Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xdd577d…
11-02 07:08:34	Will Liberty Flames Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	No	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x45e338…
11-02 07:08:22	Will Zach Hyman record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf69592…
11-02 06:24:15	Will Iowa have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x5aa472…
11-02 06:24:10	Will Dylan Harper win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x18fdcc…
11-02 06:23:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xa3210f…
11-02 06:23:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x21ba29…
11-02 06:21:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xfb502d…
11-02 05:59:07	Will Barcelona finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$14	0x23f072…
11-02 05:58:24	Will Trevor Lawrence finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc87b13…
11-02 05:50:52	Will valyn play for NRG in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2472d0…
11-02 05:37:09	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf578a7…