(anonymous) 0x6fc655…644690
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$715
Unrealized P&L
-$134
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
200
Trades
1,506
lifetime
Volume
$64.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$1.16K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 02:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
42% 39% -$974
Politics
22% 40% -$556
Sports
19% 53% +$395
Crypto
17% 54% +$477
Tech
0% 0% -$56
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -400 -$344 98¢ $-392 -$48 08-24 11:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -206 -$186 94¢ $-194 -$9 07-30 11:40
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +339 $153 55¢ $185 +$32 10-21 22:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +253 $164 66¢ $168 +$4 10-21 12:03
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +253 $78 34¢ $86 +$7 10-21 12:15
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -60 -$59 97¢ $-58 +$1 10-22 21:35
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +180 $29 16¢ $29 +$0 10-24 13:24
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +125 $18 20¢ $26 +$8 10-25 18:22
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +40 $14 29¢ $11 -$2 10-23 13:09
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -67 -$23 6¢ $-4 +$19 07-30 11:41
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +188 $149 2¢ $4 -$145 10-26 13:07
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $1 3¢ $2 +$0 10-27 02:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $2 -$1 10-27 01:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-27 02:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +48 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-27 01:21
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +253 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 10-21 12:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -10 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$1 08-24 11:19