Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$227

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,934

lifetime

Volume

$57.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

12 positions

First seen

2026-07-10

last 10-27 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% -$194

Politics

17% 0% -$9

Tech

5% 0% -$23

Crypto

2% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	10-16 04:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	10-11 14:56
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?	No	+0	$2	97¢	$0	-$2	10-10 14:56
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	10-27 20:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	09-28 14:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+0	$1	94¢	$0	-$1	10-27 16:48
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	No	+0	$2	94¢	$0	-$2	10-06 13:04
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	+0	$5	7¢	$0	-$5	10-23 03:08
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	10-09 11:16
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	+0	$2	3¢	$0	-$2	10-21 21:19
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	No	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	09-22 13:49
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+0	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	09-22 17:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	29	$2.0K	1,280	1,280	-0	open	—	10-21 07:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	48	$1.4K	1,276	1,276	+0	open	—	10-23 07:19
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	18	$1.2K	753	753	+0	open	—	10-21 19:55
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	27	$1.1K	1,341	1,341	+0	open	—	10-18 04:40
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	24	$1.0K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	10-23 12:56
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	13	$931	591	591	+0	open	—	10-15 10:37
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	11	$798	521	521	+0	open	—	10-23 14:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	11	$787	559	559	+0	open	—	10-14 10:06
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	8	$772	512	512	+0	open	—	10-22 07:51
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	10	$761	418	418	+0	open	—	09-29 14:55
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	12	$760	515	515	+0	open	—	09-29 18:28
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	18	$733	501	501	+0	open	—	10-23 13:55
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?	31	$703	507	507	+0	open	—	10-06 10:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	14	$657	636	636	+0	open	—	10-21 04:28
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	16	$606	632	632	+0	open	—	09-21 12:37
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	10	$579	510	510	+0	open	—	10-18 14:35
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	5	$565	308	308	+0	open	—	10-21 23:54
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?	5	$564	308	308	+0	open	—	09-29 06:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?	9	$560	537	332	+205	Yes	-$6	10-20 12:40
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	9	$558	372	372	+0	open	—	10-15 08:16
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	13	$557	472	472	+0	open	—	10-23 15:39
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	7	$557	357	357	+0	open	—	10-10 22:44
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	13	$515	659	659	+0	open	—	10-22 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	10	$515	423	423	+0	open	—	10-22 13:07
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	10	$474	365	365	+0	open	—	10-22 06:15
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	10	$448	286	286	+0	open	—	10-21 19:36
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	7	$435	261	261	+0	open	—	10-07 19:32
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?	11	$429	609	609	+0	open	—	10-10 14:56
Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	12	$418	588	588	+0	open	—	10-23 00:18
GTA VI released by November 30?	12	$415	616	616	+0	open	—	10-23 00:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:53:17	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xd648e8…
10-27 20:53:15	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xf19588…
10-27 20:52:05	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe90e23…
10-27 20:52:03	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfc8fb1…
10-27 16:48:21	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	104	93¢	$97	0x9468ab…
10-27 16:48:18	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	104	94¢	$98	0x6f401f…
10-27 14:15:41	Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xffff28…
10-27 14:15:41	Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	102	94¢	$96	0x616bb8…
10-27 14:15:39	Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	102	94¢	$96	0x7ef21c…
10-27 13:17:11	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	4¢	$4	0x21f4b7…
10-27 13:17:09	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xf9a908…
10-27 08:58:48	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	203	6¢	$11	0x33ead3…
10-27 08:58:47	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	101	6¢	$6	0xde123e…
10-27 08:58:47	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	102	6¢	$6	0xca7915…
10-27 08:37:50	Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	SELL	102	92¢	$94	0x3eb147…
10-27 08:37:48	Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	102	93¢	$95	0x4c5a8c…
10-27 07:52:17	Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?	No	SELL	205	0¢	$0	0x3bf472…
10-23 23:18:51	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	206	3¢	$6	0xff5b05…
10-23 19:20:33	Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	203	7¢	$14	0x0057a6…
10-23 18:35:15	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x04a833…
10-23 15:50:08	Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	102	9¢	$9	0xcba181…
10-23 15:39:39	Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	203	76¢	$154	0x76e593…
10-23 15:39:36	Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0x02c37d…
10-23 14:34:00	Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	203	97¢	$197	0x7ba9f7…
10-23 14:33:59	Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$99	0x772be1…
10-23 14:30:44	Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x6b0bf8…
10-23 14:30:42	Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x7e6ef0…
10-23 14:21:57	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0x6d8184…
10-23 14:21:56	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x23b0e0…
10-23 14:21:56	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x2323ca…
10-23 14:21:56	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x0c872f…
10-23 14:20:06	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	7¢	$7	0x5a0a21…
10-23 14:20:05	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	8¢	$8	0x440bb8…
10-23 14:14:02	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0x67f826…
10-23 14:14:00	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x5a3708…
10-23 13:55:15	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	8¢	$8	0x2c42f0…
10-23 13:55:14	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	9¢	$9	0xe2b6b5…
10-23 13:16:56	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	103	6¢	$6	0xfd3d7d…
10-23 13:16:54	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	103	7¢	$7	0xaf9fc7…
10-23 12:56:14	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	92¢	$94	0xfd9ea8…
10-23 12:56:12	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	93¢	$95	0x55ca7d…
10-23 12:51:50	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0x363328…
10-23 12:18:53	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	206	6¢	$12	0x93ba22…
10-23 12:18:51	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	102	7¢	$7	0xf95c17…
10-23 12:18:51	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	104	6¢	$6	0xf39293…
10-23 11:40:02	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xbb73fd…
10-23 11:40:00	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xf253eb…
10-23 11:40:00	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xd3e40b…
10-23 10:16:27	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	102	6¢	$6	0x8afd09…
10-23 10:16:26	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	102	7¢	$7	0x60380a…
10-23 07:56:41	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	98	94¢	$92	0xb8f1ff…
10-23 07:56:39	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0xae33da…
10-23 07:19:50	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	106	3¢	$3	0x2f2695…
10-23 07:19:44	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	No	SELL	91	6¢	$5	0x53de50…
10-23 07:19:38	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	103	92¢	$95	0x7de68c…
10-23 03:37:33	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	92¢	$95	0x9859bf…
10-23 03:37:32	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xe24117…
10-23 03:37:32	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	93¢	$96	0x79b771…
10-23 03:37:30	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xe2cbd0…
10-23 03:37:30	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	103	93¢	$96	0xb831be…
10-23 03:08:36	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	6¢	$6	0xbce479…
10-23 03:08:35	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0xf137d5…
10-23 03:08:35	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x6d413f…
10-23 02:59:24	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	102	7¢	$7	0xb1ea77…
10-23 02:59:21	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	102	8¢	$8	0xa1ca73…
10-23 02:26:45	Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	95	91¢	$87	0x7aa905…
10-23 02:26:44	Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	95	93¢	$88	0x15a539…
10-23 01:42:50	Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	203	94¢	$190	0x852b9b…
10-23 01:42:48	Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	102	94¢	$95	0x320dfb…
10-23 00:18:09	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	101	93¢	$94	0x24c7a5…
10-23 00:18:06	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	101	93¢	$94	0x62a427…
10-23 00:18:06	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	101	94¢	$95	0x1d2e47…
10-23 00:18:05	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x2b364b…
10-23 00:18:05	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x1800a3…
10-23 00:18:05	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x0fe677…
10-23 00:16:05	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x64c96c…
10-23 00:16:03	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x2f4f71…
10-23 00:08:32	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x7b1cba…
10-23 00:08:30	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x1d76a6…
10-23 00:07:02	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0x802a69…
10-23 00:07:00	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	BUY	102	3¢	$3	0x8459d7…
10-22 23:29:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xeb4c04…
10-22 23:29:18	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x5deba1…
10-22 22:05:02	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	SELL	203	3¢	$6	0xc8d026…
10-22 22:05:00	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0xb257ec…
10-22 21:31:57	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0x50c51c…
10-22 21:31:56	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xe2e5fb…
10-22 21:31:56	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8e72c6…
10-22 21:26:15	Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	76	8¢	$6	0xc41a06…
10-22 21:26:14	Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	76	9¢	$7	0xe472e9…
10-22 19:31:42	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0x418d3b…
10-22 19:31:41	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x162a44…
10-22 19:29:21	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	No	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xcc2435…
10-22 19:29:20	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	No	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xc5e9d0…
10-22 19:29:20	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	103	7¢	$7	0x51402c…
10-22 19:29:20	Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x4edc4c…
10-22 19:29:18	Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xd20092…
10-22 19:29:18	Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x9fc650…
10-22 19:29:18	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x995079…
10-22 19:01:03	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xac0092…