Realized P&L (7d)
-$227
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
21.3%
Resolved (7d)
562
Trades (7d)
166
131,270 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$109
$125.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$175
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 08:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
52% 30% -$668
Politics
26% 36% +$6,093
Crypto
13% 35% -$112
Sports
5% 35% +$156
Tech
2% 49% +$208
Pop-Culture
2% 38% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes -20 $0 88¢ $-18 -$18 07-02 22:22
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -18 -$13 96¢ $-18 -$4 06-27 18:24
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes -16 -$2 96¢ $-15 -$14 11-03 01:41
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$8 92¢ $-12 -$4 07-06 10:34
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +11 $4 98¢ $11 +$7 11-02 03:42
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +10 $3 94¢ $9 +$6 06-01 03:49
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +11 $4 78¢ $8 +$4 11-03 05:22
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +170 -$4 4¢ $7 +$11 11-02 14:47
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -13 -$4 50¢ $-6 -$3 07-20 20:14
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? Yes +7 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 08-12 20:57
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -6 -$5 94¢ $-6 -$1 05-04 14:46
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes -6 -$1 97¢ $-6 -$4 05-24 11:59
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-02 00:54
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -97 -$2 6¢ $-5 -$4 05-06 08:05
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? No -5 -$4 88¢ $-4 $0 05-11 09:56
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes -5 -$2 78¢ $-4 -$2 05-16 09:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -3 -$4 98¢ $-3 +$1 08-07 18:57
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes +325 $2 1¢ $3 +$2 11-05 08:45
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 05-15 21:34
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $2 71¢ $3 +$1 07-01 20:51
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +3 $1 96¢ $3 +$2 07-15 22:42
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? No +3 $2 92¢ $2 +$1 04-30 18:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +2 $0 98¢ $2 +$2 08-05 16:58
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -5 -$8 40¢ $-2 +$6 11-04 01:34
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? Yes +2 $1 91¢ $2 +$1 04-30 18:39
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +2 -$3 88¢ $2 +$5 07-13 12:17
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +5 $3 44¢ $2 -$1 07-14 19:30
Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 05-28 01:25
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -66 -$2 3¢ $-2 +$0 08-01 06:34
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +2 -$1 92¢ $2 +$3 08-22 23:17