Realized P&L
-$2.58K
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
85.7%
Resolved
1,534
Trades
5,403
lifetime
Volume
$147.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 10-28 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
76% 78% -$662
Crypto
11% 80% -$1,802
Sports
7% 61% -$21
Politics
6% 60% -$141
Tech
1% 82% +$41
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -172 -$126 96¢ $-165 -$39 08-06 10:56
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -125 -$114 98¢ $-122 -$8 05-30 05:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No -119 -$102 96¢ $-114 -$12 05-03 19:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -127 -$100 83¢ $-105 -$5 06-23 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +109 $24 90¢ $98 +$73 08-28 16:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$55 90¢ $-90 -$34 08-19 15:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +80 $45 82¢ $65 +$20 05-23 18:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -146 -$60 38¢ $-56 +$3 07-05 08:47
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No -55 -$52 94¢ $-52 -$1 06-09 07:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -54 -$37 78¢ $-42 -$5 06-18 09:53
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -41 -$33 94¢ $-39 -$5 06-18 09:53
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 +87 $31 34¢ $30 -$1 10-15 16:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -82 -$46 32¢ $-26 +$21 05-29 16:24
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No -26 -$21 99¢ $-25 -$5 04-29 23:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -28 -$37 90¢ $-25 +$11 06-17 12:19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -23 -$21 97¢ $-22 -$1 06-28 13:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -21 -$19 98¢ $-20 -$2 05-06 11:14
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -24 -$20 82¢ $-20 $0 06-16 13:26
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -17 -$16 96¢ $-16 -$1 05-10 13:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +151 $76 11¢ $16 -$60 08-09 20:51
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +18 $11 86¢ $16 +$4 10-15 22:51
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No -16 -$15 96¢ $-16 -$1 07-06 08:38
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +439 $16 4¢ $15 $0 06-04 07:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +79 $24 18¢ $15 -$9 05-03 23:25
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -244 -$12 5¢ $-13 -$1 06-18 09:56
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$12 97¢ $-13 -$1 06-04 07:48
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No -17 -$11 71¢ $-12 -$1 09-05 11:10
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +24 $20 48¢ $12 -$8 08-13 22:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -35 -$17 32¢ $-11 +$6 09-05 11:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -39 -$15 28¢ $-11 +$5 06-27 13:18