Realized P&L
+$68
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,735
lifetime
Volume
$28.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$942
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-30 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
67% 78% $-0
Crypto
14%
Politics
12% 100% +$73
Sports
6% 50% $-4
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +213 $131 70¢ $148 +$17 06-28 06:58
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -125 $-114 94¢ $-117 $-3 05-30 05:26
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -102 $-85 86¢ $-87 $-3 06-17 12:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +104 $54 52¢ $55 +$0 06-27 10:31
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No -55 $-52 90¢ $-50 +$1 06-09 07:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -54 $-37 66¢ $-35 +$2 06-18 09:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +196 $41 16¢ $32 $-9 06-24 19:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -56 $-26 56¢ $-32 $-6 06-18 09:53
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +65 $40 46¢ $30 $-10 06-03 22:05
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -75 $-34 31¢ $-23 +$10 06-18 09:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -23 $-27 100¢ $-23 +$4 06-01 12:51
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -56 $-28 40¢ $-23 +$6 06-15 21:16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -23 $-21 92¢ $-21 +$0 06-28 13:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No -28 $-18 75¢ $-21 $-2 06-14 06:34
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes -25 $-21 84¢ $-21 +$0 06-18 10:12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -24 $-20 84¢ $-20 $-1 06-16 13:26
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +52 $8 39¢ $20 +$12 06-01 05:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +94 $45 21¢ $20 $-25 05-29 15:27
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -24 $-15 74¢ $-18 $-2 06-18 10:12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +96 $15 17¢ $16 +$1 06-28 23:42
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-14 89¢ $-15 $-1 06-18 10:12
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -38 $-16 40¢ $-15 +$1 06-18 09:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-14 80¢ $-15 $-1 06-18 09:53
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? No -20 $-18 75¢ $-15 +$3 06-09 09:41
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +17 $13 82¢ $14 +$1 06-11 23:00
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -18 $-12 70¢ $-13 $-1 06-18 09:43
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-12 94¢ $-12 $-0 06-04 07:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-0 06-03 05:07
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +12 $10 89¢ $10 +$0 06-25 01:01
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 06-28 13:45