Realized P&L
+$399
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
77.0%
Resolved
1,036
Trades
4,560
lifetime
Volume
$25.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$255
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 05-04 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
69% 25% +$608
Politics
14% 83% -$218
Sports
11% 82% +$7
Tech
4% 58% +$1
Crypto
1% 100% +$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +180 $137 99¢ $178 +$41 04-29 04:32
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +30 $25 99¢ $30 +$5 04-30 16:24
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +21 $19 98¢ $21 +$1 04-30 16:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +30 $11 45¢ $14 +$2 04-30 17:43
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +30 $26 43¢ $13 -$13 04-30 16:47
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +30 $19 2¢ $0 -$18 04-30 16:25