Ill-Diving — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,228

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 04-23 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

72% 79% $-16

Politics

19% 0% $-1

Sports

5% 100% +$14

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 353 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win Kontinental Hockey League?	No		+7	$6	0¢	$0	$-6	04-15 05:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	21	$434	435	0	+435	open	—	04-12 04:46
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	21	$306	348	87	+262	open	—	04-12 04:46
will another outcome occur in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	16	$99	94	6	+88	open	—	04-12 06:44
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	10	$99	168	0	+168	open	—	04-10 17:00
Will Seattle have between 4.5 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	8	$98	67	38	+29	open	—	04-12 03:31
Will Seattle have more than 5 inches of precipitation in April?	8	$97	67	38	+29	open	—	04-12 03:31
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	18	$97	92	18	+74	open	—	04-12 06:44
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	16	$90	94	6	+88	open	—	04-12 06:44
will g2 esports win the lec 2026 versus	6	$90	130	130	+0	open	—	03-01 20:44
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	21	$84	413	22	+392	open	—	04-12 04:46
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	18	$83	78	33	+45	open	—	04-12 10:50
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	16	$78	74	25	+49	open	—	04-12 06:44
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	13	$77	76	1	+76	open	—	04-01 16:16
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	13	$77	76	1	+76	open	—	04-01 16:16
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 190 214	13	$77	76	1	+76	open	—	04-01 16:16
Will Seattle have between 4 and 4.5 inches of precipitation in April?	7	$77	57	29	+29	open	—	04-12 03:31
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	13	$76	76	1	+76	open	—	04-01 16:16
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	16	$76	87	13	+74	open	—	04-12 06:44
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 0 39	13	$74	76	0	+76	open	—	04-01 16:16
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	14	$72	81	7	+74	open	—	04-12 06:44
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	13	$69	76	0	+76	open	—	04-01 16:16
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	12	$69	70	6	+64	open	—	04-01 16:16
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	18	$67	94	16	+78	open	—	04-12 06:44
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	14	$67	69	19	+49	open	—	04-12 06:44
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	3	$64	35	30	+4	open	—	04-10 15:42
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	14	$61	76	0	+76	open	—	04-01 16:26
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	3	$61	42	20	+22	open	—	03-31 12:51
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?	7	$61	57	29	+29	open	—	04-12 03:31
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	4	$61	62	0	+62	open	—	04-01 07:33
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	4	$55	55	7	+48	open	—	04-01 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-23 13:35:18	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x41bd48…
04-17 19:23:36	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xe8503c…
04-17 08:45:56	Will Hong Kong have between 170-180mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x5d61b4…
04-16 15:02:06	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x93dc5d…
04-15 13:56:10	will man i need olivia dean be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x66565d…
04-15 13:54:12	will man i need olivia dean be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	Yes	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0xf008e9…
04-15 08:49:44	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 5 9	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xf3627a…
04-15 08:49:32	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 15 19	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1097da…
04-15 08:49:22	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 20 24	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x865791…
04-15 08:49:10	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 25 29	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x5732ae…
04-15 08:48:56	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 30 34	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa5458a…
04-15 08:48:46	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 35 39	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x70b937…
04-15 08:48:22	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 10 14	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x7a38da…
04-15 08:48:10	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 0 4	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x9a357b…
04-15 08:48:00	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xe4d396…
04-15 08:47:46	Will Dinamo Minsk win Kontinental Hockey League?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xbadfa2…
04-15 08:44:56	will be her ella langley be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xff3069…
04-15 08:44:46	will i just might bruno mars be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x96fbcc…
04-15 08:44:32	will be her ella langley be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x8d02e1…
04-15 08:44:22	will i just might bruno mars be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x88abb8…
04-15 08:43:18	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 0 4	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xec3c76…
04-15 08:43:08	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 5 9	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5b23a0…
04-15 08:42:58	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 15 19	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x835de5…
04-15 08:42:48	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 20 24	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xa88131…
04-15 08:42:36	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 30 34	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa9d06c…
04-15 08:36:06	Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0xc52000…
04-15 08:36:06	Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x8fbd66…
04-15 08:24:22	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xc3ba5c…
04-15 08:24:22	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x373762…
04-15 08:24:10	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 yzbu	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x4c5189…
04-15 08:14:24	will so easy to fall in love olivia dean be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x745b61…
04-15 08:14:24	will ordinary alex warren be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63ba34…
04-15 08:14:24	will swim bts be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f1c09…
04-15 08:14:24	will be her ella langley be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x08e71c…
04-15 08:08:46	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xd56d80…
04-15 08:08:46	will 10 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xc9ea2d…
04-15 08:08:46	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xbb001e…
04-15 08:08:46	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x2cd467…
04-15 08:08:46	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x0da3c9…
04-15 07:52:46	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x812cd9…
04-15 07:37:38	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe16379…
04-15 07:37:34	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xea0b55…
04-15 07:37:34	Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xcc5582…
04-15 07:37:34	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbf6b34…
04-15 07:37:34	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x910905…
04-15 07:37:34	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5f538c…
04-15 07:37:34	Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3c1f49…
04-15 07:34:52	Will Nottm Forest finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfce37c…
04-15 07:34:52	Will Tottenham finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf1bdbb…
04-15 07:34:52	Will West Ham finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d4321…
04-15 07:34:52	Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x63083f…
04-15 07:34:52	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x318413…
04-15 06:55:16	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2bec39…
04-15 06:55:14	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe32442…
04-15 06:55:14	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa920be…
04-15 06:55:14	Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x10642c…
04-15 06:55:14	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x075a65…
04-15 06:39:46	Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf8530a…
04-15 06:39:46	Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xacfdb8…
04-15 06:26:42	Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x9c320e…
04-15 05:44:08	Will Metallurg Magnitogorsk win Kontinental Hockey League?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xa97d8c…
04-15 05:35:30	Will Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win Kontinental Hockey League?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xf5c7c6…
04-15 05:35:30	Will CSKA Moscow win Kontinental Hockey League?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb1f60d…
04-15 05:35:30	Will Ak Bars Kazan win Kontinental Hockey League?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x7925bb…
04-15 05:35:30	Will Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod win Kontinental Hockey League?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x41ecf8…
04-15 05:35:30	Will Avangard Omsk win Kontinental Hockey League?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x095806…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 20 24	No	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0xfaae83…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 10 14	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xe899cb…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 0 4	No	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xd6a04c…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 25 29	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xd64d3f…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 35 39	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbce38b…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 30 34	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xbb64e5…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 60plus	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb19c79…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 50 54	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7c1011…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 15 19	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x64167f…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 40 44	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x33e388…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 55 59	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0af67b…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 5 9	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x00be1b…
04-15 04:45:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 45 49	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x00ad1d…
04-15 03:28:16	Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x181e76…
04-15 03:13:04	Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Paddy Pimblett next?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xaeecae…
04-15 03:13:04	Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xadb551…
04-15 03:13:04	Will Conor McGregor fight Paddy Pimblett next?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x677d65…
04-15 03:13:04	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Paddy Pimblett next?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x360026…
04-15 03:13:04	Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x0b575a…
04-15 03:06:46	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x70def9…
04-15 03:06:46	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x2e8c3e…
04-15 03:06:46	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x26c6b6…
04-15 02:51:38	will 10 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xc3115e…
04-15 02:51:38	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 yzbu	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x97d203…
04-15 02:51:38	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x54ef6e…
04-15 02:51:38	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x24a0f6…
04-15 02:51:38	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1c53a5…
04-15 02:51:38	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x105171…
04-15 02:38:36	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 20 24	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa6deda…
04-15 02:26:26	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 5 9	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe961be…
04-15 02:26:26	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 10 14	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe67084…
04-15 02:26:26	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 55 59	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc48ee5…
04-15 02:26:26	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 50 54	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa05f7f…
04-15 02:26:26	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 25 29	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x87730c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	847	$452.2K	90,175	04-28 10:44
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	796	$344.6K	11,103	04-28 00:04
Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d	781	$63.5K	10,899	04-28 10:20
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92	755	$364.9K	13,124	04-28 10:55
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	665	$86.8K	6,108	04-28 04:01
(anonymous) 0x5aec…904b	646	$229.5K	14,771	04-28 03:04
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	640	$3.63M	64,326	04-28 10:37
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	610	$176.1K	10,972	04-13 04:51