Ill-Diving — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

1,767

Trades

4,181

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 09-10 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

74% 75% -$27

Politics

18% 75% -$1

Sports

5% 81% -$25

Crypto

2% 91% +$11

Pop-Culture

1% 91% $0

Tech

1% 69% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	21	$434	435	0	+435	No	+$0	04-12 04:46
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	21	$306	348	87	+262	No	+$68	04-12 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	2	$106	57	57	+0	No	+$7	08-14 11:51
will another outcome occur in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	16	$99	94	6	+88	No	+$0	04-12 06:44
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	10	$99	168	0	+168	No	+$69	04-10 17:00
Will Seattle have between 4.5 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	8	$98	67	38	+29	No	+$0	04-12 03:31
Will Seattle have more than 5 inches of precipitation in April?	8	$97	67	38	+29	No	+$1	04-12 03:31
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	18	$97	92	18	+74	No	+$3	04-12 06:44
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	16	$90	94	6	+88	No	+$5	04-12 06:44
will g2 esports win the lec 2026 versus	6	$90	130	130	+0	Yes	-$4	03-01 20:44
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	21	$84	413	22	+392	Yes	-$69	04-12 04:46
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	18	$83	78	33	+45	No	+$6	04-12 10:50
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	16	$78	74	25	+49	No	+$3	04-12 06:44
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	13	$77	76	1	+76	No	+$0	04-01 16:16
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	13	$77	76	1	+76	No	+$0	04-01 16:16
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 190 214	13	$77	76	1	+76	No	+$0	04-01 16:16
Will Seattle have between 4 and 4.5 inches of precipitation in April?	7	$77	57	29	+29	No	+$1	04-12 03:31
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	13	$76	76	1	+76	No	+$1	04-01 16:16
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	16	$76	87	13	+74	No	+$18	04-12 06:44
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 0 39	13	$74	76	0	+76	No	+$3	04-01 16:16
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	14	$72	81	7	+74	No	+$10	04-12 06:44
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	13	$69	76	0	+76	No	+$7	04-01 16:16
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	12	$69	70	6	+64	No	+$1	04-01 16:16
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	18	$67	94	16	+78	Yes	-$50	04-12 06:44
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	14	$67	69	19	+49	No	+$3	04-12 06:44
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	3	$64	35	30	+4	No	+$0	04-10 15:42
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	14	$61	76	0	+76	Yes	-$61	04-01 16:26
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	3	$61	42	20	+22	No	+$0	03-31 12:51
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?	7	$61	57	29	+29	Yes	-$21	04-12 03:31
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	4	$61	62	0	+62	No	+$1	04-01 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 11:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 10?	No	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x0d140b…
09-06 18:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5e43a0…
09-02 14:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	2,676	0¢	$5	0x310b18…
08-31 18:50:03	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x7206c6…
08-26 14:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x252660…
08-25 15:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4028a3…
08-25 14:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf77a9a…
08-25 04:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbc1024…
08-25 03:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xdac9ae…
08-17 06:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x993fef…
08-17 05:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5bd719…
08-17 05:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x1010c3…
08-17 04:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x6f1d57…
08-14 11:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xf09be4…
08-14 11:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xc1daa0…
08-13 10:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x293c2c…
08-13 10:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0b0d68…
08-12 14:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0633de…
08-12 13:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1dfa1b…
08-11 13:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x11078d…
08-11 12:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcb247f…
08-11 10:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x309045…
08-11 09:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x92e4fa…
08-11 04:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0584a7…
08-11 03:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0179a9…
08-08 14:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 8?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x347d65…
08-08 14:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xea3ae9…
07-30 00:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x9be43f…
07-29 06:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xf14613…
07-29 06:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x54278b…
07-29 06:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc1da70…
07-29 06:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x779c3a…
07-29 06:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 29?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x28c28b…
07-29 04:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xd30182…
07-29 04:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xde6ac1…
07-29 01:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x92203e…
07-28 23:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x0bd8e9…
07-28 22:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xc97f9b…
07-28 20:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xa00442…
07-28 19:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x617bbd…
07-28 19:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xdd746d…
07-28 18:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x66f12a…
07-28 17:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x195461…
07-28 17:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x88571e…
07-28 16:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x5b19a2…
07-28 16:05:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x17ac63…
07-28 12:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x53ae95…
07-28 12:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xdbbdf7…
07-28 11:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xf3b083…
07-28 11:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xef6b76…
07-28 06:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x4f2f76…
07-28 06:19:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x6f2fa1…
07-28 06:18:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 29?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x36567f…
07-28 06:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x0e870b…
07-28 06:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd0a5b5…
07-28 06:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xb642be…
07-28 04:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x769305…
07-28 04:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x020e9a…
07-28 04:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$1	0x85bc10…
07-28 04:44:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0xf65302…
07-28 04:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xccd5e3…
07-28 04:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xca7e86…
07-28 04:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x96d08d…
07-28 04:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xa6e0be…
07-28 04:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xa757ff…
07-28 03:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xfc5956…
07-28 03:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x8f2512…
07-28 03:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8eb380…
07-28 02:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0x30e951…
07-28 02:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xa36b69…
07-28 02:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb35887…
07-28 02:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xf42640…
07-28 02:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa5f63d…
07-28 01:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0xf190da…
07-28 00:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x229d37…
07-28 00:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x840f96…
07-28 00:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$2	0x6b68a5…
07-28 00:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x264c42…
07-27 23:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x3797f5…
07-27 23:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x85d030…
07-27 23:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xa6527f…
07-27 22:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0xca842a…
07-27 22:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x286c01…
07-27 22:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xf83658…
07-27 21:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x4cf66a…
07-27 21:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xc40e44…
07-27 21:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb86886…
07-27 21:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x119c00…
07-27 21:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x93664b…
07-27 20:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xd40088…
07-27 19:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb57467…
07-27 19:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x8e03ad…
07-27 19:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xf7312c…
07-27 18:59:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xc19873…
07-27 18:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x75fb72…
07-27 18:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x7dbb70…
07-27 18:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xafe909…
07-27 17:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x56e5f0…
07-27 17:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfa44c1…
07-27 17:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x7452a8…