Realized P&L
+$5.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$727
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
231
Trades
5,787
lifetime
Volume
$477.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$1.67K
2 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 05-14 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Crypto
36%
51%
+$1,119
Politics
35%
53%
+$9,363
Other
25%
32%
-$4,515
Sports
4%
42%
-$248
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,224 | -$784 | 88¢ | $-1071 | -$288 | 04-29 00:29 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | -4,120 | -$1,612 | 15¢ | $-597 | +$1,015 | 04-30 19:54 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 53 | $33.3K | 46,158 | 27,091 | +19,067 | Yes | +$1,069 | 04-28 20:07 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 6 | $25.9K | 18,499 | 18,499 | +0 | Yes | -$102 | 05-08 06:03 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 57 | $22.6K | 150,163 | 150,163 | +0 | No | +$5,142 | 04-29 21:40 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | 16 | $17.4K | 14,942 | 14,942 | +0 | No | -$1,818 | 05-08 16:37 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 9 | $17.1K | 9,650 | 9,650 | +0 | No | +$364 | 04-29 21:32 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 9 | $12.3K | 10,173 | 10,173 | +0 | No | -$494 | 05-14 20:35 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 14 | $12.2K | 13,919 | 13,919 | +0 | No | -$687 | 05-07 15:56 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681 | 10 | $12.1K | 7,669 | 7,669 | +0 | Yes | +$3,215 | 05-01 11:25 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 12 | $12.0K | 9,894 | 9,894 | +0 | No | +$815 | 04-22 01:07 |
| will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026 | 15 | $11.6K | 32,320 | 7,320 | +25,000 | No | +$1,721 | 04-24 05:18 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 6 | $10.1K | 8,359 | 8,359 | +0 | No | +$177 | 04-30 03:11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | 279 | $9.2K | 5,000 | 4,994 | +6 | Up | +$254 | 04-25 16:03 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | 11 | $8.9K | 10,658 | 10,658 | +0 | Yes | +$260 | 05-13 11:32 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | 3 | $8.5K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$633 | 04-26 12:26 |
| Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? | 21 | $7.7K | 7,965 | 7,965 | +0 | Yes | +$9 | 05-14 20:58 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 2 | $7.4K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | +$160 | 04-28 04:37 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | 4 | $7.4K | 5,372 | 5,372 | +0 | No | +$2,829 | 04-21 20:37 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15? | 16 | $7.2K | 5,444 | 5,444 | +0 | No | +$432 | 05-14 20:35 |
| Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? | 9 | $6.9K | 3,752 | 3,752 | +0 | No | +$513 | 04-30 12:06 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | 143 | $5.9K | 3,799 | 3,790 | +9 | Up | +$1,454 | 04-25 19:16 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | 3 | $5.5K | 4,182 | 4,053 | +129 | No | +$907 | 04-28 05:05 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | 6 | $5.5K | 3,530 | 3,530 | +0 | No | +$602 | 05-12 09:19 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29? | 28 | $5.4K | 7,114 | 5,114 | +2,000 | Yes | -$991 | 04-29 17:49 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | 9 | $5.0K | 3,675 | 3,675 | -0 | No | +$34 | 05-14 00:29 |
| nhl ana edm 2026 04 20 | 4 | $4.9K | 3,421 | 3,383 | +38 | Oilers | +$621 | 04-21 05:01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | 213 | $4.9K | 4,900 | 2,224 | +2,676 | Up | +$1,971 | 04-25 18:50 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 4 | $4.8K | 4,392 | 4,392 | +0 | Yes | +$58 | 05-08 16:38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | 31 | $4.5K | 2,216 | 2,446 | -229 | Up | +$86 | 04-25 18:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:00 UTC | 97 | $4.2K | 3,399 | 1,994 | +1,405 | Down | +$112 | 04-24 14:04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | 179 | $4.2K | 3,200 | 3,133 | +67 | Down | +$214 | 04-25 15:53 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||