Annual-Chard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$716

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-21 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% 0% $-5

Tech

28% — —

Other

26% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-7	$-6	100¢	$-7	$-0	06-21 16:39
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	+3	$3	89¢	$3	+$0	06-21 16:44
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	-0	$-0	95¢	$-0	$-0	06-21 16:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	11	$114	59	59	+0	open	—	01-27 09:21
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	11	$103	53	55	-2	open	—	01-27 09:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	7	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-06 19:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$28	8	22	-14	open	—	03-07 16:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-21 11:36
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	6	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	02-15 09:23
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	8	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-15 10:32
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	8	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-17 07:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-06 19:30
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	5	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-27 09:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 09:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-06 20:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$-0	04-06 20:10
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	01-02 08:51
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	01-17 09:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 16:59
will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	6	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-29 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-25 10:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 16:53
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	4	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-01 08:31
ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	5	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 16:43
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	01-01 16:05
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	4	$10	5	6	-1	open	—	05-24 07:33
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	01-07 14:56
susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31	2	$9	3	6	-2	open	—	03-01 08:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 16:44
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-29 16:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 08:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	5	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-05 07:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$6	0	7	-7	open	—	06-21 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 16:45:40	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa24e4f…
06-21 16:44:11	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x6a94eb…
06-21 16:42:17	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x7be74b…
06-21 16:39:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x5629f4…
06-21 16:38:11	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd27ee2…
05-31 11:52:36	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xe585e8…
05-25 10:06:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x371d90…
05-24 07:41:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x29c797…
05-24 07:33:30	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x403f1e…
05-23 22:55:03	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbd8073…
05-23 22:39:06	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x134c47…
05-23 21:37:51	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x846b29…
05-16 21:21:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x581cf2…
05-11 09:35:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xffacd7…
04-24 16:59:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x34154f…
04-24 16:53:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x787288…
04-22 09:36:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x17bbf0…
04-07 11:01:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe6348d…
04-06 20:10:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xdf0e91…
04-06 20:10:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x2acda4…
04-06 19:57:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x767702…
04-06 19:56:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xa36900…
04-06 19:30:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x7faf19…
04-06 19:28:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xedb5fe…
04-06 19:27:47	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xa0117e…
04-06 07:08:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xce8eb1…
04-06 07:06:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8e27d9…
04-04 17:53:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa8233c…
04-03 11:19:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x784432…
04-03 11:14:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc95af4…
04-03 11:08:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x551042…
03-31 17:07:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe88692…
03-30 16:39:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd248bc…
03-30 16:37:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4dd7a9…
03-30 16:33:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x74ffaf…
03-30 16:27:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1a89a4…
03-30 16:26:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x388d9a…
03-29 17:35:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x55d810…
03-29 17:30:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6465e8…
03-29 16:44:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x285efa…
03-29 16:44:04	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x50df54…
03-29 16:43:58	ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x598345…
03-29 16:43:46	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xba8a80…
03-27 16:33:07	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	No	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xbd7146…
03-27 16:32:19	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x104170…
03-27 16:30:57	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xae897c…
03-21 11:39:57	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4bd7f9…
03-21 11:39:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x25b1ff…
03-21 11:38:53	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0799cc…
03-21 11:37:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4d80cf…
03-21 11:36:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xc9bbe3…
03-17 07:16:53	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2a040f…
03-17 07:14:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x437d39…
03-17 07:14:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xee656f…
03-17 07:12:11	ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4653ea…
03-17 07:10:49	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x727b7a…
03-17 07:10:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8e99a1…
03-17 07:09:35	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x259be5…
03-17 07:05:09	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb2d36…
03-15 10:41:09	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x996d31…
03-15 10:33:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfa88c5…
03-15 10:32:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb50457…
03-15 10:31:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeca171…
03-11 15:33:11	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5f6f9f…
03-11 15:32:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd4392e…
03-11 13:13:25	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x349781…
03-11 13:12:17	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x61928e…
03-11 13:11:03	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3263f4…
03-11 13:10:01	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x459fee…
03-07 16:29:05	ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x98fe44…
03-07 16:24:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7f4707…
03-07 16:23:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8ae604…
03-06 09:18:21	ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0206c1…
03-05 16:27:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x26e6b2…
03-05 07:37:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9339f…
03-05 07:36:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5bac46…
03-03 19:25:25	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd3fbca…
03-03 19:13:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a9c77…
03-03 19:12:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb1f778…
03-03 19:10:41	ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad06d8…
03-03 19:07:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa67d4f…
03-01 20:00:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf9ef23…
03-01 19:46:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x159685…
03-01 17:16:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x4e369d…
03-01 17:10:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0xb626d3…
03-01 17:08:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xc79f71…
03-01 14:16:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xd2d548…
03-01 14:13:47	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4e0e5b…
03-01 10:57:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x5ee451…
03-01 09:02:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x2917db…
03-01 09:02:27	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x525a12…
03-01 08:48:47	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xd0bfb3…
03-01 08:42:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x673e68…
03-01 08:42:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xab75b6…
03-01 08:33:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xba7f71…
03-01 08:31:39	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x619741…
03-01 08:31:35	susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8b2a9f…
02-27 16:45:27	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xa62b86…
02-25 06:44:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xe97dd1…
02-25 06:43:56	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x376f01…