Realized P&L
+$687
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
213
lifetime
Volume
$901
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$243
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 06-09 11:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 67% +$12
Politics
43% 100% +$676
Other
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,068 $140 15¢ $160 +$20 06-09 11:00
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +571 $50 $40 $-10 06-09 11:09
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? Yes +161 $21 10¢ $16 $-5 06-08 22:36
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes +2,183 $71 $15 $-56 06-08 22:31
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +277 $10 $3 $-7 06-04 04:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +120 $6 $3 $-3 06-04 11:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 06-04 04:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +16 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 19:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-08 20:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-08 20:08