Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

2,015

Trades

3,678

lifetime

Volume

$8.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-05 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

76% 79% -$86

Politics

11% 67% +$2

Crypto

7% 67% -$61

Sports

6% 80% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	64	$169	183	183	+0	Yes	+$3	03-29 21:57
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	40	$102	116	116	+0	Yes	-$3	04-15 19:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	32	$80	105	105	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 09:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	28	$80	81	81	+0	No	+$1	04-18 08:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	20	$55	33	33	+0	No	+$1	03-25 12:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	20	$52	50	49	+0	No	$0	03-28 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:45 UTC	6	$47	42	35	+7	Down	-$3	06-16 00:47
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	18	$44	58	58	+0	Yes	-$2	03-21 16:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	11	$40	53	72	-20	Yes	+$12	04-19 04:34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	12	$31	30	30	+0	No	-$2	04-18 11:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	12	$30	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	12	$27	25	25	+0	No	-$2	04-17 22:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$26	52	52	+0	No	+$0	04-18 05:26
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	2	$26	26	26	+0	No	+$16	03-19 23:50
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	8	$22	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-16 09:13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	62	62	+0	Yes	+$1	07-07 08:30
cs2 rstr skele 2026 04 03	3	$21	11	11	+0	Rooster	+$1	04-03 12:12
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	8	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$2	03-19 04:23
will usdai launch a token by march 31	6	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:27
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	5	$18	88	88	+0	open	—	09-05 12:07
italy nordio reform referendum passes	6	$18	15	15	+0	No	+$1	03-23 14:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$0	03-18 23:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$0	04-09 08:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$14	40	40	+0	open	—	06-29 12:31
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$14	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	03-31 01:41
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$14	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-30 00:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$13	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$1	03-16 12:47
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	4	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-31 21:47
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 16c	4	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-18 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 12:07:55	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xc0cc0e…
09-05 12:07:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x086bc6…
09-05 12:07:49	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x29a0b1…
09-05 12:07:48	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xd874ec…
09-05 12:07:45	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x90cecf…
09-05 12:07:40	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xa047b2…
09-05 12:07:39	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x55d14e…
09-05 12:07:34	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xeee3fb…
09-05 12:07:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xe69189…
09-05 12:07:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x623f52…
09-05 12:07:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x0fd224…
09-05 12:07:21	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x8473e0…
09-05 12:07:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0xbd4380…
08-08 16:54:06	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0xd61b06…
08-05 09:01:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x6ec4e3…
07-25 11:00:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x7c51da…
07-24 06:58:00	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0xf91d10…
07-23 10:26:36	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x32ab3b…
07-20 19:10:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x99bc2b…
07-20 19:09:16	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xe7bcdb…
07-20 19:02:10	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x1375db…
07-20 17:08:01	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xcfc436…
07-20 17:07:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x020f12…
07-20 17:06:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7731b0…
07-20 17:00:49	will russia capture novodmytrivka by september 30 20260714215009496	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x49269b…
07-19 21:17:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c9673…
07-19 13:13:03	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	Yes	SELL	63	4¢	$3	0x52e756…
07-17 15:52:49	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x940de5…
07-17 09:28:52	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1bdf95…
07-17 09:23:28	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0xac6ef9…
07-17 09:23:16	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x6ac102…
07-17 09:22:28	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x593e38…
07-17 09:21:18	will russia capture novodmytrivka by september 30 20260714215009496	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3de96e…
07-17 09:19:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb29bef…
07-14 13:14:11	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x11fa29…
07-14 13:12:46	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x7d2bcf…
07-14 13:10:20	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xa24d0f…
07-14 13:09:49	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x190f76…
07-14 11:49:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xc25671…
07-13 18:04:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xb8b7aa…
07-13 16:54:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xa8f108…
07-13 16:31:56	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xcbf8f2…
07-13 16:31:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xa775e1…
07-13 14:33:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5f3992…
07-13 10:36:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x55ef98…
07-12 11:32:14	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x10f0d6…
07-12 10:55:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x8f53d2…
07-10 22:11:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x44ebf6…
07-10 20:00:58	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x9b0ccb…
07-10 09:06:25	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x541102…
07-10 09:05:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc20507…
07-09 12:38:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3a1481…
07-09 10:55:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2351e5…
07-09 10:48:50	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	312	0¢	$1	0x555025…
07-09 10:48:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	260	0¢	$1	0x4f8a43…
07-09 10:19:47	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc38bbc…
07-09 09:41:40	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x0e6a82…
07-08 14:39:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8f8079…
07-08 14:38:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x9512d6…
07-07 20:00:43	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x5d7343…
07-07 18:10:40	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd5f6ba…
07-07 18:08:40	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x3ede59…
07-07 18:08:26	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8f76eb…
07-07 18:07:55	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xcb2b5e…
07-07 17:53:34	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 extra time	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x40efe4…
07-07 17:41:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x30def2…
07-07 09:43:34	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3ba911…
07-07 08:30:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0x621446…
07-03 17:31:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x00d17c…
07-02 23:59:59	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x919404…
07-02 23:55:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0dfc47…
07-01 15:35:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x78917a…
07-01 07:29:01	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0x8b1310…
06-29 12:46:44	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xb7ffdd…
06-29 12:44:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x716158…
06-29 12:41:53	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x3d9ba5…
06-29 12:41:22	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x106483…
06-29 12:40:35	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2386db…
06-29 12:35:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0a1e8f…
06-29 12:31:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x873b98…
06-27 00:47:40	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	81	12¢	$10	0x670bed…
06-27 00:46:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc6dc9f…
06-27 00:46:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf3c044…
06-24 17:42:38	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x73aca3…
06-23 23:42:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2ed73e…
06-23 23:26:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x596bc4…
06-22 23:44:02	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9ee91e…
06-18 18:29:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x54ed18…
06-17 01:05:37	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0c97c7…
06-16 13:15:25	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0c82fe…
06-16 13:14:23	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe8aaf2…
06-16 13:12:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfc486d…
06-16 12:38:48	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x5b34f0…
06-16 00:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4a6629…
06-16 00:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x3a4a82…
06-16 00:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0xacad52…
06-16 00:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xba8317…
06-16 00:47:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x72bee0…
06-16 00:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0x5d6c19…
06-16 00:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf36e3c…