Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
58.2%
Resolved
406
Trades
5,150
lifetime
Volume
$4.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$1
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 09-03 15:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Politics
68% 51% +$77
Other
26% 48% -$37
Crypto
3% 45% -$11
Sports
2% 47% $0
Tech
2% 32% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $1 $0 07-23 13:37
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 07-26 16:26
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 +$1 07-05 23:33
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 08-14 18:57
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-27 15:32
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 07-27 21:17
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-21 08:13