Jealous-Saffron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.04K

Unrealized P&L

+$38

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

359

Trades

5,091

lifetime

Volume

$65.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$189

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Politics

72% 53% +$3,440

Other

23% 43% +$3,469

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Crypto

0% 33% +$38

Sports

0% 60% +$95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-1,000	-$224	18¢	$-180	+$44	08-17 07:41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes		+3,000	$15	0¢	$9	-$6	10-01 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	102	$4.3K	7,150	7,950	-800	Yes	-$843	09-21 00:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	117	$4.0K	9,490	10,490	-1,000	open	—	08-17 07:41
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	43	$2.9K	4,437	2,937	+1,500	No	+$549	09-21 02:23
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	103	$2.8K	7,959	7,959	+0	open	—	09-21 19:59
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	18	$2.7K	1,609	1,550	+59	No	+$393	09-25 01:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	90	$2.1K	4,223	4,223	+0	open	—	09-20 18:36
BLAST Open Porto 2026: 10+ Aces at the Event?	12	$1.6K	1,600	600	+1,000	Yes	+$592	08-28 13:48
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	43	$1.5K	2,216	2,216	+0	Yes	-$211	09-21 11:37
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	6	$1.4K	859	800	+59	No	+$229	09-20 14:23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	62	$1.4K	2,617	2,617	+0	Yes	+$664	06-21 11:35
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	26	$1.4K	1,357	1,256	+100	Yes	+$499	09-22 04:44
BLAST Open Porto 2026: 10+ Knife Kills at the Event?	5	$1.4K	957	457	+500	No	+$53	09-06 18:27
Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	40	$1.3K	1,747	647	+1,100	Yes	+$925	08-24 08:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	24	$1.2K	910	910	+0	No	+$507	05-26 01:26
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	41	$1.1K	2,877	2,195	+682	No	+$69	09-21 14:15
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	22	$1.1K	1,646	705	+941	Yes	+$1,289	09-23 04:01
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	22	$951	1,432	550	+882	No	+$340	09-21 05:31
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	237	$928	113,822	115,523	-1,700	No	+$470	09-20 05:08
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	33	$915	1,708	1,426	+282	Yes	-$866	09-21 22:29
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	97	$792	17,589	7,125	+10,463	No	-$739	09-25 09:55
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	61	$792	3,184	2,684	+500	Yes	-$124	08-17 14:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	22	$773	909	909	+0	No	+$202	04-24 07:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	5	$711	500	500	+0	No	+$159	06-28 04:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$691	440	440	+0	No	+$4	06-12 04:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$618	500	500	+0	No	+$260	05-30 19:03
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	43	$608	2,106	2,106	+0	No	-$226	09-22 04:45
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	14	$595	480	480	+0	Yes	+$4	06-18 06:18
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	15	$571	707	307	+400	Yes	-$32	09-19 03:04
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	29	$537	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$293	09-20 21:07
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	37	$535	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$14	09-17 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 15:05:51	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	9¢	$13	0x213fc2…
10-24 15:01:32	Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xe09ae2…
10-23 23:04:08	Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xbb373f…
10-20 09:50:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8c102f…
10-16 07:17:39	Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xaa2a58…
10-15 22:47:16	Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x6d81a6…
10-11 16:11:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xebedcb…
10-11 02:22:15	Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xaa3530…
10-09 13:24:10	Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x129e29…
10-03 12:15:27	Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xd15ddf…
10-02 17:53:56	Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0xc95501…
10-01 04:04:42	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xe11851…
09-30 17:38:21	Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	705	0¢	$3	0xf68ea6…
09-30 17:37:50	Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0xdcee90…
09-25 18:50:42	Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0xd6028e…
09-25 09:55:17	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	171	0¢	$0	0x62903f…
09-25 09:30:35	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x32106e…
09-25 09:30:33	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0xe89ea2…
09-25 08:43:00	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0xa0cc17…
09-25 08:36:36	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5,187	0¢	$5	0x180afc…
09-25 01:57:47	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0xed7e29…
09-24 19:28:54	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x07daab…
09-24 15:16:02	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,192	0¢	$1	0x7a502d…
09-24 11:44:59	Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x5866ca…
09-23 11:40:05	Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x178028…
09-23 04:01:47	Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	301	99¢	$300	0xbcfe1c…
09-23 03:10:07	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	699	1¢	$5	0x4d9853…
09-22 11:19:55	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	113	0¢	$0	0x4c4fab…
09-22 08:19:46	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xefe73e…
09-22 08:19:46	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x3af184…
09-22 08:19:46	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x2a3fe5…
09-22 06:51:16	Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x9365cd…
09-22 06:18:00	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xa7c806…
09-22 06:18:00	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x984552…
09-22 06:18:00	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x8d3a76…
09-22 06:17:58	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	156	0¢	$0	0x58a049…
09-22 04:45:30	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x71776b…
09-22 04:44:52	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$195	0xe1fcb5…
09-22 04:44:24	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	190	7¢	$14	0xb3fec2…
09-22 04:42:36	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	128	97¢	$125	0x28b473…
09-22 04:26:30	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xaee14f…
09-22 03:12:11	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0xa35358…
09-22 03:11:50	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	72	5¢	$4	0xb5242d…
09-22 02:57:35	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5,416	1¢	$43	0x92bef7…
09-21 23:47:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0xbc8706…
09-21 22:29:01	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	115	2¢	$2	0x6363c3…
09-21 21:52:22	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc403e7…
09-21 21:52:15	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0x5ae940…
09-21 20:36:16	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x50db72…
09-21 19:59:24	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0x6df258…
09-21 19:44:06	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	250	8¢	$21	0x89008e…
09-21 19:31:31	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x675047…
09-21 19:31:10	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x189cf5…
09-21 19:11:43	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xabb648…
09-21 18:53:48	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf81dd0…
09-21 17:22:48	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0x4501aa…
09-21 16:47:41	Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xeecfbe…
09-21 15:57:08	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0xfef5e5…
09-21 15:55:16	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc354c3…
09-21 15:55:16	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x6af442…
09-21 15:55:16	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	107	0¢	$0	0x4771db…
09-21 15:16:12	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x94bd47…
09-21 15:16:12	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5346b0…
09-21 15:14:10	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x063dde…
09-21 15:14:09	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x7511d6…
09-21 15:14:09	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	107	0¢	$0	0x0ec45d…
09-21 15:08:46	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x852c5f…
09-21 15:08:24	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x24e56f…
09-21 15:03:43	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x28f40e…
09-21 15:03:25	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	180	7¢	$12	0x0e859c…
09-21 15:03:18	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x5696f2…
09-21 15:03:01	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x1f3e5a…
09-21 15:03:00	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x193535…
09-21 14:40:51	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x8697fd…
09-21 14:40:12	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x280ace…
09-21 14:16:12	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9bd230…
09-21 14:15:53	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	446	0¢	$0	0xf1b4b1…
09-21 13:27:00	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	498	0¢	$2	0x439c52…
09-21 13:24:08	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb4ed9f…
09-21 13:24:06	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xcb8be1…
09-21 13:23:15	Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x8ae6b8…
09-21 13:16:20	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	519	2¢	$9	0x4af002…
09-21 13:05:47	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x9c7985…
09-21 13:04:59	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0xfd1fe7…
09-21 12:57:02	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	105	8¢	$8	0xdb9d43…
09-21 12:28:26	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	155	7¢	$11	0x016de6…
09-21 12:22:59	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	415	9¢	$37	0xf46638…
09-21 12:13:05	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x6cfb75…
09-21 12:11:39	Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x73212f…
09-21 11:37:54	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	400	11¢	$42	0x62002d…
09-21 11:36:44	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	245	11¢	$26	0x83f779…
09-21 11:02:18	Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x1ce3b4…
09-21 10:55:48	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	155	32¢	$50	0x98d958…
09-21 10:55:48	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x118080…
09-21 10:54:59	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xaee384…
09-21 10:53:24	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	155	37¢	$57	0x26f7b8…
09-21 10:52:48	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	155	37¢	$57	0x59884e…
09-21 10:49:57	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x54825e…
09-21 10:49:51	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	140	47¢	$66	0x767c62…
09-21 10:47:30	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	550	0¢	$2	0xcbff1e…