Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$247

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$7.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$351

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-03 05:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

37% 68% -$295

Crypto

34% 72% -$129

Politics

26% 82% +$170

Tech

3% 50% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-109	-$102	97¢	$-106	-$4	08-02 12:25
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-100	-$79	91¢	$-91	-$12	05-16 17:45
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-60	-$52	97¢	$-58	-$6	07-18 16:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+50	$44	87¢	$44	+$0	08-02 10:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+30	$9	96¢	$29	+$20	09-02 07:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-80	-$25	18¢	$-15	+$10	05-18 09:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+60	$17	13¢	$8	-$9	06-03 23:16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+50	$4	2¢	$1	-$3	09-02 19:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$350	250	250	+0	Yes	+$150	03-01 19:52
will bnb reach 800 in march	3	$272	141	141	+0	No	+$8	03-25 20:42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$250	80	189	-109	open	—	08-02 12:25
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$247	170	170	+0	No	-$1	03-04 23:02
Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	1	$210	276	0	+276	No	-$210	05-16 18:01
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$207	131	131	+0	No	+$7	03-07 22:36
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$4	03-25 20:41
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$202	104	104	+0	Yes	+$2	03-07 22:37
trump out as president by march 31	2	$201	103	103	+0	No	+$1	03-01 19:52
will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	01-14 09:22
will solana reach 200 in january 2026	2	$200	102	102	+0	No	$0	01-15 07:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$3	05-16 17:44
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	08-11 17:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$188	100	100	+0	No	+$6	04-08 14:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$183	100	100	+0	Yes	+$11	04-18 06:17
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	7	$183	133	103	+30	open	—	09-02 07:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$180	100	100	+0	No	+$12	05-16 17:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$169	100	100	+0	Yes	-$19	04-23 16:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$161	85	85	+0	No	+$1	04-23 12:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	3	$160	100	100	+0	No	+$14	04-18 06:17
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$152	80	80	+0	Yes	+$2	04-24 14:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$120	150	0	+150	Yes	+$30	07-12 20:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$114	200	0	+200	Yes	+$86	05-16 18:47
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 2	1	$100	455	0	+455	No	-$100	03-01 20:00
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 2	1	$100	1,827	0	+1,827	No	-$100	03-01 19:59
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-04 23:29
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	01-04 21:24
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-04 23:29
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	1	$100	120	0	+120	80k	+$20	01-04 21:26
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	1	$100	124	0	+124	Yes	+$24	03-07 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 05:22:29	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x4a42a4…
09-24 23:09:24	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x3a2290…
09-24 22:55:09	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x1138ad…
09-18 13:49:38	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x937a25…
09-04 21:40:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xbc7634…
09-02 19:03:48	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xf1d0d1…
09-02 07:53:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xa7689f…
09-02 05:52:39	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x8fc75c…
09-02 04:56:46	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x38eca8…
09-01 23:42:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x4da00d…
09-01 22:36:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x79f636…
09-01 22:22:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x8d40d5…
09-01 22:20:49	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe82f72…
08-11 17:08:00	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xb72793…
08-03 13:30:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xa26330…
08-02 21:43:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x65fa85…
08-02 18:26:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe34478…
08-02 18:12:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0xe3f396…
08-02 17:56:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x8fa1d0…
08-02 17:46:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xd52472…
08-02 17:46:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x471793…
08-02 17:36:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x17d248…
08-02 12:26:18	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x54e7c5…
08-02 12:25:20	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x346c91…
08-02 10:26:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x94b292…
08-02 10:12:00	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0x28897a…
08-02 09:37:47	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x1b6a19…
08-02 09:25:48	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x0da52a…
08-02 09:23:57	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x77ce35…
08-02 09:18:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x8b266d…
07-18 16:20:13	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	87¢	$52	0x0bfd84…
07-12 20:04:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xb59846…
07-12 20:04:08	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	70	38¢	$27	0x6386d6…
07-12 20:03:41	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x147f8d…
07-12 20:00:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x28c51d…
07-12 19:59:07	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xa40ba7…
06-14 10:14:04	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x457617…
06-06 01:58:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0xfeee14…
06-05 16:52:30	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x3d7289…
06-04 18:33:43	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x71551a…
06-04 00:06:52	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0xc1b068…
06-03 23:16:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0x75689a…
06-03 22:46:54	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4886ba…
06-03 22:36:09	will ethereum dip to 1700 june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xbf213d…
05-21 16:58:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0xf4b015…
05-18 17:50:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	34	68¢	$23	0xafe206…
05-18 09:47:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	31¢	$25	0x904b83…
05-16 18:47:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x90b7f4…
05-16 18:34:59	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x42d994…
05-16 18:01:24	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7cc008…
05-16 18:01:21	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	Yes	BUY	276	76¢	$210	0x2b8317…
05-16 17:59:25	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc93261…
05-16 17:49:27	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x633339…
05-16 17:48:27	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x314a49…
05-16 17:48:05	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5565ea…
05-16 17:47:26	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x903678…
05-16 17:45:04	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x91e496…
05-16 17:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfa96ef…
05-16 17:44:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x262849…
05-05 23:45:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x275c40…
05-05 08:38:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xcaaf4c…
05-05 08:37:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	98	84¢	$82	0x413b07…
05-04 22:01:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd811ba…
04-25 20:12:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf1d488…
04-25 20:11:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xdf92a4…
04-24 14:04:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0x8e9af2…
04-23 16:18:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xa4025c…
04-23 12:43:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	85	95¢	$81	0x6a9183…
04-22 21:01:52	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	80	15¢	$12	0x1b9cef…
04-19 12:25:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xb4b7b2…
04-19 10:48:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x2ede09…
04-19 09:02:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xd2fbb0…
04-18 17:46:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x64e828…
04-18 13:56:44	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0xfc0aba…
04-18 10:23:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0ea7f1…
04-18 08:28:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x6c04c5…
04-18 07:58:22	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe08c91…
04-18 07:55:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb6d25c…
04-18 06:17:22	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xd61145…
04-18 06:17:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x6003e0…
04-12 23:29:25	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	70	52¢	$36	0x31c8e5…
04-12 22:59:49	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0ff31c…
04-12 22:55:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x995fde…
04-12 22:55:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd63255…
04-12 22:49:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x008814…
04-12 01:50:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	75	86¢	$64	0x73c4bb…
04-12 01:47:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xddd6ce…
04-12 01:14:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	49	73¢	$36	0xfb7c12…
04-12 01:03:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	51	73¢	$37	0x7ebbdd…
04-11 15:16:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x7a8e7c…
04-11 14:39:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xc4e828…
04-11 14:39:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a29e0…
04-11 14:31:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xc14673…
04-11 14:16:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x853f60…
04-11 13:22:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x07b4ca…
04-11 13:04:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x881dfc…
04-08 14:42:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xb562b1…
03-29 03:26:36	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x877400…
03-26 12:44:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc70f32…
03-25 23:41:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x0a8a90…