Astonishing-Illness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

$958

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-13 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

74% 97% +$96

Crypto

14% 100% +$5

Politics

11% 90% -$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+300	$287	98¢	$294	+$6	09-22 06:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+280	$277	99¢	$278	+$0	10-13 02:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$198	100¢	$200	+$2	09-11 09:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$186	94¢	$187	+$1	09-11 09:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	6	$1.9K	999	999	+0	No	-$71	06-22 02:51
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 17?	1	$1.3K	1,265	0	+1,265	No	+$3	05-16 12:23
hengam island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013456856	1	$765	767	0	+767	No	+$2	07-31 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on April 29?	2	$698	704	0	+704	No	+$6	04-29 00:18
will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	3	$688	689	0	+689	No	+$2	03-07 12:20
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$648	650	0	+650	Yes	+$2	04-01 19:37
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	1	$632	638	0	+638	No	+$6	05-30 21:13
will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	1	$584	587	0	+587	No	+$3	06-19 07:52
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$552	278	278	+0	open	—	10-13 02:33
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 28?	1	$523	524	0	+524	No	+$1	08-27 13:12
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$400	201	201	+0	No	+$0	03-24 10:26
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$381	383	0	+383	No	+$2	06-22 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 1?	1	$364	366	0	+366	No	+$2	04-30 17:46
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	7	$336	200	200	+0	No	+$16	03-03 09:13
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	1	$316	319	0	+319	No	+$3	02-15 02:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	02-14 13:10
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?	2	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	07-27 12:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$287	300	0	+300	open	—	09-22 06:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$277	280	0	+280	open	—	10-13 02:35
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	3	$275	168	168	+0	Yes	+$57	04-13 07:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 8corbelow	1	$265	265	0	+265	No	+$0	04-22 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 14?	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	06-13 10:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	1	$247	249	0	+249	No	+$2	06-16 10:32
abu musa island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720011758215	1	$229	229	0	+229	No	+$0	07-31 02:38
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$223	120	120	+0	Yes	+$17	03-31 02:01
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 31?	1	$207	209	0	+209	No	+$2	05-30 21:13
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	2	$204	107	107	+0	No	+$3	04-13 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 30?	1	$204	205	0	+205	No	+$1	07-30 03:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	04-26 01:16
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	2	$202	213	0	+213	No	+$11	04-10 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 02:35:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x076658…
10-13 02:33:57	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	278	100¢	$277	0xba4403…
10-13 02:31:56	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xd77145…
10-13 02:31:51	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcf0975…
09-22 06:52:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x9119fb…
09-22 06:20:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa8a276…
09-22 05:55:27	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x11c322…
09-22 05:53:01	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x1ec4c9…
09-11 09:37:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x094d28…
09-11 09:36:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xe1eae2…
09-11 09:36:10	Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3e63f4…
09-11 09:35:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x28f355…
08-27 13:15:25	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	278	99¢	$275	0x5d2ece…
08-27 13:12:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	524	100¢	$523	0xc04b61…
08-08 08:08:51	will trump meet with kim jong un in august 2026 20260731154202608	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0812a5…
08-08 08:08:36	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8bba3f…
08-08 08:08:15	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x2e586c…
08-08 08:07:06	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe35d44…
07-31 02:38:23	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720011758215	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xf34d87…
07-31 02:38:05	hengam island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013456856	No	BUY	767	100¢	$765	0x457e31…
07-31 02:37:35	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1c8a69…
07-30 03:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x9b3f5e…
07-30 03:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5c07aa…
07-30 03:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xab7036…
07-30 03:27:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc30631…
07-30 03:26:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 30?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$57	0x8b5e45…
07-30 03:26:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 30?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x201298…
07-30 03:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 30?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xd6d06b…
07-27 12:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x908970…
07-27 12:12:36	will wti dip to 20 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11539d…
07-27 12:08:31	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x4a7e14…
07-27 12:08:00	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6e529b…
06-22 08:58:14	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	383	100¢	$381	0x278171…
06-22 02:51:49	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	SELL	174	99¢	$172	0x2c3365…
06-21 12:08:11	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x85a626…
06-20 01:39:28	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	SELL	210	75¢	$157	0x12b3c2…
06-19 07:52:22	will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	No	BUY	587	100¢	$584	0x801502…
06-19 07:49:02	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	SELL	115	77¢	$89	0x449568…
06-17 16:00:32	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xa8689c…
06-16 10:32:12	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	BUY	249	99¢	$247	0x1be5fd…
06-16 10:30:34	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x90d789…
06-13 10:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 14?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x79e01f…
06-13 10:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	194	99¢	$193	0x1515e2…
06-13 09:44:10	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	733	99¢	$726	0x8fed8e…
06-13 09:44:01	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd600c4…
06-13 09:43:51	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xd35827…
06-13 09:43:00	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	266	98¢	$260	0x3c9ed7…
05-31 01:53:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6d8c58…
05-30 21:18:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 31?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x3c0fd3…
05-30 21:14:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8ff2e7…
05-30 21:13:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0x1aca41…
05-30 21:13:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	No	BUY	638	99¢	$632	0xb8ae0d…
05-30 21:13:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 31?	No	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0x3d842b…
05-30 21:12:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4b1ea0…
05-30 21:09:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x66a473…
05-28 03:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 28?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0x2153d5…
05-16 12:23:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1,265	100¢	$1,262	0x8ae0be…
05-13 12:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xe9a5cb…
05-13 10:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x55680a…
05-13 10:24:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x255cbe…
05-01 05:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0xc6773c…
05-01 04:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xcfdc3b…
05-01 04:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x0e4e6e…
04-30 17:53:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C on May 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcb80e4…
04-30 17:52:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 7°C or below on May 1?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x082563…
04-30 17:52:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3d7313…
04-30 17:51:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on May 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7822d8…
04-30 17:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 1?	No	BUY	366	99¢	$364	0x95bc86…
04-30 16:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 1?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x7408be…
04-29 00:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	398	99¢	$396	0x635333…
04-28 18:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	306	99¢	$302	0x2640fc…
04-26 01:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe15484…
04-26 01:16:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xff4629…
04-22 12:19:56	highest temperature in wuhan on april 22 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x39955b…
04-22 12:19:36	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc7c8ee…
04-22 01:39:04	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 8corbelow	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x648150…
04-21 09:42:48	highest temperature in wuhan on april 22 2026 10c	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xae6ce6…
04-21 09:32:28	highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 18c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x744590…
04-17 03:17:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0xdbc56f…
04-13 07:56:55	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0x344688…
04-13 03:55:47	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0xfcb096…
04-13 03:50:05	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0xe391b1…
04-13 03:23:43	Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	No	SELL	107	96¢	$104	0x92b6d5…
04-11 06:46:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xade302…
04-10 13:55:51	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x487c48…
04-10 12:11:31	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	113	95¢	$107	0xf3df0b…
04-07 10:44:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x641101…
04-05 18:51:09	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	97	98¢	$96	0x8ab850…
04-05 10:20:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x65996b…
04-05 10:13:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd67d46…
04-05 10:13:01	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe9cff4…
04-01 19:37:35	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x483486…
04-01 14:25:45	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xf72a55…
04-01 13:51:23	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	519	100¢	$518	0xa39435…
03-31 02:27:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x7b3b49…
03-31 02:01:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x2a8a25…
03-28 02:01:21	Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$101	0x301e5d…
03-27 10:17:57	will tsla dip to 263 in march	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8d01db…
03-25 07:07:19	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	SELL	106	71¢	$75	0x4ad0d3…
03-25 04:07:59	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	106	62¢	$66	0x0895ae…