Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
-$57
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved
32
Trades
78
lifetime
Volume
$827
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$44
14 positions
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-22 12:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Crypto
63% 33% -$23
Other
20% 17% -$8
Politics
16% 10% -$43
Tech
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +61 $20 29¢ $17 -$3 10-01 19:41
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +141 $21 4¢ $6 -$15 09-02 16:32
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +120 $11 4¢ $5 -$5 08-27 19:54
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +51 $5 7¢ $3 -$2 09-02 15:49
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +250 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 09-04 11:23
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +40 $7 6¢ $2 -$5 09-06 03:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +25 $4 6¢ $1 -$2 10-20 09:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 10-20 09:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +27 $10 4¢ $1 -$9 09-15 11:31
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $2 0¢ $1 $0 09-04 11:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +26 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 09-04 22:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +130 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-15 11:32
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +19 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-20 09:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 09-03 11:35