Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$382

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-14

last 10-27 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $0

Other

21% — —

Crypto

17% 60% +$8

Tech

8% — —

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	10	$48	49	49	+0	open	—	09-27 01:38
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	10	$48	42	42	+0	open	—	10-23 11:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	6	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	10-06 21:36
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$29	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	09-27 01:32
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	7	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	10-26 11:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	4	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	10-21 10:18
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$19	19	19	+0	open	—	10-23 11:35
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	10-23 10:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	10-23 10:22
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-23 15:17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	10-23 10:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	10-01 13:03
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	10-05 14:07
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	10-04 14:32
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	10-23 11:11
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 11:08
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$9	8	8	+0	No	$0	09-26 17:14
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	10-23 10:01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	09-29 11:11
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	4	$5	41	41	-0	open	—	10-26 11:32
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	10-16 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:35 UTC	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	09-21 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	10-09 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	10-07 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	10-12 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	10-27 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	10-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	-$3	10-02 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:55 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	-$3	09-21 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	-$3	10-20 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3d17af…
10-26 11:32:48	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x3630b7…
10-26 11:32:36	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x1f47f8…
10-24 18:50:57	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Nets	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb97d2d…
10-23 15:17:30	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x709732…
10-23 15:17:08	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb9ecac…
10-23 11:41:26	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x0f2841…
10-23 11:41:23	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x12d97a…
10-23 11:35:38	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x0414a8…
10-23 11:35:33	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x00b40a…
10-23 11:11:39	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x143805…
10-23 11:11:38	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x3a7562…
10-23 11:10:53	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x738a1a…
10-23 11:10:18	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xcec4e7…
10-23 11:08:45	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x1add07…
10-23 10:22:54	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x80e423…
10-23 10:22:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x9b98de…
10-23 10:20:26	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0xdeffe1…
10-23 10:13:02	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x445565…
10-23 10:01:05	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x1849c2…
10-23 10:01:02	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0xa4cd58…
10-23 09:50:41	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x97d6b1…
10-23 09:44:42	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc5a0ab…
10-23 06:45:48	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x42086b…
10-23 06:45:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5ccabe…
10-23 06:44:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x68214a…
10-21 10:18:21	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xd8bf1d…
10-20 10:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x07d0d0…
10-16 08:08:52	MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xda7ba4…
10-16 08:05:30	MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9b3b91…
10-12 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4a5eeb…
10-09 14:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd1ada6…
10-07 21:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xac940b…
10-06 21:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x774063…
10-06 21:36:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x83e982…
10-06 18:09:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x452310…
10-05 14:11:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xfa6872…
10-05 14:11:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4fcd39…
10-05 14:07:59	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x9ba909…
10-05 14:07:53	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc5f2f7…
10-05 13:58:13	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x88386d…
10-05 13:58:07	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x902878…
10-05 13:57:23	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa8d784…
10-04 14:32:22	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x54a6e3…
10-04 14:17:13	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa2ca1b…
10-02 13:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa66537…
10-01 14:30:42	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x62ee7b…
10-01 14:15:41	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe85812…
10-01 13:50:41	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xc9eeed…
10-01 13:50:35	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x449cff…
10-01 13:41:05	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdf1820…
10-01 13:32:29	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfc6bbd…
10-01 13:03:38	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x0a63d3…
10-01 13:03:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x921447…
10-01 12:53:27	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x38cb27…
10-01 12:43:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe37b8c…
09-29 11:11:08	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xb493b0…
09-29 10:57:50	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x497068…
09-27 01:38:02	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x34cdb8…
09-27 01:37:59	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x74b764…
09-27 01:32:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xf1bdb3…
09-27 01:32:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x926ccc…
09-27 01:29:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf2ec9c…
09-27 01:26:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x43858a…
09-27 01:21:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcaee3b…
09-27 01:17:32	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x405282…
09-26 20:40:33	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xce1e2c…
09-26 20:38:53	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfc95eb…
09-26 20:13:14	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0xa939cf…
09-26 20:13:12	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0ba15a…
09-26 20:05:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x542b61…
09-26 20:05:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x8819e0…
09-26 20:02:30	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d27e8…
09-26 20:02:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xaebf2e…
09-26 20:01:30	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa09da9…
09-26 17:14:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x8ed9e3…
09-26 17:14:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xc4ac32…
09-26 16:56:26	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x24ff47…
09-25 16:04:15	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x6cd848…
09-25 16:02:36	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x1e1476…
09-25 16:02:26	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd60e81…
09-25 16:02:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfad1ab…
09-25 15:38:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xf88f5d…
09-25 15:38:45	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x059bbf…
09-24 23:34:33	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa93bca…
09-24 23:09:39	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x65f1ca…
09-24 23:09:35	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x53d465…
09-24 23:09:24	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x3a2290…
09-21 10:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x829eb6…
09-21 09:30:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x1edcc1…
09-14 12:17:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb63786…