Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$419
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
3,938
lifetime
Volume
$796.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$202
Open exposure
$55.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58%
—
—
Crypto
21%
—
—
Politics
19%
—
—
Sports
1%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk
• peak 257 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | -8,776 | $-8,248 | 94¢ | $-8294 | $-46 | 06-03 14:26 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | +6,750 | $6,591 | 99¢ | $6.7K | +$74 | 06-08 01:19 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +4,753 | $4,448 | 94¢ | $4.5K | +$15 | 06-09 13:10 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | No | +4,141 | $4,089 | 100¢ | $4.1K | +$37 | 06-03 12:01 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | +3,784 | $3,688 | 98¢ | $3.7K | +$3 | 06-05 21:09 | |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | No | +3,310 | $3,265 | 99¢ | $3.3K | +$23 | 06-10 05:29 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,500 | $3,255 | 94¢ | $3.3K | +$17 | 06-09 14:43 | |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | -2,853 | $-2,848 | 100¢ | $-2846 | +$2 | 06-08 13:18 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +2,500 | $2,110 | 86¢ | $2.2K | +$52 | 06-04 11:59 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,989 | $1,850 | 94¢ | $1.9K | +$30 | 06-06 16:01 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,800 | $1,652 | 92¢ | $1.7K | +$13 | 06-06 09:09 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | -1,500 | $-1,489 | 99¢ | $-1489 | $-0 | 06-01 04:57 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | +1,493 | $1,445 | 98¢ | $1.5K | +$11 | 06-09 18:44 | |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | +1,214 | $1,088 | 92¢ | $1.1K | +$23 | 06-08 17:51 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? | No | +1,036 | $1,022 | 99¢ | $1.0K | +$7 | 06-06 08:21 | |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | +1,000 | $978 | 98¢ | $982 | +$4 | 06-04 20:09 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +1,000 | $885 | 90¢ | $895 | +$10 | 06-01 17:05 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | +693 | $681 | 99¢ | $688 | +$7 | 05-31 15:06 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | -553 | $-570 | 99¢ | $-550 | +$21 | 06-04 06:58 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | +563 | $508 | 92¢ | $521 | +$13 | 06-07 20:49 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | No | +523 | $514 | 99¢ | $516 | +$2 | 06-03 14:10 | |
| Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | No | +514 | $506 | 99¢ | $510 | +$4 | 06-07 23:21 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | No | +498 | $488 | 100¢ | $496 | +$8 | 06-10 03:49 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? | No | +500 | $490 | 98¢ | $489 | $-1 | 06-05 16:10 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -500 | $-515 | 95¢ | $-475 | +$40 | 06-08 08:52 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +500 | $430 | 88¢ | $438 | +$8 | 06-07 19:51 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +500 | $375 | 85¢ | $425 | +$50 | 06-02 15:31 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | No | +380 | $365 | 98¢ | $374 | +$9 | 06-05 14:57 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | -299 | $-296 | 99¢ | $-298 | $-1 | 06-03 18:24 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -325 | $-276 | 90¢ | $-292 | $-16 | 05-28 03:18 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 144 | $52.3K | 27,300 | 26,239 | +1,061 | open | — | 05-26 16:24 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | 82 | $42.6K | 20,931 | 21,931 | -1,000 | open | — | 04-28 14:45 |
| will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026 | 52 | $26.2K | 13,169 | 13,169 | +0 | open | — | 03-29 17:33 |
| bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026 | 57 | $24.5K | 11,785 | 13,386 | -1,601 | open | — | 03-23 02:31 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | 54 | $22.1K | 11,183 | 11,183 | +0 | open | — | 05-28 11:57 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 51 | $21.2K | 17,976 | 3,750 | +14,226 | open | — | 04-29 21:06 |
| will bitcoin hit 150k by march 31 2026 | 77 | $20.1K | 9,323 | 10,900 | -1,577 | open | — | 03-25 18:47 |
| si hit 150 high jan 2026 | 48 | $19.8K | 9,715 | 10,157 | -442 | open | — | 01-30 22:45 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 37 | $17.8K | 9,242 | 8,742 | +500 | open | — | 04-28 16:30 |
| ethereum all time high by march 31 2026 | 50 | $17.3K | 7,702 | 9,789 | -2,087 | open | — | 03-26 01:53 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 39 | $15.6K | 15,352 | 1,451 | +13,901 | open | — | 05-30 07:40 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | 323 | $15.4K | 3,845 | 12,622 | -8,776 | open | — | 06-03 14:26 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 65 | $14.6K | 12,446 | 3,250 | +9,196 | open | — | 05-29 16:27 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 23 | $14.2K | 13,760 | 950 | +12,810 | open | — | 04-29 21:13 |
| will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182 | 63 | $13.4K | 6,922 | 6,672 | +250 | open | — | 02-18 12:18 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | 30 | $13.4K | 6,751 | 6,751 | +0 | open | — | 04-25 08:43 |
| will silver si hit high 200 by end of march | 143 | $13.1K | 4,651 | 8,533 | -3,882 | open | — | 03-17 14:52 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 10 | $12.5K | 12,500 | 0 | +12,500 | open | — | 01-03 17:21 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | 21 | $10.6K | 6,436 | 4,200 | +2,236 | open | — | 01-31 17:34 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | 13 | $10.5K | 5,052 | 5,605 | -553 | open | — | 06-04 06:58 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 46 | $9.7K | 4,894 | 4,893 | +0 | open | — | 03-29 04:31 |
| will silver si hit high 140 by end of march | 31 | $8.3K | 4,522 | 3,772 | +750 | open | — | 03-27 18:20 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 17 | $8.1K | 7,291 | 949 | +6,342 | open | — | 03-31 15:32 |
| will silver si hit high 150 by end of march | 16 | $8.0K | 4,000 | 4,000 | -0 | open | — | 03-24 16:12 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 3 | $7.4K | 7,500 | 0 | +7,500 | open | — | 06-03 15:16 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 16 | $7.3K | 7,150 | 250 | +6,900 | open | — | 03-29 20:03 |
| will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026 | 21 | $7.2K | 3,993 | 3,243 | +750 | open | — | 03-21 05:03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | 30 | $6.7K | 3,256 | 3,450 | -194 | open | — | 05-29 22:38 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 34 | $6.6K | 6,750 | 0 | +6,750 | open | — | 06-08 01:19 |
| will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026 | 21 | $6.1K | 3,100 | 3,000 | +100 | open | — | 06-07 18:39 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||