Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$931
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
6,008
lifetime
Volume
$951.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$158
Open exposure
$70.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 06:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60%
—
—
Crypto
20%
—
—
Politics
19%
—
—
Sports
1%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk
• peak 538 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | -11,278 | $-10,625 | 96¢ | $-10776 | $-152 | 06-18 13:38 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | +8,535 | $8,392 | 100¢ | $8.5K | +$135 | 06-26 19:23 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | -6,073 | $-6,072 | 100¢ | $-6067 | +$5 | 06-20 03:37 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | +5,750 | $5,547 | 100¢ | $5.7K | +$198 | 06-24 21:50 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | +3,665 | $3,597 | 100¢ | $3.7K | +$64 | 06-23 13:13 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? | No | -3,247 | $-3,263 | 100¢ | $-3240 | +$22 | 06-26 19:14 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | +3,000 | $2,985 | 100¢ | $3.0K | +$12 | 06-25 04:56 | |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | +2,855 | $2,578 | 92¢ | $2.6K | +$47 | 06-27 09:55 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,500 | $2,315 | 96¢ | $2.4K | +$75 | 06-10 15:38 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +2,500 | $2,110 | 92¢ | $2.3K | +$178 | 06-04 11:59 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | No | +2,000 | $1,988 | 100¢ | $2.0K | +$10 | 06-25 23:56 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | No | +2,000 | $1,967 | 100¢ | $2.0K | +$29 | 06-25 04:53 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | -1,541 | $-1,572 | 100¢ | $-1540 | +$33 | 06-26 02:08 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | -1,500 | $-1,489 | 100¢ | $-1498 | $-10 | 06-01 04:57 | |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | No | -1,470 | $-1,490 | 100¢ | $-1468 | +$22 | 06-23 13:51 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | +1,282 | $1,279 | 100¢ | $1.3K | +$1 | 06-28 04:38 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? | No | -1,204 | $-1,198 | 100¢ | $-1203 | $-5 | 06-18 09:51 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | -1,117 | $-1,110 | 100¢ | $-1115 | $-5 | 06-14 18:46 | |
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | No | +1,096 | $1,089 | 100¢ | $1.1K | +$6 | 06-30 04:47 | |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | +1,000 | $978 | 100¢ | $999 | +$21 | 06-04 20:09 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | +1,000 | $968 | 100¢ | $996 | +$28 | 06-30 04:53 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +1,000 | $885 | 94¢ | $935 | +$50 | 06-01 17:05 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? | No | -902 | $-901 | 100¢ | $-901 | +$0 | 06-14 10:56 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | -797 | $-781 | 94¢ | $-752 | +$29 | 06-18 18:01 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | +750 | $743 | 100¢ | $749 | +$6 | 06-15 08:57 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | No | +692 | $640 | 100¢ | $691 | +$52 | 06-24 22:30 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +701 | $608 | 94¢ | $663 | +$54 | 06-29 18:47 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | No | -643 | $-658 | 100¢ | $-643 | +$15 | 06-23 05:48 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? | No | +632 | $621 | 100¢ | $631 | +$9 | 06-21 04:51 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | No | +571 | $570 | 100¢ | $570 | +$0 | 06-30 04:46 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 144 | $52.3K | 27,300 | 26,239 | +1,061 | open | — | 05-26 16:24 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | 82 | $42.6K | 20,931 | 21,931 | -1,000 | open | — | 04-28 14:45 |
| will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026 | 52 | $26.2K | 13,169 | 13,169 | +0 | open | — | 03-29 17:33 |
| bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026 | 57 | $24.5K | 11,785 | 13,386 | -1,601 | open | — | 03-23 02:31 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | 54 | $22.1K | 11,183 | 11,183 | +0 | open | — | 05-28 11:57 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 79 | $21.5K | 13,750 | 8,000 | +5,750 | open | — | 06-24 21:50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 51 | $21.2K | 17,976 | 3,750 | +14,226 | open | — | 04-29 21:06 |
| will bitcoin hit 150k by march 31 2026 | 77 | $20.1K | 9,323 | 10,900 | -1,577 | open | — | 03-25 18:47 |
| si hit 150 high jan 2026 | 48 | $19.8K | 9,715 | 10,157 | -442 | open | — | 01-30 22:45 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 37 | $17.8K | 9,242 | 8,742 | +500 | open | — | 04-28 16:30 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | 420 | $17.8K | 3,845 | 15,124 | -11,278 | open | — | 06-18 13:38 |
| ethereum all time high by march 31 2026 | 50 | $17.3K | 7,702 | 9,789 | -2,087 | open | — | 03-26 01:53 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | 162 | $17.2K | 7,883 | 9,424 | -1,541 | open | — | 06-26 02:08 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 39 | $15.6K | 15,352 | 1,451 | +13,901 | open | — | 05-30 07:40 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 65 | $14.6K | 12,446 | 3,250 | +9,196 | open | — | 05-29 16:27 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 23 | $14.2K | 13,760 | 950 | +12,810 | open | — | 04-29 21:13 |
| will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182 | 63 | $13.4K | 6,922 | 6,672 | +250 | open | — | 02-18 12:18 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | 30 | $13.4K | 6,751 | 6,751 | +0 | open | — | 04-25 08:43 |
| will silver si hit high 200 by end of march | 143 | $13.1K | 4,651 | 8,533 | -3,882 | open | — | 03-17 14:52 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 10 | $12.5K | 12,500 | 0 | +12,500 | open | — | 01-03 17:21 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 1,064 | $11.8K | 5,891 | 6,688 | -797 | open | — | 06-18 18:01 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | 45 | $11.2K | 5,977 | 5,285 | +692 | open | — | 06-24 22:30 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | 21 | $10.6K | 6,436 | 4,200 | +2,236 | open | — | 01-31 17:34 |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | 29 | $10.5K | 4,585 | 6,055 | -1,470 | open | — | 06-23 13:51 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 19 | $10.5K | 2,227 | 8,300 | -6,073 | open | — | 06-20 03:37 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 18 | $10.3K | 9,535 | 1,000 | +8,535 | open | — | 06-26 19:23 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 46 | $9.7K | 4,894 | 4,893 | +0 | open | — | 03-29 04:31 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24 | 9 | $8.9K | 5,416 | 3,500 | +1,916 | open | — | 06-21 19:41 |
| will silver si hit high 140 by end of march | 31 | $8.3K | 4,522 | 3,772 | +750 | open | — | 03-27 18:20 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 17 | $8.1K | 7,291 | 949 | +6,342 | open | — | 03-31 15:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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