Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$206
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7,051
lifetime
Volume
$1.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$165
Open exposure
$62.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61%
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—
Crypto
20%
—
—
Politics
19%
—
—
Sports
1%
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—
Tech
0%
—
—
Pop-Culture
0%
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Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk
• peak 538 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | -11,278 | $-10,625 | 96¢ | $-10788 | $-163 | 06-18 13:38 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | +6,074 | $5,828 | 92¢ | $5.6K | $-213 | 07-20 19:03 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | +5,000 | $4,809 | 98¢ | $4.9K | +$73 | 07-14 12:36 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +4,500 | $3,970 | 94¢ | $4.3K | +$282 | 07-09 21:21 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | +4,396 | $4,001 | 92¢ | $4.1K | +$65 | 07-14 05:10 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | +3,619 | $3,324 | 94¢ | $3.4K | +$59 | 07-08 11:09 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | +3,460 | $3,177 | 86¢ | $3.0K | $-218 | 07-08 00:39 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,504 | $-2,444 | 97¢ | $-2430 | +$14 | 07-01 08:17 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +3,250 | $2,795 | 74¢ | $2.4K | $-406 | 07-12 03:45 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,563 | $2,127 | 90¢ | $2.3K | +$166 | 07-20 21:41 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,000 | $-1,918 | 97¢ | $-1935 | $-17 | 07-02 16:10 | |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | +2,027 | $1,729 | 95¢ | $1.9K | +$202 | 07-20 08:51 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +2,000 | $1,815 | 94¢ | $1.9K | +$55 | 07-16 21:50 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,009 | $1,851 | 92¢ | $1.9K | +$7 | 07-17 16:55 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,899 | $1,773 | 94¢ | $1.8K | +$21 | 07-19 18:38 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | -1,725 | $-1,682 | 96¢ | $-1647 | +$35 | 07-16 22:27 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,287 | $-1,344 | 96¢ | $-1229 | +$115 | 07-20 20:47 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | +1,045 | $982 | 94¢ | $988 | +$5 | 07-14 19:41 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,000 | $-1,041 | 97¢ | $-969 | +$72 | 07-02 06:25 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | -947 | $-906 | 97¢ | $-917 | $-11 | 07-02 15:43 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | +1,000 | $860 | 88¢ | $875 | +$15 | 07-15 18:35 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | -797 | $-781 | 96¢ | $-762 | +$19 | 06-18 18:01 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | +730 | $671 | 95¢ | $695 | +$24 | 07-17 07:50 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | +475 | $397 | 96¢ | $454 | +$57 | 07-01 17:28 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | -651 | $-425 | 68¢ | $-440 | $-15 | 07-06 16:45 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | -500 | $-390 | 86¢ | $-432 | $-42 | 06-21 17:49 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | -282 | $-220 | 88¢ | $-246 | $-27 | 05-29 21:17 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | +250 | $231 | 94¢ | $236 | +$5 | 06-01 16:42 | |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | +250 | $225 | 94¢ | $234 | +$9 | 06-21 05:57 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | +250 | $215 | 93¢ | $232 | +$17 | 07-19 21:48 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 144 | $52.3K | 27,300 | 26,239 | +1,061 | open | — | 05-26 16:24 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | 82 | $42.6K | 20,931 | 21,931 | -1,000 | open | — | 04-28 14:45 |
| will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026 | 52 | $26.2K | 13,169 | 13,169 | +0 | open | — | 03-29 17:33 |
| bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026 | 57 | $24.5K | 11,785 | 13,386 | -1,601 | open | — | 03-23 02:31 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | 68 | $23.5K | 12,467 | 12,467 | -0 | open | — | 07-20 20:47 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | 54 | $22.1K | 11,183 | 11,183 | +0 | open | — | 05-28 11:57 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 79 | $21.5K | 13,750 | 8,000 | +5,750 | open | — | 06-24 21:50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 51 | $21.2K | 17,976 | 3,750 | +14,226 | open | — | 04-29 21:06 |
| will bitcoin hit 150k by march 31 2026 | 77 | $20.1K | 9,323 | 10,900 | -1,577 | open | — | 03-25 18:47 |
| si hit 150 high jan 2026 | 48 | $19.8K | 9,715 | 10,157 | -442 | open | — | 01-30 22:45 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 37 | $17.8K | 9,242 | 8,742 | +500 | open | — | 04-28 16:30 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | 420 | $17.8K | 3,845 | 15,124 | -11,278 | open | — | 06-18 13:38 |
| ethereum all time high by march 31 2026 | 50 | $17.3K | 7,702 | 9,789 | -2,087 | open | — | 03-26 01:53 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | 162 | $17.2K | 7,883 | 9,424 | -1,541 | open | — | 06-26 02:08 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | 36 | $15.8K | 11,382 | 5,535 | +5,848 | open | — | 07-20 08:51 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 39 | $15.6K | 15,352 | 1,451 | +13,901 | open | — | 05-30 07:40 |
| us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898 | 27 | $15.1K | 11,119 | 4,155 | +6,963 | open | — | 07-17 01:26 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 65 | $14.6K | 12,446 | 3,250 | +9,196 | open | — | 05-29 16:27 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 23 | $14.2K | 13,760 | 950 | +12,810 | open | — | 04-29 21:13 |
| will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182 | 63 | $13.4K | 6,922 | 6,672 | +250 | open | — | 02-18 12:18 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | 30 | $13.4K | 6,751 | 6,751 | +0 | open | — | 04-25 08:43 |
| will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077 | 20 | $13.1K | 10,000 | 3,500 | +6,500 | open | — | 07-11 21:33 |
| will silver si hit high 200 by end of march | 143 | $13.1K | 4,651 | 8,533 | -3,882 | open | — | 03-17 14:52 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 10 | $12.5K | 12,500 | 0 | +12,500 | open | — | 01-03 17:21 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | 97 | $12.3K | 8,773 | 5,210 | +3,563 | open | — | 07-20 21:41 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 1,064 | $11.8K | 5,891 | 6,688 | -797 | open | — | 06-18 18:01 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | 45 | $11.2K | 5,977 | 5,285 | +692 | open | — | 06-24 22:30 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | 21 | $10.6K | 6,436 | 4,200 | +2,236 | open | — | 01-31 17:34 |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | 29 | $10.5K | 4,585 | 6,055 | -1,470 | open | — | 06-23 13:51 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 19 | $10.5K | 2,227 | 8,300 | -6,073 | open | — | 06-20 03:37 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||