Realized P&L
+$9.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.92K
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
546
Trades
9,795
lifetime
Volume
$1.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$175
Open exposure
$147.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
60%
93%
+$8,509
Politics
21%
86%
+$521
Crypto
18%
88%
+$149
Sports
1%
80%
-$96
Tech
0%
100%
+$7
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 74 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | +18,113 | $16,690 | 97¢ | $17.5K | +$844 | 10-22 01:30 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +9,900 | $9,065 | 94¢ | $9.4K | +$291 | 10-11 04:08 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +10,516 | $8,851 | 80¢ | $8.5K | -$386 | 10-06 21:54 | |
| us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 | No | +8,716 | $8,012 | 97¢ | $8.4K | +$425 | 10-29 17:55 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | +7,586 | $7,013 | 92¢ | $7.0K | -$19 | 10-22 15:05 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | -6,811 | -$6,562 | 98¢ | $-6654 | -$92 | 10-16 06:53 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +6,726 | $6,035 | 97¢ | $6.5K | +$482 | 10-16 06:52 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +6,990 | $6,013 | 90¢ | $6.3K | +$313 | 08-19 16:02 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | +6,000 | $5,894 | 100¢ | $6.0K | +$85 | 10-12 16:27 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | +6,250 | $5,782 | 94¢ | $5.9K | +$124 | 10-27 16:48 | |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 | No | +6,359 | $5,824 | 90¢ | $5.8K | -$69 | 09-30 00:03 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | +5,985 | $5,654 | 95¢ | $5.7K | +$59 | 10-28 15:20 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | +6,350 | $5,657 | 84¢ | $5.4K | -$291 | 10-08 08:01 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +4,275 | $3,833 | 96¢ | $4.1K | +$262 | 10-14 20:01 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | +4,100 | $3,753 | 97¢ | $4.0K | +$208 | 10-12 00:06 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | +4,000 | $3,535 | 92¢ | $3.7K | +$165 | 10-28 16:00 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,800 | $3,437 | 94¢ | $3.6K | +$154 | 10-12 02:51 | |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | No | +3,500 | $3,326 | 96¢ | $3.4K | +$42 | 10-21 06:10 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,491 | $3,289 | 96¢ | $3.3K | +$44 | 08-23 13:49 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | +3,525 | $3,045 | 92¢ | $3.3K | +$215 | 10-25 18:03 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +3,000 | $2,538 | 96¢ | $2.9K | +$346 | 10-29 17:17 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? | No | +2,878 | $2,710 | 97¢ | $2.8K | +$94 | 10-22 12:37 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,795 | $2,622 | 96¢ | $2.7K | +$61 | 10-10 09:30 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,595 | $2,425 | 97¢ | $2.5K | +$93 | 08-02 13:21 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | +2,500 | $2,121 | 98¢ | $2.4K | +$324 | 10-29 17:54 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,500 | $2,334 | 86¢ | $2.2K | -$171 | 10-02 23:57 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | +2,126 | $2,101 | 100¢ | $2.1K | +$22 | 10-10 01:36 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,000 | $1,735 | 98¢ | $2.0K | +$228 | 07-01 17:28 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,995 | $1,838 | 97¢ | $1.9K | +$98 | 10-29 17:21 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | -1,596 | -$1,521 | 97¢ | $-1549 | -$28 | 06-18 18:01 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 144 | $52.3K | 27,300 | 26,239 | +1,061 | No | +$739 | 05-26 16:24 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | 82 | $42.6K | 20,931 | 21,931 | -1,000 | No | +$123 | 04-28 14:45 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | 114 | $36.5K | 28,649 | 10,536 | +18,113 | open | — | 10-22 01:30 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 147 | $34.9K | 23,250 | 12,499 | +10,751 | No | +$501 | 06-24 21:50 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 69 | $30.3K | 23,695 | 7,619 | +16,076 | No | +$393 | 10-07 08:59 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | 136 | $28.2K | 18,654 | 11,068 | +7,586 | open | — | 10-22 15:05 |
| will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026 | 52 | $26.2K | 13,169 | 13,169 | +0 | No | +$91 | 03-29 17:33 |
| bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026 | 57 | $24.5K | 11,785 | 13,386 | -1,601 | No | +$350 | 03-23 02:31 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | 73 | $24.3K | 12,854 | 12,854 | -0 | open | — | 08-27 09:45 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | 480 | $23.9K | 9,412 | 16,223 | -6,811 | open | — | 10-16 06:53 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | 54 | $22.1K | 11,183 | 11,183 | +0 | No | +$157 | 05-28 11:57 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | 27 | $21.7K | 11,246 | 10,746 | +500 | No | +$262 | 09-23 08:08 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 51 | $21.2K | 17,976 | 3,750 | +14,226 | No | +$451 | 04-29 21:06 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | 47 | $20.6K | 12,999 | 8,725 | +4,275 | open | — | 10-14 20:01 |
| will bitcoin hit 150k by march 31 2026 | 77 | $20.1K | 9,323 | 10,900 | -1,577 | No | +$57 | 03-25 18:47 |
| si hit 150 high jan 2026 | 48 | $19.8K | 9,715 | 10,157 | -442 | No | +$85 | 01-30 22:45 |
| will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077 | 35 | $19.7K | 16,630 | 3,500 | +13,130 | No | +$338 | 09-15 10:48 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | 166 | $18.6K | 8,436 | 10,282 | -1,846 | No | +$29 | 06-26 02:08 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 37 | $17.8K | 9,242 | 8,742 | +500 | No | +$92 | 04-28 16:30 |
| ethereum all time high by march 31 2026 | 50 | $17.3K | 7,702 | 9,789 | -2,087 | No | +$141 | 03-26 01:53 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | 38 | $17.1K | 11,000 | 6,500 | +4,500 | No | +$220 | 09-23 13:38 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 25 | $16.9K | 14,250 | 4,350 | +9,900 | open | — | 10-11 04:08 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | 125 | $16.2K | 12,700 | 5,710 | +6,990 | open | — | 08-19 16:02 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 39 | $15.6K | 15,352 | 1,451 | +13,901 | No | +$602 | 05-30 07:40 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 66 | $15.4K | 13,250 | 3,250 | +10,000 | No | +$558 | 05-30 00:32 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 33 | $15.3K | 10,150 | 6,625 | +3,525 | open | — | 10-25 18:03 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31 | 34 | $15.2K | 7,950 | 7,950 | +0 | No | +$261 | 08-28 15:22 |
| us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898 | 27 | $15.1K | 11,119 | 4,155 | +6,963 | No | +$121 | 07-17 01:26 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 72 | $14.7K | 14,016 | 3,500 | +10,516 | open | — | 10-06 21:54 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | 41 | $14.6K | 11,226 | 4,500 | +6,726 | open | — | 10-16 06:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||