Realized P&L (30d)
+$3.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.11K
Hit rate
99.5%
Resolved (30d)
80
Trades (30d)
768
10,303 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$148.7K
$1.80M lifetime
Avg / trade
$174
Open exposure
$151.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 07:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
58% 93% +$8,648
Politics
23% 89% +$3,097
Crypto
18% 88% +$149
Sports
1% 83% -$94
Tech
0% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +17,866 $16,447 98¢ $17.6K +$1,106 11-06 05:15
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? No +10,235 $9,482 97¢ $10.0K +$471 11-06 00:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9,900 $9,065 97¢ $9.6K +$553 10-11 04:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9,016 $7,531 90¢ $8.1K +$538 11-04 15:29
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +7,586 $7,013 98¢ $7.4K +$421 10-22 15:05
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +7,420 $6,710 98¢ $7.3K +$543 11-07 03:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +7,040 $6,534 97¢ $6.8K +$274 11-05 16:36
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6,811 -$6,562 98¢ $-6708 -$146 10-16 06:53
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6,785 $6,285 98¢ $6.6K +$350 11-05 18:33
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6,990 $6,013 94¢ $6.5K +$523 08-19 16:02
Trump out as President before 2027? No +6,485 $6,135 97¢ $6.3K +$152 11-05 16:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +6,359 $5,824 96¢ $6.1K +$249 09-30 00:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +6,350 $5,657 92¢ $5.8K +$153 10-08 08:01
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +5,408 $5,168 98¢ $5.3K +$129 11-05 21:52
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +4,618 $4,412 98¢ $4.5K +$105 11-06 00:34
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,800 $3,437 97¢ $3.7K +$245 10-12 02:51
New pandemic in 2026? No +3,600 $3,263 98¢ $3.5K +$269 11-06 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,491 $3,289 97¢ $3.4K +$98 08-23 13:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3,362 $2,889 98¢ $3.3K +$398 11-04 22:48
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3,305 $3,070 98¢ $3.2K +$160 11-07 03:54
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +2,980 $2,810 98¢ $2.9K +$101 11-05 16:42
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +2,595 $2,425 97¢ $2.5K +$93 08-02 13:21
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,222 99¢ $2.5K +$249 11-02 00:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,334 95¢ $2.4K +$40 10-02 23:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +2,250 $2,160 97¢ $2.2K +$19 11-05 16:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +1,711 $1,621 94¢ $1.6K -$15 11-01 17:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,596 -$1,521 98¢ $-1569 -$49 06-18 18:01
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +1,500 $1,445 99¢ $1.5K +$35 10-10 09:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +1,500 $1,431 98¢ $1.5K +$38 11-06 02:17
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1,500 $1,459 98¢ $1.5K +$4 11-05 16:39