Realized P&L (90d)
+$4.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.99K
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved (90d)
192
Trades (90d)
1,894
10,086 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$374.3K
$1.73M lifetime
Avg / trade
$171
Open exposure
$140.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 16:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
58% 93% +$8,645
Politics
23% 89% +$3,004
Crypto
18% 88% +$149
Sports
1% 82% -$95
Tech
0% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +17,853 $16,434 98¢ $17.5K +$1,017 11-01 23:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9,900 $9,065 96¢ $9.5K +$440 10-11 04:08
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? No +9,515 $8,781 96¢ $9.2K +$401 10-30 04:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9,016 $7,531 88¢ $7.9K +$358 11-04 15:29
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +7,586 $7,013 97¢ $7.3K +$315 10-22 15:05
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6,811 -$6,562 98¢ $-6688 -$126 10-16 06:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +6,726 $6,035 98¢ $6.6K +$573 10-16 06:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6,750 $6,252 96¢ $6.5K +$227 10-31 21:04
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6,990 $6,013 90¢ $6.3K +$313 08-19 16:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +6,359 $5,824 94¢ $6.0K +$185 09-30 00:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,985 $5,654 97¢ $5.8K +$143 10-28 15:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +6,350 $5,657 90¢ $5.7K +$90 10-08 08:01
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +4,285 $3,842 98¢ $4.2K +$341 10-31 04:22
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +4,000 $3,810 97¢ $3.9K +$68 11-03 06:07
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,800 $3,437 96¢ $3.6K +$192 10-12 02:51
New pandemic in 2026? No +3,593 $3,256 98¢ $3.5K +$267 11-04 05:44
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,491 $3,289 97¢ $3.4K +$98 08-23 13:49
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +3,295 $3,105 97¢ $3.2K +$104 11-01 18:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3,000 $2,538 98¢ $2.9K +$404 10-29 17:17
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +2,878 $2,710 98¢ $2.8K +$99 10-22 12:37
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +2,595 $2,425 97¢ $2.5K +$88 08-02 13:21
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,222 98¢ $2.5K +$228 11-02 00:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,334 84¢ $2.1K -$234 10-02 23:57
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,995 $1,838 98¢ $2.0K +$113 10-29 17:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +1,711 $1,621 95¢ $1.6K +$9 11-01 17:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,596 -$1,521 98¢ $-1571 -$50 06-18 18:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,500 $1,410 100¢ $1.5K +$90 11-02 18:12
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +1,500 $1,445 99¢ $1.5K +$33 10-10 09:52
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? No +1,478 $1,355 97¢ $1.4K +$76 11-01 21:44
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 -$1,118 98¢ $-985 +$133 10-07 02:04