Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
405
lifetime
Volume
$85.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$210
Open exposure
$4.52K
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-18 22:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56%
Other
42%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1,646 $-1,658 99¢ $-1631 +$28 07-02 14:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1,139 $-991 90¢ $-1031 $-40 05-30 20:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -494 $-463 86¢ $-427 +$36 07-02 14:42
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -316 $-266 88¢ $-280 $-14 07-02 14:43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -295 $-272 92¢ $-273 $-1 06-17 10:46
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -291 $-260 94¢ $-272 $-13 07-02 14:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -278 $-231 78¢ $-218 +$13 06-13 20:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -181 $-162 88¢ $-160 +$2 07-02 14:42
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -106 $-100 97¢ $-103 $-3 06-13 20:14
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -109 $-100 93¢ $-101 $-1 06-22 00:21
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No -23 $-21 97¢ $-22 $-1 06-22 00:21