Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$403
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
197
lifetime
Volume
$43.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$219
Open exposure
$11.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-10 02:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52%
Other
45%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1,139 $-991 88¢ $-997 $-6 05-30 20:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1,226 $846 80¢ $974 +$129 06-08 22:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,284 $754 70¢ $892 +$138 06-08 22:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +960 $789 89¢ $854 +$65 06-08 22:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +896 $789 90¢ $802 +$13 06-08 22:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +793 $690 86¢ $686 $-4 06-08 23:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +500 $475 91¢ $454 $-21 06-08 22:28
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +436 $400 92¢ $399 $-1 06-01 14:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,206 $362 32¢ $392 +$30 06-08 22:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +695 $345 55¢ $382 +$37 06-01 14:51
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +1,120 $345 34¢ $375 +$30 06-01 14:52
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +435 $373 86¢ $372 $-1 06-08 22:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +426 $362 86¢ $368 +$6 06-08 22:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +584 $362 62¢ $365 +$2 06-08 22:40
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +385 $362 94¢ $364 +$2 06-08 22:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +442 $362 82¢ $360 $-2 06-08 22:40
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +367 $345 93¢ $341 $-4 06-01 14:53
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +408 $345 84¢ $341 $-4 06-01 14:52
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +367 $345 90¢ $332 $-13 06-01 14:52
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -316 $-266 84¢ $-267 $-2 05-30 20:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +297 $234 84¢ $248 +$14 06-08 22:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +80 $75 94¢ $75 +$0 06-08 22:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +82 $75 90¢ $74 $-0 06-08 22:31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +77 $75 96¢ $74 $-1 06-08 22:31
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? No +77 $75 94¢ $73 $-2 06-08 22:28
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +41 $40 97¢ $40 $-0 06-08 22:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +54 $40 72¢ $39 $-1 06-08 22:38
Will Alberta join the US? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 $-0 06-08 22:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +19 $17 93¢ $17 $-0 06-08 22:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +32 $17 55¢ $17 $-0 06-08 22:41