Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$801
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
377
lifetime
Volume
$74.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$198
Open exposure
$7.54K
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-24 00:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59%
Other
38%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,806 $1,458 70¢ $1.9K +$492 06-18 06:41
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1,139 $-991 88¢ $-1008 $-17 05-30 20:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,185 $748 82¢ $978 +$230 06-15 01:28
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +476 $439 99¢ $471 +$33 06-12 20:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +477 $392 88¢ $417 +$26 06-15 01:28
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +469 $402 87¢ $408 +$6 06-15 01:29
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +399 $374 94¢ $377 +$3 06-15 01:29
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +445 $375 84¢ $374 $-2 06-15 01:28
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +399 $374 92¢ $369 $-5 06-15 01:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -295 $-272 90¢ $-267 +$5 06-17 10:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -305 $-256 86¢ $-264 $-8 06-15 01:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -278 $-231 70¢ $-196 +$35 06-13 20:22
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -109 $-100 94¢ $-102 $-1 06-22 00:21
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -106 $-100 96¢ $-102 $-2 06-13 20:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +84 $60 74¢ $62 +$2 06-12 19:37
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -59 $-60 99¢ $-59 +$1 06-17 10:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +68 $37 56¢ $39 +$1 06-12 19:37
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +24 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 06-12 19:35
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No -23 $-21 94¢ $-21 $-0 06-22 00:21
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +23 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 06-12 19:37
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +11 $9 86¢ $10 +$1 06-15 01:28
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-15 01:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +12 $9 76¢ $9 +$0 06-15 01:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +11 $9 82¢ $9 $-0 06-15 01:28