Realized P&L
+$2.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$779
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved
139
Trades
1,059
lifetime
Volume
$175.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$166
Open exposure
$11.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-29 20:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
56% 69% -$616
Other
42% 87% +$2,680
Crypto
1% 56% +$12
Tech
1% 100% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,092 $2,810 70¢ $2.2K -$630 09-13 18:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +2,240 $394 55¢ $1.2K +$845 10-26 06:01
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +946 $677 80¢ $757 +$80 10-26 06:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +733 $520 93¢ $684 +$164 10-11 05:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +765 $580 84¢ $643 +$63 10-11 05:57
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +691 $528 91¢ $629 +$101 09-20 04:24
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +647 $493 86¢ $553 +$60 10-11 05:57
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +586 $435 86¢ $507 +$72 10-11 05:55
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +490 $438 94¢ $461 +$23 09-12 23:20
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +494 $350 89¢ $440 +$90 10-11 05:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +379 $103 94¢ $358 +$255 09-04 17:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +303 $273 92¢ $281 +$8 10-11 05:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +291 $250 92¢ $267 +$17 09-20 04:23
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +256 $217 82¢ $210 -$8 09-20 04:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +218 $203 94¢ $203 +$0 09-12 23:23
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +212 $199 94¢ $199 +$0 09-12 23:20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +227 $202 88¢ $199 -$3 09-12 23:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +284 $216 66¢ $189 -$27 10-26 05:59
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +204 $177 92¢ $189 +$12 10-11 05:55
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +202 $154 90¢ $183 +$29 10-11 05:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +212 $173 86¢ $182 +$9 10-11 05:57
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +184 $159 92¢ $170 +$11 10-11 05:55
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +655 $347 24¢ $160 -$187 10-11 05:53
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +856 $368 18¢ $158 -$209 10-11 05:55
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +202 $130 72¢ $145 +$15 10-26 06:01
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +164 $151 88¢ $145 -$6 10-11 05:53
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +184 $132 78¢ $145 +$13 10-26 06:00
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +137 $114 94¢ $129 +$14 09-20 04:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +200 $132 60¢ $121 -$11 10-26 06:00
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +166 $139 70¢ $117 -$21 10-26 06:05