(anonymous) 0x17bd27…966550
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
90.9%
Resolved
97
Trades
329
lifetime
Volume
$1.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$85
29 positions
First seen
2026-09-23
last 10-26 09:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
53% 72% +$2
Politics
39% 85% +$10
Tech
5% 100% +$2
Sports
3% 67% $0
Crypto
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +19 $3 61¢ $12 +$8 10-15 09:09
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +14 $10 72¢ $10 +$0 10-13 15:50
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +9 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 10-10 14:32
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 10-13 21:53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +8 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-15 19:50
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-03 00:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$1 09-30 21:20
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $0 10-23 20:13
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 09-28 13:00
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$1 10-01 22:45
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +5 $3 48¢ $2 $0 10-17 10:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $3 45¢ $2 $0 10-04 14:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $3 44¢ $2 -$1 10-03 21:49
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +6 $2 28¢ $2 +$0 10-05 12:10
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 09-24 01:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-24 00:44
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 09-24 00:55
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 09-24 01:23
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 09-24 01:46
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 09-25 18:28
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-24 01:49
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 09-24 01:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-24 00:36
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-24 01:07
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 $0 09-24 01:53
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 09-24 00:55
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +1 $1 62¢ $1 $0 09-24 01:23
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +1 $1 62¢ $1 $0 09-24 01:19
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +20 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 10-15 13:01