Realized P&L
-$449
Unrealized P&L
-$78
Hit rate
76.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,422
lifetime
Volume
$134.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$13.7K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
53% 75% $-457
Other
45% 50% +$13
Crypto
2%
Sports
0% 0% $-4
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No -4,979 $-4,932 100¢ $-4969 $-37 05-31 11:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +4,000 $3,916 99¢ $4.0K +$34 06-06 13:11
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -1,000 $-990 99¢ $-991 $-1 06-05 11:01
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -1,000 $-930 92¢ $-925 +$5 06-03 05:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? No -905 $-901 100¢ $-903 $-2 06-03 11:32
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No -565 $-562 99¢ $-561 +$1 06-10 00:55
Trump out as President by June 30? No -500 $-494 99¢ $-497 $-2 06-04 16:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -251 $-231 93¢ $-233 $-3 06-02 11:24
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -207 $-206 100¢ $-206 $-0 06-06 08:57
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -138 $-137 100¢ $-137 +$0 06-06 10:52
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -100 $-23 100¢ $-100 $-76 05-29 11:58
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +60 $59 100¢ $60 +$1 06-08 06:55
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +25 $24 98¢ $25 +$0 06-03 20:43
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +25 $21 86¢ $22 +$0 06-04 08:33
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +25 $20 80¢ $20 +$0 06-04 13:46
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? Yes +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 05-30 06:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$0 06-01 14:06
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $8 84¢ $8 $-0 06-03 14:33
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +10 $7 68¢ $7 $-0 06-03 16:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 61¢ $6 +$0 06-06 07:50