Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a9c…bef9bd
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.60K
Hit rate
84.1%
Resolved
663
Trades
3,264
lifetime
Volume
$357.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$109
Open exposure
$25.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 03:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% +$2,363
Other
39% 72% +$1,752
Sports
2% 63% -$164
Crypto
1% 86% +$82
Tech
1% 82% +$49
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? No +5,000 $4,426 92¢ $4.6K +$198 09-25 14:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,000 $4,145 92¢ $4.6K +$430 08-01 22:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3,520 $1,690 66¢ $2.3K +$615 09-10 01:53
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,365 $2,246 97¢ $2.3K +$44 10-26 17:03
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +2,000 $1,693 96¢ $1.9K +$217 09-13 20:12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,275 94¢ $1.4K +$127 09-24 17:16
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? Yes +980 $893 99¢ $969 +$76 10-26 16:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +3,500 $1,236 26¢ $928 -$308 09-11 13:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $920 92¢ $925 +$5 10-24 17:11
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +1,000 $882 92¢ $924 +$42 08-15 19:46
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +871 $814 93¢ $814 $0 10-25 13:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +500 $462 96¢ $483 +$21 10-26 11:24
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $452 92¢ $458 +$5 10-26 07:51
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +392 $383 100¢ $392 +$9 10-25 18:18
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +400 $358 95¢ $380 +$22 08-27 11:55
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +376 $320 99¢ $374 +$55 10-25 18:45
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +252 $214 97¢ $245 +$31 06-11 06:59
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $232 96¢ $239 +$7 09-09 12:32
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $228 90¢ $226 -$1 10-26 07:23
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +250 $228 90¢ $224 -$4 10-26 17:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +250 $210 86¢ $214 +$5 09-19 15:04
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +150 $135 86¢ $128 -$7 10-15 05:51
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +143 $106 80¢ $115 +$9 10-26 19:50
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +125 $113 91¢ $114 +$2 10-26 17:56
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -113 -$105 92¢ $-105 +$0 06-30 23:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 09-26 13:39
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +96 $93 99¢ $95 +$2 09-27 08:57
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$1 10-27 01:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $104 94¢ $94 -$10 10-26 08:25
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 10-12 01:59