Mysterious-Iris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$449

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,878

lifetime

Volume

$182.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-12 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% 50% +$13

Politics

46% 75% $-457

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	28	$9.3K	6,750	2,750	+4,000	open	—	02-19 14:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$8.9K	4,000	5,000	-1,000	open	—	06-17 18:23
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	8	$5.9K	3,250	2,750	+500	open	—	03-06 08:04
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	36	$5.4K	3,550	2,150	+1,400	open	—	03-29 12:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	17	$4.9K	0	4,979	-4,979	open	—	05-31 11:19
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	9	$4.8K	3,282	1,650	+1,632	open	—	06-28 14:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	3	$4.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	08-09 18:02
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	8	$4.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	07-04 13:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	45	$3.9K	3,000	1,300	+1,700	open	—	04-24 16:18
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	23	$3.9K	3,522	1,000	+2,522	open	—	04-22 16:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$3.4K	2,945	945	+2,000	open	—	03-05 18:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$3.0K	3,100	100	+3,000	open	—	04-07 17:48
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	04-07 17:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	7	$2.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	06-30 13:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	12	$2.2K	2,537	37	+2,500	open	—	06-30 14:53
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	15	$2.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	08-10 09:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	21	$2.2K	1,195	1,250	-55	open	—	04-15 16:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$2.1K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	05-09 08:45
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	11	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-16 18:29
will congress pass any tariffs by march 31	1	$2.0K	2,070	0	+2,070	open	—	03-06 09:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	7	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-30 08:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-13 08:38
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	38	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-14 21:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-07 16:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$1.9K	1,500	500	+1,000	open	—	03-31 08:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	9	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-19 18:33
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	18	$1.9K	900	1,000	-100	open	—	01-26 14:42
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	9	$1.9K	1,000	900	+100	open	—	01-24 20:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$1.8K	990	1,000	-10	open	—	06-23 15:47
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	49	$1.5K	0	1,500	-1,500	open	—	06-10 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:48:42	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x2d9e8d…
08-12 07:24:55	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x18254c…
08-12 06:17:36	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x1864ac…
08-11 16:49:40	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x019fa8…
08-10 09:03:43	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	431	89¢	$384	0xc64e25…
08-10 08:57:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x915259…
08-10 08:14:52	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x686525…
08-10 08:06:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x992126…
08-10 08:01:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x83b302…
08-10 08:00:30	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x835f94…
08-10 07:31:51	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	135	63¢	$85	0x9103b6…
08-10 00:50:48	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x377c41…
08-09 19:29:58	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xe9618d…
08-09 18:34:22	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x88b089…
08-09 18:28:18	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	530	89¢	$471	0xb7e39e…
08-09 18:16:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	48	60¢	$29	0xffb009…
08-09 18:15:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	45	94¢	$43	0xfed7e9…
08-09 18:15:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	360	86¢	$310	0x9e19e2…
08-09 18:12:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0xd9a4d7…
08-09 18:02:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0x1ee2ab…
08-09 17:56:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xd3167a…
08-09 17:38:15	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	SELL	135	89¢	$120	0xbab3d6…
08-09 17:38:09	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	SELL	65	89¢	$58	0x074d2e…
08-09 17:35:06	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x98e376…
08-09 17:26:37	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0x1d312c…
08-09 16:23:13	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xecc1aa…
08-09 16:17:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xf8d988…
08-09 15:21:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7b8a91…
08-09 14:41:36	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	31	82¢	$26	0xe995da…
08-09 13:49:31	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xb0324d…
08-09 13:38:28	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfc64b8…
08-09 12:56:31	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	345	61¢	$210	0x68e841…
08-09 12:41:40	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x9cf1f3…
08-09 12:41:40	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x46ea7f…
08-09 12:28:24	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$443	0x04eaaa…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe572cb…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	82¢	$0	0xc211b1…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xad5970…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2df5d3…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x2c0d0b…
08-09 11:21:07	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9b50d3…
08-09 11:19:19	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xd3c78b…
08-09 11:19:19	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xd36cc8…
08-09 11:19:19	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x8adcbb…
08-09 11:19:19	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	82¢	$0	0x542119…
08-09 11:19:19	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x464371…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xfbdc09…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xd86d58…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5dd9fd…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5cd0af…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4b0060…
08-09 11:12:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0xeb5413…
08-09 11:08:49	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0x29f029…
08-09 11:04:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xead43b…
08-09 11:03:01	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7f1869…
08-09 11:02:46	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	238	82¢	$195	0x69afe4…
08-09 10:59:25	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x8af0d9…
08-09 10:48:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x9882dc…
08-09 10:46:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	75	84¢	$63	0x6229d3…
08-08 17:37:12	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa1d168…
08-07 13:55:28	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	372	94¢	$349	0x2cbac0…
08-07 13:24:21	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x7a735f…
08-06 19:58:33	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	109	65¢	$71	0x1d532a…
08-06 14:55:57	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x8bc316…
08-06 14:53:15	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	300	88¢	$262	0xd4f389…
08-06 14:17:47	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$131	0xf0fcbf…
08-06 14:06:57	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	89	88¢	$78	0x90b4fa…
08-06 13:38:21	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x3f5875…
08-06 12:22:30	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	No	BUY	118	94¢	$111	0xf11ef5…
08-06 12:08:15	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0xeb580e…
08-06 00:57:41	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x1be7fa…
08-06 00:53:41	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x381612…
08-05 20:02:11	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x080d82…
08-05 18:27:09	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x358c71…
08-05 18:10:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x4813aa…
08-05 15:46:23	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xc7b45f…
08-05 15:46:21	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x08e21a…
08-04 10:18:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	275	98¢	$268	0xb72efc…
08-04 10:14:27	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xe5e266…
08-04 10:09:35	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x2b79e5…
08-04 09:54:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	225	98¢	$220	0x9fdf04…
08-02 17:51:08	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0x0a353c…
08-02 17:15:56	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x869243…
08-02 13:37:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	95	96¢	$92	0xc9d6bb…
08-02 13:35:47	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xfc135b…
08-02 13:35:23	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x56561a…
08-02 13:29:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xc5034e…
08-02 13:28:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x3e0019…
08-02 13:17:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x7141ed…
08-02 13:16:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x94792e…
08-02 12:58:54	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	323	62¢	$199	0xb02e45…
08-01 17:04:42	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x2bf936…
08-01 17:02:29	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc55030…
07-30 17:33:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0xd4da91…
07-30 16:02:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0x2abc6a…
07-30 15:33:24	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	197	97¢	$191	0x37835f…
07-30 15:03:45	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	146	98¢	$142	0x2aa0b1…
07-30 14:43:15	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	354	98¢	$347	0x2858fe…
07-29 20:40:12	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x27a4e9…
07-29 20:26:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xeaa811…