Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a9c…bef9bd
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$201
Unrealized P&L
+$1.52K
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved (7d)
21
Trades (7d)
179
3,296 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$21.1K
$359.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$109
Open exposure
$25.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 20:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Politics
57% 73% +$2,237
Other
39% 72% +$1,752
Sports
2% 63% -$164
Crypto
1% 86% +$82
Tech
1% 82% +$49
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? No +5,000 $4,426 92¢ $4.6K +$198 09-25 14:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,000 $4,145 92¢ $4.6K +$430 08-01 22:14
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,365 $2,246 96¢ $2.3K +$36 10-26 17:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3,520 $1,690 64¢ $2.3K +$580 09-10 01:53
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +2,000 $1,693 96¢ $1.9K +$227 09-13 20:12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,275 96¢ $1.4K +$157 09-24 17:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +3,500 $1,236 28¢ $963 -$273 09-11 13:18
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +1,000 $882 94¢ $943 +$61 08-15 19:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $920 92¢ $925 +$5 10-24 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +871 $814 93¢ $807 -$7 10-25 13:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +500 $462 97¢ $485 +$23 10-26 11:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +500 $465 94¢ $470 +$5 10-27 18:02
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $452 92¢ $460 +$8 10-26 07:51
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +392 $383 100¢ $392 +$9 10-25 18:18
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +400 $358 97¢ $388 +$31 08-27 11:55
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +252 $214 97¢ $245 +$31 06-11 06:59
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $232 96¢ $239 +$7 09-09 12:32
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +250 $228 92¢ $229 +$1 10-26 17:11
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $228 90¢ $226 -$1 10-26 07:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +250 $210 86¢ $214 +$4 09-19 15:04
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +150 $135 84¢ $127 -$8 10-15 05:51
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -113 -$105 92¢ $-105 +$0 06-30 23:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 09-26 13:39
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$4 10-27 01:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $104 96¢ $96 -$8 10-26 08:25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +96 $93 99¢ $96 +$2 09-27 08:57
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 10-12 01:59
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +100 $81 87¢ $87 +$6 10-05 03:08
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 86¢ $86 -$8 09-18 06:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +100 $62 56¢ $56 -$6 10-04 21:06