Amused-Venti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$984

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

114

Trades

3,411

lifetime

Volume

$8.54M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.50K

Open exposure

$39.8K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

48% 97% +$21,442

Other

40% 98% +$85,537

Crypto

9% 100% +$5,353

Sports

4% 100% +$3,020

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	+34,777	$34,411	100¢	$34.7K	+$279	10-26 16:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+5,000	$4,300	100¢	$5.0K	+$700	10-21 14:58
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	No	+130	$126	100¢	$130	+$4	10-25 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	67	$752.5K	757,903	0	+757,903	No	+$5,353	06-03 14:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	77	$668.0K	670,000	0	+670,000	Yes	+$2,010	06-17 13:58
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$599.4K	600,000	0	+600,000	Yes	+$600	06-17 23:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	163	$445.1K	469,972	0	+469,972	No	+$24,859	04-29 23:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	232	$424.0K	429,648	0	+429,648	Yes	+$5,668	05-12 21:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	42	$374.6K	394,080	0	+394,080	No	+$19,431	03-19 18:17
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	295	$308.5K	250,316	67,589	+182,727	Yes	+$6,976	01-28 09:51
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	51	$297.0K	300,000	0	+300,000	No	+$3,000	07-07 16:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	102	$279.5K	281,114	0	+281,114	Yes	+$1,587	03-17 20:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	110	$266.9K	268,156	0	+268,156	No	+$1,224	03-15 23:06
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	44	$248.7K	253,127	0	+253,127	No	+$4,390	03-04 19:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$210.5K	210,956	0	+210,956	Yes	+$422	04-27 01:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	128	$199.9K	205,653	0	+205,653	Yes	+$5,713	02-28 23:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$195.6K	195,835	0	+195,835	No	+$196	09-16 15:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	45	$179.1K	183,158	0	+183,158	Yes	+$4,070	02-02 22:02
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$173.9K	174,440	0	+174,440	No	+$573	04-30 20:09
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	32	$148.8K	154,361	0	+154,361	No	+$5,588	03-08 21:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	93	$148.1K	161,377	0	+161,377	No	+$13,282	03-30 12:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	90	$147.0K	149,342	0	+149,342	No	+$2,320	03-06 13:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	17	$114.0K	117,909	0	+117,909	No	+$3,947	04-15 00:40
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	31	$109.2K	110,060	0	+110,060	No	+$865	01-30 04:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	46	$103.8K	104,069	0	+104,069	No	+$308	04-24 22:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$99.8K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$200	05-27 19:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	9	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$300	06-26 05:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	55	$99.6K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$400	04-26 00:43
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	88	$97.0K	103,510	0	+103,510	No	+$6,530	01-23 21:02
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$96.5K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$3,500	03-19 13:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$95.7K	110,000	0	+110,000	Yes	+$14,300	10-21 14:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	154	$82.2K	90,845	0	+90,845	No	+$8,606	05-15 11:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	57	$75.3K	75,555	0	+75,555	Yes	+$247	03-08 21:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:56:11	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x3b5658…
10-27 01:23:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdce661…
10-27 01:23:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7a8206…
10-27 01:23:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa8c95…
10-27 01:23:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3b63e…
10-26 19:13:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xc597e8…
10-26 18:30:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x4a956e…
10-26 16:00:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0x1110a8…
10-26 15:10:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1,695	99¢	$1,682	0xf5f3d0…
10-26 15:09:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x211868…
10-26 12:22:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x01051d…
10-26 12:19:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xe35e87…
10-26 12:19:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xfde45a…
10-26 11:58:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x0b8d22…
10-26 11:58:27	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x3e28e0…
10-26 11:43:15	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbc3dce…
10-26 11:43:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1,197	100¢	$1,192	0xbc8586…
10-26 11:02:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x6c6807…
10-26 10:47:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1,395	100¢	$1,388	0x400fd3…
10-26 10:27:56	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf28256…
10-26 10:27:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x329d9b…
10-26 10:19:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x957170…
10-26 10:09:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	573	100¢	$570	0x2d5456…
10-26 09:58:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd5c841…
10-26 09:58:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x293cee…
10-26 09:56:27	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0xb34787…
10-26 09:36:21	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xefa704…
10-26 09:36:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x509183…
10-26 09:35:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x8d8207…
10-26 09:35:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x9db8c2…
10-26 09:35:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xc72d63…
10-26 09:35:06	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0xd13a93…
10-26 09:35:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x36a1e9…
10-26 09:35:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0x46dd14…
10-26 09:34:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0x4b776f…
10-26 09:34:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1,624	100¢	$1,616	0xec2ed1…
10-26 09:34:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0x317e9b…
10-26 09:34:44	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xeb3756…
10-26 09:32:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4fada7…
10-26 09:32:39	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	No	BUY	1,040	100¢	$1,038	0x0825b1…
10-26 09:32:09	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c1eb2…
10-26 09:31:59	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	898	100¢	$896	0xd8d9ba…
10-25 22:17:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3,444	99¢	$3,392	0x0f205c…
10-25 18:00:06	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x3c6917…
10-25 15:18:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,222	90¢	$2,000	0xb9042c…
10-25 12:55:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	2,222	98¢	$2,171	0x6c3e93…
10-25 12:36:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	254	96¢	$245	0xdc0fc2…
10-25 12:36:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x596109…
10-25 12:24:15	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf31386…
10-25 12:24:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4d5b46…
10-25 12:23:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x22bbbb…
10-25 12:23:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,559	96¢	$1,500	0xee2960…
10-25 12:23:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x14661b…
10-25 12:23:32	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x323a34…
10-25 12:16:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0xbf8732…
10-25 12:16:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0x91333f…
10-25 12:16:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0xad7bc2…
10-25 12:16:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0xa8932a…
10-25 12:16:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x99c30b…
10-25 12:16:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x51a7f0…
10-25 11:32:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,623	98¢	$1,590	0x60f173…
10-25 11:23:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	221	98¢	$217	0xd4eee8…
10-25 11:23:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb4e3c9…
10-25 11:23:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0xa50b16…
10-24 15:54:15	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f582a…
10-24 15:54:11	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xf2541d…
10-23 21:53:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	1,123	99¢	$1,109	0xd97d3d…
10-23 13:24:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	877	99¢	$865	0xda4049…
10-23 10:29:21	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	844	94¢	$797	0x913ac0…
10-23 05:08:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	1,940	99¢	$1,921	0xd4b468…
10-22 15:01:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	7,460	99¢	$7,385	0x124301…
10-22 06:32:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	2,222	99¢	$2,191	0xa99a42…
10-22 06:29:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb5ba2b…
10-22 06:27:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb72cae…
10-22 06:26:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1f200e…
10-22 06:26:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7adf31…
10-22 06:26:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc78dc0…
10-22 06:18:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x00ca17…
10-21 22:35:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	81¢	$808	0xe7ed57…
10-21 22:30:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	4,000	99¢	$3,960	0x1eed09…
10-21 18:51:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,930	0x9555a4…
10-21 18:48:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	6,666	90¢	$5,999	0x444b03…
10-21 14:58:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5,000	86¢	$4,300	0x0f24b9…
10-21 14:17:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,547	87¢	$3,086	0x2a93fc…
10-21 14:17:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x34e6b1…
10-21 14:17:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94,453	87¢	$82,174	0xf25015…
10-21 14:17:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x346b99…
10-21 14:15:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	2,161	96¢	$2,079	0xd11c27…
10-21 14:15:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x359215…
10-21 12:16:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	137	96¢	$132	0x0fee51…
10-21 12:15:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x7b74e6…
10-21 12:13:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0xa76682…
10-21 12:12:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x61c810…
09-16 15:35:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	195,835	100¢	$195,639	0xed9698…
07-07 16:16:25	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100,000	99¢	$98,900	0x2cc99a…
07-07 15:02:37	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	27,034	99¢	$26,763	0x83ec91…
07-07 14:57:28	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x22af4a…
07-07 14:44:11	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3f5c71…
07-07 14:40:23	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x58be25…
07-07 14:40:08	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb5742c…