Amused-Venti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$128.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$150

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

120

Trades

3,598

lifetime

Volume

$8.79M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.44K

Open exposure

$22.6K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 23:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

49% 97% +$34,437

Other

39% 98% +$85,903

Crypto

9% 100% +$5,353

Sports

3% 100% +$3,020

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+20,000	$19,500	98¢	$19.6K	+$110	11-07 11:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,960	99¢	$2.0K	+$23	11-13 05:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	+1,111	$1,022	94¢	$1.0K	+$17	11-13 23:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	67	$752.5K	757,903	0	+757,903	No	+$5,353	06-03 14:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	77	$668.0K	670,000	0	+670,000	Yes	+$2,010	06-17 13:58
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$599.4K	600,000	0	+600,000	Yes	+$600	06-17 23:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	163	$445.1K	469,972	0	+469,972	No	+$24,859	04-29 23:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	232	$424.0K	429,648	0	+429,648	Yes	+$5,668	05-12 21:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	42	$374.6K	394,080	0	+394,080	No	+$19,431	03-19 18:17
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	295	$308.5K	250,316	67,589	+182,727	Yes	+$6,976	01-28 09:51
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	51	$297.0K	300,000	0	+300,000	No	+$3,000	07-07 16:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	102	$279.5K	281,114	0	+281,114	Yes	+$1,587	03-17 20:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	110	$266.9K	268,156	0	+268,156	No	+$1,224	03-15 23:06
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	44	$248.7K	253,127	0	+253,127	No	+$4,390	03-04 19:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$210.5K	210,956	0	+210,956	Yes	+$422	04-27 01:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	128	$199.9K	205,653	0	+205,653	Yes	+$5,713	02-28 23:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$195.6K	195,835	0	+195,835	No	+$196	09-16 15:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	45	$179.1K	183,158	0	+183,158	Yes	+$4,070	02-02 22:02
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$173.9K	174,440	0	+174,440	No	+$573	04-30 20:09
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	32	$148.8K	154,361	0	+154,361	No	+$5,588	03-08 21:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	93	$148.1K	161,377	0	+161,377	No	+$13,282	03-30 12:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	90	$147.0K	149,342	0	+149,342	No	+$2,320	03-06 13:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	17	$114.0K	117,909	0	+117,909	No	+$3,947	04-15 00:40
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	31	$109.2K	110,060	0	+110,060	No	+$865	01-30 04:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	46	$103.8K	104,069	0	+104,069	No	+$308	04-24 22:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$99.8K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$200	05-27 19:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	9	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$300	06-26 05:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	55	$99.6K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$400	04-26 00:43
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	88	$97.0K	103,510	0	+103,510	No	+$6,530	01-23 21:02
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$96.5K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$3,500	03-19 13:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$95.7K	110,000	0	+110,000	Yes	+$14,300	10-21 14:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	61	$94.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	+$6,000	11-03 01:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	103	$94.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$6,000	11-03 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 23:19:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	156	92¢	$144	0x5852ad…
11-13 22:13:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0xaf0745…
11-13 21:59:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc1a3fa…
11-13 21:40:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xaa1a1a…
11-13 21:20:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	844	92¢	$776	0x653a82…
11-13 05:12:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,960	0xfe3759…
11-07 11:40:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	20,000	98¢	$19,500	0x2c8a69…
11-03 14:41:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	338	94¢	$318	0xd40f0d…
11-03 14:40:37	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x8e2eff…
11-03 14:39:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	78	94¢	$74	0xda9dd2…
11-03 14:39:22	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x609d82…
11-03 14:39:13	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x9fef9d…
11-03 14:35:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	358	94¢	$337	0x1487fb…
11-03 14:34:40	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x2e8f0e…
11-03 14:31:49	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,666	94¢	$1,566	0x9f3ced…
11-03 14:31:16	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xd2062d…
11-03 14:30:33	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x6ca1ef…
11-03 14:30:12	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3,156	94¢	$2,967	0xec5b12…
11-03 14:28:40	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x8d1071…
11-03 14:25:55	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x9672aa…
11-03 14:25:10	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x81abb0…
11-03 14:24:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x88d7a2…
11-03 14:24:03	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	250	94¢	$235	0x5dfdc3…
11-03 14:17:01	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x1857fb…
11-03 14:16:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3,357	94¢	$3,156	0xf5e8cc…
11-03 14:16:19	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2,191	94¢	$2,060	0x0d28eb…
11-03 14:14:37	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7,307	94¢	$6,869	0xfd28a3…
11-03 14:13:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	586	94¢	$551	0xfe99c1…
11-03 14:12:57	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xd9d716…
11-03 14:12:16	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	146	94¢	$137	0xd11dbd…
11-03 14:11:52	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	146	94¢	$137	0xab11a2…
11-03 14:11:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	146	94¢	$137	0x34cfc6…
11-03 14:11:37	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	366	94¢	$344	0x9bd78a…
11-03 14:11:30	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	132	94¢	$124	0xbff8b1…
11-03 14:11:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	733	94¢	$689	0x62743d…
11-03 14:10:19	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	112	94¢	$106	0x16e52a…
11-03 14:09:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	333	94¢	$313	0x53d8fd…
11-03 14:09:30	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	58,438	94¢	$54,932	0x4a6421…
11-03 14:09:03	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	511	94¢	$480	0x047e29…
11-03 14:08:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xc01c4e…
11-03 14:08:01	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	733	94¢	$689	0xbc09ca…
11-03 14:08:01	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0x7c91c6…
11-03 14:07:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0xcedde5…
11-03 14:07:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x778a9e…
11-03 14:06:10	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,467	94¢	$1,379	0x2913f7…
11-03 14:05:57	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0x6f4a55…
11-03 14:05:51	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0x23a983…
11-03 14:05:33	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,467	94¢	$1,379	0x6c6695…
11-03 14:05:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	484	94¢	$455	0xdc5b0d…
11-03 14:04:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	146	94¢	$137	0xbd408a…
11-03 14:04:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0xff6a27…
11-03 14:03:57	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0x0b4c50…
11-03 14:03:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	146	94¢	$137	0xadc3b3…
11-03 14:03:33	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	733	94¢	$689	0x79f3d9…
11-03 14:03:16	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	366	94¢	$344	0xa43c11…
11-03 14:01:37	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x66f663…
11-03 14:01:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	434	94¢	$408	0x9134d0…
11-03 14:00:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0x039f89…
11-03 13:59:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x20a2f7…
11-03 13:58:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfd2e0b…
11-03 13:49:30	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	333	94¢	$313	0x0b1df6…
11-03 13:49:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	769	94¢	$723	0x11e31b…
11-03 13:44:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x030780…
11-03 13:44:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x826453…
11-03 13:44:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x2bd8df…
11-03 13:44:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xdf3102…
11-03 13:44:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7545c0…
11-03 13:44:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x1c0f62…
11-03 13:44:03	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe3bfb8…
11-03 13:44:03	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x4a4f04…
11-03 13:44:01	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xebe296…
11-03 13:44:01	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x88a225…
11-03 13:44:00	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8a3d0d…
11-03 13:43:58	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x5f89b8…
11-03 13:43:58	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x506f10…
11-03 13:43:57	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x5b068e…
11-03 13:43:57	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x00f9e9…
11-03 13:43:55	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xa270cf…
11-03 13:43:55	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x91b7a7…
11-03 13:43:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd2d088…
11-03 13:43:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9d8ae5…
11-03 13:43:52	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x69e3b8…
11-03 13:43:52	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x32ff27…
11-03 13:43:51	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x2285c0…
11-03 13:43:51	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0bc25f…
11-03 13:43:49	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xfcd290…
11-03 13:43:49	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xeb9853…
11-03 13:43:48	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x252f13…
11-03 13:43:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf5b689…
11-03 13:43:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe43e03…
11-03 13:43:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd02a75…
11-03 13:43:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xdbfbc8…
11-03 13:43:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x3925c2…
11-03 13:43:43	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe5ce9b…
11-03 13:43:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x4a8d54…
11-03 13:43:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x085f58…
11-03 13:43:40	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf9821a…
11-03 13:43:40	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xac999d…
11-03 13:43:40	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x315ff7…
11-03 13:43:39	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8bd019…