Amused-Venti — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$16.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$500

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

3,488 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$135.8K

$8.67M lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.49K

Open exposure

$94.5K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Politics

49% 97% +$22,437

Other

39% 98% +$85,903

Crypto

9% 100% +$5,353

Sports

3% 100% +$3,020

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+100,000	$94,000	94¢	$94.5K	+$500	11-03 01:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	67	$752.5K	757,903	0	+757,903	No	+$5,353	06-03 14:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	77	$668.0K	670,000	0	+670,000	Yes	+$2,010	06-17 13:58
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$599.4K	600,000	0	+600,000	Yes	+$600	06-17 23:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	163	$445.1K	469,972	0	+469,972	No	+$24,859	04-29 23:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	232	$424.0K	429,648	0	+429,648	Yes	+$5,668	05-12 21:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	42	$374.6K	394,080	0	+394,080	No	+$19,431	03-19 18:17
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	295	$308.5K	250,316	67,589	+182,727	Yes	+$6,976	01-28 09:51
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	51	$297.0K	300,000	0	+300,000	No	+$3,000	07-07 16:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	102	$279.5K	281,114	0	+281,114	Yes	+$1,587	03-17 20:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	110	$266.9K	268,156	0	+268,156	No	+$1,224	03-15 23:06
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	44	$248.7K	253,127	0	+253,127	No	+$4,390	03-04 19:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$210.5K	210,956	0	+210,956	Yes	+$422	04-27 01:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	128	$199.9K	205,653	0	+205,653	Yes	+$5,713	02-28 23:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$195.6K	195,835	0	+195,835	No	+$196	09-16 15:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	45	$179.1K	183,158	0	+183,158	Yes	+$4,070	02-02 22:02
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$173.9K	174,440	0	+174,440	No	+$573	04-30 20:09
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	32	$148.8K	154,361	0	+154,361	No	+$5,588	03-08 21:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	93	$148.1K	161,377	0	+161,377	No	+$13,282	03-30 12:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	90	$147.0K	149,342	0	+149,342	No	+$2,320	03-06 13:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	17	$114.0K	117,909	0	+117,909	No	+$3,947	04-15 00:40
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	31	$109.2K	110,060	0	+110,060	No	+$865	01-30 04:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	46	$103.8K	104,069	0	+104,069	No	+$308	04-24 22:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$99.8K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$200	05-27 19:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	9	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$300	06-26 05:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	55	$99.6K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$400	04-26 00:43
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	88	$97.0K	103,510	0	+103,510	No	+$6,530	01-23 21:02
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$96.5K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$3,500	03-19 13:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$95.7K	110,000	0	+110,000	Yes	+$14,300	10-21 14:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	61	$94.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	11-03 01:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	154	$82.2K	90,845	0	+90,845	No	+$8,606	05-15 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:50:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14,718	94¢	$13,835	0xcadbf6…
11-03 01:47:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	91	94¢	$86	0x79c8ff…
11-03 01:47:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0x21bf8d…
11-03 01:47:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0x46c5eb…
11-03 01:47:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$33	0x609e77…
11-03 01:47:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	182	94¢	$171	0x1cd693…
11-03 01:47:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	348	94¢	$328	0xd373ee…
11-03 01:47:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0xcf1bb8…
11-03 01:47:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	364	94¢	$342	0xbbe743…
11-03 01:47:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0xcf6949…
11-03 01:46:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	153	94¢	$144	0xef5d91…
11-03 01:46:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	246	94¢	$232	0x8824bf…
11-03 01:46:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	210	94¢	$197	0x80da60…
11-03 01:46:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x198012…
11-03 01:46:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x183c38…
11-03 01:46:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	190	94¢	$179	0x056b4d…
11-03 01:46:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	132	94¢	$124	0x2b5f9d…
11-03 01:46:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	268	94¢	$252	0x2132a0…
11-03 01:46:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	379	94¢	$356	0x66cdfa…
11-03 01:46:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x46318a…
11-03 01:46:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb53cc0…
11-03 01:46:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x8b9cbe…
11-03 01:46:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	380	94¢	$357	0x20395c…
11-03 01:46:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	188	94¢	$177	0xbc0c47…
11-03 01:46:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	211	94¢	$198	0xa7f351…
11-03 01:46:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x329c6c…
11-03 01:46:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	312	94¢	$293	0xf7796e…
11-03 01:46:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x37547e…
11-03 01:46:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	88	94¢	$83	0x1258ef…
11-03 01:46:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0xa88533…
11-03 01:46:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x461696…
11-03 01:46:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x45cf61…
11-03 01:41:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x39dcbc…
11-03 01:25:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0x3f9f92…
11-03 01:20:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x596439…
11-03 01:16:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xca6f53…
11-03 01:16:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x8f2c93…
11-03 01:15:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x66cb6d…
11-03 01:14:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x2ae35f…
11-03 01:13:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x43896e…
11-03 01:08:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	833	94¢	$783	0x72e392…
11-03 00:50:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xbf7221…
11-03 00:46:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	215	94¢	$202	0x73d718…
11-03 00:44:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x47839e…
11-03 00:44:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,851	94¢	$1,740	0x39962c…
11-03 00:41:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1f5c9e…
11-03 00:36:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,993	94¢	$4,693	0x3a534d…
11-03 00:35:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x6daeb8…
11-03 00:31:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x550abb…
11-03 00:31:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x031f65…
11-03 00:31:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20,000	94¢	$18,800	0x50d872…
11-03 00:30:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	900	94¢	$846	0x6dffab…
11-03 00:29:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12,078	94¢	$11,353	0xaf3013…
11-03 00:28:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xff1803…
11-03 00:28:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20,000	94¢	$18,800	0x0e2f99…
11-03 00:28:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x08d9cf…
11-03 00:15:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	161	94¢	$151	0x6f6e80…
11-03 00:11:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11,668	94¢	$10,968	0xaa7420…
11-03 00:09:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	108	94¢	$101	0x4818fa…
11-03 00:06:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,600	94¢	$1,504	0x1fa305…
11-03 00:04:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	467	94¢	$439	0x17c7ca…
10-31 16:15:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	750	100¢	$747	0x50b4c2…
10-31 16:07:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x94b460…
10-31 15:43:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	511	100¢	$509	0xf8e0ae…
10-31 15:16:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x3516a6…
10-31 15:16:22	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	345	99¢	$342	0x3f9578…
10-31 14:55:55	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x9df8d8…
10-31 14:55:55	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15968e…
10-31 14:55:49	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3c116f…
10-31 14:55:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x241815…
10-31 14:55:07	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x2cba10…
10-31 14:55:04	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xa1b7c1…
10-31 14:31:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	569	99¢	$565	0x63329f…
10-31 14:18:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0xc9f826…
10-31 13:29:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	278	99¢	$276	0xbf6aa0…
10-31 13:20:25	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,630	99¢	$3,605	0x8e87bf…
10-31 12:47:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	34,441	99¢	$34,200	0xf506a1…
10-27 02:56:11	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x3b5658…
10-27 01:23:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdce661…
10-27 01:23:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7a8206…
10-27 01:23:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa8c95…
10-27 01:23:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3b63e…
10-26 19:13:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xc597e8…
10-26 18:30:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x4a956e…
10-26 16:00:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0x1110a8…
10-26 15:10:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1,695	99¢	$1,682	0xf5f3d0…
10-26 15:09:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x211868…
10-26 12:22:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x01051d…
10-26 12:19:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xe35e87…
10-26 12:19:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xfde45a…
10-26 11:58:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x0b8d22…
10-26 11:58:27	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x3e28e0…
10-26 11:43:15	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbc3dce…
10-26 11:43:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1,197	100¢	$1,192	0xbc8586…
10-26 11:02:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x6c6807…
10-26 10:47:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1,395	100¢	$1,388	0x400fd3…
10-26 10:27:56	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf28256…
10-26 10:27:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x329d9b…
10-26 10:19:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x957170…
10-26 10:09:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	573	100¢	$570	0x2d5456…