Guilty-Trail 0xae5839…36e5c5
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
238
lifetime
Volume
$1.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$103
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-02 00:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
78% — —
Politics
22% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No -24 $-24 100¢ $-24 $-0 06-23 15:10
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No -13 $-13 96¢ $-13 $-0 06-11 16:29
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-19 14:40
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -6 $-6 92¢ $-6 $-0 06-19 04:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 12:28
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 93¢ $-5 $-0 06-21 20:59
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 05-30 06:18
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 02:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -4 $-3 84¢ $-4 $-0 06-28 22:07
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -4 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-29 17:29
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 94¢ $-3 $-0 05-30 13:21
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 06-08 11:16
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 11:59
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-16 10:35
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 08:30
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 21:41
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 18:46
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 03:28
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 05-30 12:50
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 07-01 14:15
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 21:55
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 88¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 19:28
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No -2 $-0 96¢ $-2 $-1 06-29 22:23
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No -2 $1 70¢ $-1 $-2 06-10 20:38
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 30¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 13:46
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +0 $1 88¢ $0 $-1 05-28 23:37
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $-0 06-14 00:07