Guilty-Trail 0xae5839…36e5c5
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$936
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
30.8%
Resolved
265
Trades
7,588
lifetime
Volume
$30.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$361
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-26 18:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
57% 47% -$579
Politics
42% 43% -$357
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +59 $59 94¢ $56 -$3 10-26 15:49
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +40 $68 96¢ $38 -$30 10-09 14:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +30 $30 94¢ $28 -$2 10-26 16:37
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +23 $23 92¢ $21 -$2 10-25 22:03
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 10-20 06:05
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +17 $17 97¢ $17 +$0 10-08 06:12
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +17 $15 94¢ $16 +$0 10-26 20:29
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +17 $15 90¢ $15 $0 09-08 06:06
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 94¢ $12 +$0 10-21 14:30
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 94¢ $11 $0 10-16 04:24
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-22 21:25
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? Yes +10 $9 97¢ $9 +$0 10-26 13:34
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +9 $9 92¢ $9 $0 10-26 18:12
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +9 $9 91¢ $9 $0 10-25 20:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9 $8 92¢ $8 $0 10-25 20:34
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 10-26 03:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11 $8 72¢ $8 $0 10-26 10:10
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $27 95¢ $7 -$20 10-22 18:28
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8 $7 86¢ $7 $0 10-18 04:25
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +6 $6 93¢ $6 -$1 10-12 21:35
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +8 $6 70¢ $6 $0 10-21 15:52
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 $0 10-21 23:46
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$0 10-22 09:37
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-26 09:49
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-26 09:32
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +5 $5 95¢ $4 $0 10-11 22:00
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $4 $0 10-08 10:54
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-08 13:38
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +5 $6 72¢ $4 -$2 10-26 01:30
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 $0 09-30 14:45