Guilty-Trail 0xae5839…36e5c5
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,350
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$231
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-22 04:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
77% — —
Politics
23% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 748 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +32 $28 86¢ $28 $-1 07-22 03:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No +21 $22 92¢ $20 $-2 07-19 17:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +21 $20 94¢ $19 $-0 07-19 22:56
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 92¢ $18 $-1 07-21 20:04
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +19 $17 88¢ $16 $-0 07-18 11:49
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 07-22 02:37
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-19 21:55
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No -147 $-4 5¢ $-8 $-4 07-14 20:11
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 88¢ $7 $-0 07-17 20:06
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -6 $-5 97¢ $-6 $-1 07-19 06:58
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? No +6 $6 95¢ $6 $-0 07-17 20:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -6 $-6 95¢ $-6 $-0 07-21 14:41
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6 $7 96¢ $5 $-1 07-22 04:14
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 07-22 00:53
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-22 07:34
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 07-18 20:01
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 07-21 23:25
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 07-14 07:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 12:28
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-22 04:59
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $6 90¢ $5 $-1 07-20 09:11
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 89¢ $5 $-0 07-19 06:43
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-5 14¢ $-5 $-0 07-21 14:36
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -4 $-3 92¢ $-4 $-1 07-18 02:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -4 $-2 86¢ $-4 $-1 07-20 18:29
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -4 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-29 17:29
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-3 92¢ $-4 $-0 07-21 21:09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 $-0 07-22 01:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $14 8¢ $3 $-11 07-22 04:14
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -3 $-3 95¢ $-3 +$0 07-17 21:59