Extraneous-Respite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.82K

Unrealized P&L

+$142

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

626

Trades

26,394

lifetime

Volume

$8.81M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$334

Open exposure

$3.59K

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-27 06:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

99% 75% -$315

Politics

1% 67% +$2,377

Crypto

0% 100% +$738

Sports

0% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 366 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+2,060	$1,707	84¢	$1.7K	+$13	10-26 21:15
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+884	$522	55¢	$482	-$40	10-27 06:28
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+884	$337	46¢	$402	+$65	10-19 15:22
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	+563	$400	68¢	$383	-$17	10-15 14:10
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	+220	$63	100¢	$220	+$157	10-17 16:24
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	+563	$223	32¢	$180	-$43	10-17 20:09
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+116	$96	70¢	$81	-$16	10-14 21:58
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+91	$55	70¢	$64	+$10	10-15 12:11
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+116	$21	30¢	$35	+$14	10-16 10:52
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+91	$28	30¢	$27	-$1	10-14 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	166	$246.6K	144,485	142,123	+2,362	No	+$1,805	07-18 22:47
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	638	$245.6K	147,541	147,541	+0	Yes	+$234	07-07 17:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	422	$236.8K	140,488	140,488	+0	Yes	+$2,386	07-15 20:52
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	248	$210.7K	109,340	109,340	+0	No	+$1,217	07-14 20:40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	409	$201.0K	123,435	116,817	+6,618	No	+$934	07-19 21:15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	403	$156.5K	133,057	133,057	+0	Yes	+$1,999	07-05 21:25
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	465	$151.1K	89,070	89,070	+0	No	+$1,218	07-07 01:27
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	373	$146.3K	97,736	82,377	+15,359	No	+$950	07-06 20:53
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	181	$143.9K	117,520	117,520	+0	England	-$1,459	07-18 22:54
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	213	$124.8K	69,973	69,973	+0	No	+$1,465	07-06 02:28
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	174	$97.1K	63,278	63,278	+0	No	-$693	07-11 22:14
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	354	$96.5K	73,014	73,014	+0	Yes	+$420	07-01 17:36
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	263	$89.3K	56,844	56,843	+1	Yes	+$1,356	06-29 19:00
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	147	$87.4K	44,750	44,750	+0	No	+$166	07-09 21:50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	112	$81.5K	59,390	44,083	+15,306	No	+$2,143	07-03 23:59
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	143	$81.1K	52,127	52,127	+0	Yes	-$2,340	07-03 00:56
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	121	$77.9K	40,962	40,962	+0	No	-$203	07-09 21:30
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	86	$75.8K	51,210	51,208	+3	Yes	-$3,002	06-25 21:38
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	183	$75.2K	48,067	48,067	+0	No	+$2,490	06-28 01:26
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	218	$74.9K	46,477	37,593	+8,884	No	+$802	07-07 17:56
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	238	$72.0K	49,257	49,257	+0	No	+$459	06-30 18:44
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	198	$71.2K	41,382	41,382	+0	No	+$241	07-10 20:34
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	130	$70.8K	49,910	42,676	+7,234	No	-$3,195	07-11 23:00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	149	$69.8K	41,294	41,294	+0	Yes	+$493	06-28 20:52
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	245	$69.8K	123,017	104,140	+18,878	No	+$1,749	06-24 03:37
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	60	$66.8K	39,724	39,724	+0	No	+$1,396	07-03 00:42
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	182	$66.1K	46,640	41,488	+5,151	Panama	+$1,109	06-27 22:55
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	221	$65.5K	62,400	62,400	+0	No	+$189	07-01 21:54
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	285	$65.0K	77,554	71,015	+6,540	Yes	+$1,766	10-26 01:43
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	84	$63.8K	39,855	25,910	+13,945	No	+$683	06-23 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:28:08	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	816	59¢	$481	0x409ef6…
10-27 06:22:03	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xf632b0…
10-27 01:48:51	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	3,120	1¢	$31	0xd92144…
10-27 01:48:18	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x2aa51e…
10-27 01:48:08	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdbf827…
10-27 01:47:44	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5fbde1…
10-27 01:32:14	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xf4459f…
10-27 01:32:00	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x18cdd7…
10-27 01:31:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x54062e…
10-27 01:28:44	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	337	96¢	$323	0x5e081f…
10-27 01:28:42	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xa16a57…
10-27 01:28:41	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	369	96¢	$354	0xe4d792…
10-27 01:28:27	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x3d2ddf…
10-27 01:28:26	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xefe1dd…
10-27 01:28:24	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x3f04f8…
10-27 01:28:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x5bb3a3…
10-27 01:27:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe3d81b…
10-27 01:27:20	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	70	96¢	$68	0x78dba1…
10-27 01:26:54	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xbc1ed9…
10-27 01:26:54	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	295	96¢	$283	0xb3f9a9…
10-27 01:26:54	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x571415…
10-27 01:26:53	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0xb4b082…
10-27 01:26:53	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	372	96¢	$357	0x079fc7…
10-27 01:26:39	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	263	3¢	$8	0xea1e80…
10-27 01:26:33	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9b7c59…
10-27 01:26:17	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	218	3¢	$7	0x6f64c7…
10-27 01:25:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x5c78bb…
10-27 01:25:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1ad024…
10-27 01:25:20	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	321	95¢	$305	0xf87aa9…
10-27 01:24:59	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc4cf56…
10-27 01:24:53	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x8124db…
10-27 01:24:44	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x1c751f…
10-27 01:24:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	2,512	3¢	$85	0x1aa810…
10-27 01:24:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	972	95¢	$923	0xbb49b6…
10-27 01:24:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x072e2a…
10-27 01:23:59	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x0f19c2…
10-27 01:23:53	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1f1f2e…
10-27 01:23:47	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x2c5321…
10-27 01:18:14	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xe719e7…
10-27 01:18:09	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	145	87¢	$126	0xcbf3bf…
10-27 01:18:09	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xc6f7a6…
10-27 01:18:09	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0x03f481…
10-27 01:17:45	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xfe83f7…
10-27 01:17:45	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	362	87¢	$315	0xcc358f…
10-27 01:17:41	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x2e243a…
10-27 01:17:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x0a6cf9…
10-27 01:17:35	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x53fc79…
10-27 01:17:35	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	80	87¢	$69	0x144ceb…
10-27 01:17:33	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2672d8…
10-27 01:17:26	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	342	87¢	$297	0xe60b78…
10-27 01:17:26	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x7228cc…
10-27 01:17:21	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	44	87¢	$39	0x27046a…
10-27 01:17:20	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x6ac78e…
10-27 01:17:18	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x6ba2a0…
10-27 01:17:18	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x20f510…
10-27 01:17:17	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x51dbf4…
10-27 01:17:17	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x0b9619…
10-27 01:17:15	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0c0185…
10-27 01:17:14	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x681e5e…
10-27 01:17:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xffb56f…
10-27 01:17:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x7a5cf5…
10-27 01:17:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x43147c…
10-27 01:17:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x08fd55…
10-27 01:17:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x04344e…
10-26 21:15:39	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,781	83¢	$1,478	0xae80f0…
10-26 20:59:20	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	279	82¢	$229	0x405bb2…
10-26 01:43:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,433	100¢	$3,429	0x592beb…
10-25 22:38:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,352	67¢	$1,576	0xec6fbd…
10-25 22:38:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,081	67¢	$724	0x41e5b2…
10-25 22:36:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,382	68¢	$2,300	0x7f7618…
10-25 22:34:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xfb9e00…
10-25 22:34:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,110	68¢	$1,435	0xc6fa75…
10-25 22:34:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xad53d7…
10-25 22:34:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	181	68¢	$123	0xac1354…
10-25 22:34:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x380bdd…
10-25 22:34:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	744	68¢	$506	0xd40072…
10-25 22:34:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xb544b8…
10-25 22:34:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb3b5a4…
10-25 22:34:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x25807c…
10-25 22:34:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x31219e…
10-25 22:24:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	322	20¢	$64	0xb24d93…
10-25 22:23:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x6994fa…
10-25 22:23:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xff92b8…
10-25 22:23:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	259	74¢	$192	0x2b41c8…
10-25 22:22:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4,916	27¢	$1,327	0x8b0012…
10-25 22:22:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0x0d0c9f…
10-25 22:22:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xd18f16…
10-25 22:22:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x749476…
10-25 22:22:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xf2edce…
10-25 22:22:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5,000	30¢	$1,500	0x89caad…
10-25 22:19:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,592	62¢	$987	0xfec370…
10-25 22:19:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,535	36¢	$553	0x22d4d0…
10-25 22:19:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,743	38¢	$662	0xf8284b…
10-25 22:19:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xffb047…
10-25 22:19:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xc46e9c…
10-25 22:19:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	995	38¢	$378	0xc60e67…
10-25 22:19:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	253	38¢	$96	0xc59378…
10-25 22:19:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x323bd9…
10-25 22:19:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0xf14152…
10-25 22:19:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	360	38¢	$137	0xcc6cc0…