Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17d2…c803b2
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.59K
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
84
Trades
74,670
lifetime
Volume
$2.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$627
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
64% 44% +$1,394
Politics
13% 50% $-7
Sports
12% 53% +$207
Crypto
9% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 654 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -307 $-276 94¢ $-290 $-14 07-18 14:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +237 $123 52¢ $123 +$0 07-20 16:21
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +80 $12 92¢ $74 +$63 06-13 05:18
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -479 $9 15¢ $-69 $-78 07-03 10:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -74 $-4 41¢ $-30 $-26 07-10 04:53
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -13 $-12 95¢ $-12 $-0 06-02 15:39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +13 $-5 86¢ $11 +$17 06-18 03:09
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 $-7 84¢ $-9 $-1 06-10 12:49
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +61 $8 11¢ $7 $-1 06-24 19:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-18 59¢ $0 +$18 07-05 17:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-33 48¢ $0 +$34 06-18 10:48
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +1 $-3 5¢ $0 +$3 06-20 12:50