Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17d2…c803b2
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
84
Trades
72,133
lifetime
Volume
$1.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$652
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
64% 44% +$1,394
Politics
13% 50% $-7
Sports
12% 53% +$207
Crypto
9% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 1044 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -307 $-274 90¢ $-275 $-2 06-20 08:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +286 $148 50¢ $142 $-6 06-24 09:51
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +721 $140 10¢ $68 $-72 06-29 10:44
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +188 $125 35¢ $66 $-59 06-30 16:29
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +80 $12 68¢ $55 +$43 06-13 05:18
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -13 $-12 97¢ $-13 $-0 06-02 15:39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +13 $-5 90¢ $12 +$18 06-18 03:09
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +61 $8 18¢ $11 +$3 06-24 19:31
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 $-7 64¢ $-7 +$1 06-10 12:49
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +277 $6 1¢ $2 $-4 06-25 18:34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? Yes +299 $6 0¢ $1 $-6 06-15 06:13
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-15 65¢ $0 +$15 06-17 06:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-33 50¢ $0 +$34 06-18 10:48
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $-6 1¢ $0 +$6 06-11 19:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-1 99¢ $0 +$1 06-20 03:53
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +1 $-3 3¢ $0 +$3 06-20 12:50
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +1 $-6 2¢ $0 +$6 06-22 21:15