Realized P&L
+$3.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$327
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
5,902
Trades
112,430
lifetime
Volume
$2.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.40K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 292 days
Categories
Other
67% 40% -$5,480
Politics
14% 43% +$4,767
Sports
11% 47% +$4,979
Crypto
6% 30% -$1,161
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$648
Tech
1% 50% +$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 613 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -307 -$294 96¢ $-296 -$2 07-24 01:36
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +258 $249 98¢ $253 +$4 10-28 02:37
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +714 $244 35¢ $248 +$3 10-28 02:28
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +299 $161 81¢ $242 +$80 10-28 19:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +931 $140 20¢ $191 +$51 10-26 14:47
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +179 $153 98¢ $175 +$22 10-28 19:10
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +189 $98 80¢ $151 +$53 10-24 04:38
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +300 $96 33¢ $98 +$2 10-27 23:51
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +487 $118 20¢ $97 -$20 10-28 20:02
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +96 $85 100¢ $96 +$11 10-28 00:35
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? No +166 $80 52¢ $85 +$6 10-03 18:06
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +76 $74 100¢ $75 +$2 10-25 20:51
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +71 $63 99¢ $70 +$7 10-27 20:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +71 -$177 84¢ $59 +$236 10-27 02:59
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +44 -$26 99¢ $43 +$69 10-28 12:52
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 Yes +300 $51 12¢ $36 -$15 10-01 22:06
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -232 -$74 16¢ $-36 +$38 05-08 11:02
ukraine coup attempt by december 31 No +34 $31 97¢ $33 +$2 08-15 07:57
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes +139 $30 12¢ $16 -$14 10-09 19:10
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +271 $33 6¢ $15 -$18 09-18 08:10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +13 -$5 98¢ $13 +$18 06-18 03:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -90 -$58 12¢ $-11 +$46 10-07 19:56
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +534 $361 2¢ $11 -$350 10-28 20:02
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? Yes -97 -$17 8¢ $-8 +$10 06-27 08:08
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +8 -$14 100¢ $8 +$22 10-27 20:01
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? Yes +111 $21 6¢ $7 -$14 09-29 16:19
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -277 $80 2¢ $-6 -$86 07-03 10:57
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -51 -$35 12¢ $-6 +$29 04-28 15:33
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -1,248 -$115 0¢ $-6 +$109 09-06 16:17
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes -91 -$31 6¢ $-5 +$25 05-21 15:32