Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

9.5%

Resolved

141

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$112

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-18

last 10-26 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

62% 4% -$39

Politics

20% 0% -$17

Sports

9% 0% -$9

Crypto

4% 6% -$4

Tech

4% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes		+167	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-25 09:52
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes		+67	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-23 17:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$8	2,567	0	+2,567	Yes	-$8	10-20 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?	3	$6	400	400	+0	No	+$2	10-20 05:02
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	7	$6	167	167	+0	open	—	10-26 01:42
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$5	231	231	-0	open	—	10-26 17:58
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	2	$4	3,000	0	+3,000	G2 Ares	-$4	10-19 17:42
Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	2	$4	3,000	0	+3,000	Jay Dylan Friend	-$4	10-20 05:39
Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin	3	$4	3,000	0	+3,000	Sho Shimabukuro	-$4	10-20 08:46
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	7	$3	67	67	+0	open	—	10-20 18:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 18?	3	$3	2,394	0	+2,394	No	-$3	10-18 18:53
Titans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5	3	$3	1,826	0	+1,826	Over	-$3	10-18 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	2	$2	1,420	0	+1,420	No	-$2	10-20 07:37
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	10-26 13:32
Florence: Sergi Perez Contri vs Dimitris Sakellaridis	32	$2	1,030	0	+1,030	Dimitris Sakellaridis	-$2	10-19 11:06
Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Columbus Crew	-$2	10-19 00:24
Spread: Colts (-14.5)	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Titans	-$2	10-18 20:09
Will Lyn 1896 FK vs. Moss FK end in a draw?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	10-18 18:23
Will San Marcos de Arica win on 2026-10-18?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	10-18 21:35
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	6	$2	52	52	+0	open	—	10-21 11:01
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)	1	$2	300	0	+300	Steelers	-$2	10-18 20:43
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	6	$1	67	67	+0	open	—	10-26 21:54
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-18?	1	$1	301	0	+301	No	-$1	10-18 23:01
Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	2	$1	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 05:10
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	2	$1	67	67	+0	open	—	10-26 13:55
SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5	1	$1	152	0	+152	Over	-$1	10-19 20:51
Spread: Rams (-9.5)	1	$1	750	0	+750	Cardinals	-$1	10-18 22:57
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	3	$1	67	67	+0	open	—	10-26 01:05
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.50 in October?	3	$1	367	0	+367	Yes	-$1	10-22 05:59
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$1	367	0	+367	No	-$1	10-26 17:49
Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$1	367	0	+367	No	-$1	10-26 17:43
Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$1	367	0	+367	open	—	10-26 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:54:17	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0xfdc22e…
10-26 21:46:20	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x91fac8…
10-26 21:11:00	Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xa1df7c…
10-26 21:08:32	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	197	0¢	$0	0x0b096e…
10-26 20:59:59	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xc30e4a…
10-26 20:59:59	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x7a8efa…
10-26 20:59:59	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x716dbc…
10-26 20:54:53	Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x2981b3…
10-26 20:21:27	Will Bodo/Glimt win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Club of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xa84348…
10-26 19:58:26	Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x85eca1…
10-26 19:10:05	Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x3c57f1…
10-26 18:20:33	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xbe6609…
10-26 18:11:11	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xb9238b…
10-26 18:08:20	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x7dbffc…
10-26 18:07:29	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xf2328b…
10-26 18:06:21	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xa524c0…
10-26 18:01:45	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3e1af1…
10-26 17:59:27	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x3bbef6…
10-26 17:58:30	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0x34b86e…
10-26 17:55:09	Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x32730a…
10-26 17:54:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x237fa4…
10-26 17:53:15	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xdca193…
10-26 17:53:15	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x05cca9…
10-26 17:52:27	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x7ce193…
10-26 17:51:03	Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xf70e02…
10-26 17:49:09	Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x86228b…
10-26 17:45:30	Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x72728b…
10-26 17:43:47	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xeedd73…
10-26 17:43:42	Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x422231…
10-26 17:30:06	Will João Neves finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x227b05…
10-26 17:24:03	Will Lamine Yamal finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xee4d9a…
10-26 17:17:26	Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x435492…
10-26 16:36:33	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xf8ddda…
10-26 16:36:33	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x2b6914…
10-26 14:05:59	Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x0badca…
10-26 13:55:57	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	No	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x1c390d…
10-26 13:32:42	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x08640b…
10-26 13:10:56	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x58a0c2…
10-26 13:06:12	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x2071c4…
10-26 12:22:05	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x3ae335…
10-26 12:04:05	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xab9eb0…
10-26 10:12:17	Will Manchester City be deducted 1-9 Premier League points?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd1db0b…
10-26 10:10:27	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x88a739…
10-26 10:09:53	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x35d36b…
10-26 08:05:33	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x79ff16…
10-26 08:04:30	Will Team Secret Whales Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5fb57d…
10-26 06:01:53	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x371a74…
10-26 01:45:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0xed320d…
10-26 01:42:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x6e58d6…
10-26 01:42:27	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6d86cc…
10-26 01:31:14	Will the Packers win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xa2ea4d…
10-26 01:29:44	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	77	2¢	$1	0x1cd684…
10-26 01:05:30	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	No	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x76fcf4…
10-26 00:14:05	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x87f8ae…
10-26 00:02:41	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa87670…
10-26 00:00:35	Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x0ffc33…
10-25 23:15:24	Will LYON Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x7977d7…
10-25 22:38:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x015546…
10-25 22:23:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xccc126…
10-25 22:01:53	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x3af001…
10-25 21:46:26	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x21487e…
10-25 20:45:39	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x054e7c…
10-25 20:42:30	Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xe4107c…
10-25 20:41:14	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa4bea9…
10-25 20:40:21	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xe58002…
10-25 20:21:30	Will C.J. Stroud be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xd3a317…
10-25 19:28:24	Will XRP reach $1.50 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf58bdd…
10-25 19:15:00	Will Christopher Bell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xbdbf32…
10-25 19:00:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x07282e…
10-25 18:01:50	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xbc5677…
10-25 17:55:08	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xecf2a6…
10-25 17:51:08	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1d0019…
10-25 16:55:00	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbff7c8…
10-25 16:22:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x964e2c…
10-25 14:42:53	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x65e0aa…
10-25 12:12:41	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x607a21…
10-25 11:10:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xe7637a…
10-25 10:22:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc05b3c…
10-25 09:52:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x4a9e15…
10-25 09:52:11	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5ffade…
10-25 09:52:11	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x355998…
10-25 05:50:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xf0592a…
10-25 05:50:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x224eba…
10-25 03:43:02	Will OpenRouter process less than 165T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x35b68a…
10-25 02:11:29	Will California have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x867749…
10-24 23:59:32	Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xd845cb…
10-24 23:42:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb09d36…
10-24 23:26:54	Will Minnesota have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xfecf41…
10-24 22:55:39	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x10e326…
10-24 22:38:08	Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x213467…
10-24 22:31:36	Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb7d93e…
10-24 22:26:32	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x23dc0c…
10-24 22:00:05	Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x70e14f…
10-24 21:19:41	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x83b5e8…
10-24 20:43:47	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x7bc596…
10-24 19:03:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 25?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xdcb654…
10-24 19:03:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 25?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbae590…
10-24 17:57:24	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x053897…
10-24 16:56:24	Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x07df62…
10-24 16:20:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x5bfbe3…