Realized P&L (24h)
-$530
Unrealized P&L
+$1.31K
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved (24h)
278
Trades (24h)
638
37,011 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$14.8K
$786.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$26.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 11-02 22:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
61% 89% +$3,129
Politics
34% 83% +$942
Sports
3% 92% +$180
Tech
2% 83% +$615
Crypto
0% 85% -$94
Pop-Culture
0% 90% +$72
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 1468 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,619 $1,608 99¢ $1.6K +$2 11-02 18:36
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +1,349 $1,234 92¢ $1.2K +$1 10-30 23:55
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +1,135 $1,125 98¢ $1.1K -$8 11-01 08:14
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,153 $1,123 95¢ $1.1K -$31 11-01 08:46
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,087 $1,086 100¢ $1.1K $0 10-28 17:25
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +1,185 $617 90¢ $1.1K +$448 11-01 16:52
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +1,070 $1,064 99¢ $1.1K -$1 11-01 18:09
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,181 $913 90¢ $1.1K +$149 11-01 02:14
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +1,088 $1,039 98¢ $1.1K +$23 11-01 02:14
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +1,020 $925 98¢ $1.0K +$79 10-07 05:02
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,028 $1,021 97¢ $999 -$22 10-29 17:56
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +960 $959 100¢ $959 $0 09-20 16:05
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +934 $932 100¢ $932 $0 10-23 20:49
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +924 $923 100¢ $921 -$2 09-19 23:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +970 $939 95¢ $920 -$20 11-02 15:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1,017 $973 88¢ $891 -$81 11-01 11:09
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +892 $891 100¢ $890 -$1 09-21 22:52
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +879 $873 100¢ $876 +$2 10-28 17:41
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +865 $237 99¢ $853 +$616 10-25 17:41
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +830 $828 100¢ $829 +$1 10-30 15:14
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +773 $770 99¢ $763 -$7 10-26 20:42
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? No +724 $710 99¢ $719 +$9 11-01 11:26
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,154 $461 60¢ $687 +$226 10-21 16:22
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +660 $645 99¢ $654 +$9 10-31 19:49
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +650 $649 100¢ $649 +$1 10-29 14:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +623 $621 100¢ $620 -$1 11-02 09:56
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +625 $613 98¢ $612 -$1 10-29 17:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +595 $588 99¢ $590 +$2 11-02 15:21
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +568 $566 100¢ $566 -$1 10-30 21:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +794 $619 67¢ $534 -$85 09-30 17:10