Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

-$83

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$624

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-02 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

91% 100% +$82

Other

9% 0% -$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+677	$420	58¢	$396	-$24	10-02 07:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1,297	$150	8¢	$110	-$40	10-02 07:09
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+259	$96	34¢	$87	-$9	10-02 07:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+41	$20	34¢	$14	-$6	08-28 10:06
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+76	$3	6¢	$5	+$2	10-02 07:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+51	$3	7¢	$3	+$0	10-02 07:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+29	$3	11¢	$3	$0	10-02 07:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+167	$3	2¢	$3	$0	10-02 07:18
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+356	$3	0¢	$2	-$1	10-02 07:17
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+302	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	10-02 07:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+157	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	10-02 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 07:18:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x786e68…
10-02 07:18:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xaab18a…
10-02 07:18:23	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xa682c5…
10-02 07:18:17	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0x9b9444…
10-02 07:18:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	157	2¢	$3	0x5193b9…
10-02 07:18:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	302	1¢	$3	0xcb52f0…
10-02 07:17:59	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	356	1¢	$3	0xbaf15e…
10-02 07:17:32	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	677	62¢	$420	0x63dbab…
10-02 07:10:56	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	259	37¢	$96	0xbbbac5…
10-02 07:09:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	562	8¢	$45	0xb0b37f…
10-02 07:07:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x8ac5fb…
09-03 16:21:00	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x75cfc2…
08-28 10:06:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe8ee6f…
08-10 16:05:22	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2546ba…
05-13 11:04:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xc2e09b…
04-29 22:13:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x3346a2…
04-22 18:15:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	857	1¢	$6	0xc2bec4…
04-22 18:15:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x83c56a…
03-23 22:22:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x084436…
03-23 21:39:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x370a7c…
03-16 21:20:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x95e113…
03-12 16:39:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x782e2c…
03-11 17:51:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xdddd2d…
02-28 21:24:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0x76aa58…
02-28 21:23:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	83	92¢	$77	0x6f27f9…
02-28 18:42:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x981465…
02-28 18:38:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	178	54¢	$96	0xd49f70…
02-28 13:36:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	59	60¢	$36	0xd1535d…
02-28 13:34:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	111	44¢	$49	0xb91b47…
02-28 13:34:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x595c44…
01-14 21:16:04	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	156	34¢	$53	0x3018ef…
01-14 21:13:04	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x960d61…
01-14 21:11:10	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x875165…