Spiteful-Yarn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$332

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-15 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$13

Other

37% 0% $-2

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?	No		-28	$-22	80¢	$-22	$-0	07-03 09:44
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No		+16	$9	86¢	$14	+$5	05-28 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will robert lowry be the republican nominee for tx 21	1	$66	69	0	+69	open	—	01-06 00:17
will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$54	65	6	+59	open	—	04-12 19:25
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$52	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 12:55
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$36	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 12:51
will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$34	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 13:58
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	3	$28	40	0	+40	No	+$13	04-26 11:05
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?	1	$22	0	28	-28	open	—	07-03 09:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$18	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 12:54
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	1	$12	100	0	+100	open	—	04-15 19:14
makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-15 19:37
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	2	$9	16	0	+16	open	—	05-28 05:40
will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	3	$6	0	100	-100	open	—	02-02 23:36
will the democratic coalition dk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$4	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 11:16
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	$-2	05-03 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 09:44:41	Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0x990dd1…
06-15 19:37:00	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x255fdb…
06-13 22:00:36	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2253e8…
05-28 05:40:44	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x02b755…
05-28 05:40:40	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6c737b…
05-03 05:53:06	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x19f582…
04-26 11:05:12	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x43c1a3…
04-26 02:01:16	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x6639dd…
04-26 02:00:50	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x38e1ae…
04-15 19:14:16	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x633beb…
04-12 19:25:13	will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x14e06a…
04-12 13:58:03	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x19da01…
04-12 13:52:53	will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x1b2750…
04-12 13:52:53	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x17c0d9…
04-12 13:52:47	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xe636cc…
04-12 13:45:37	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xf33b0b…
04-12 13:45:37	will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x0b32ef…
04-12 13:43:21	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0x2ce509…
04-12 13:43:21	will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x185fba…
04-12 13:39:53	will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x70e3c8…
04-12 12:55:11	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xbf9f91…
04-12 12:54:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x95e6c2…
04-12 12:51:45	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x81e9e5…
04-12 12:39:51	will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xdba6f7…
04-12 12:39:29	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x85157b…
04-12 12:32:43	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x997f89…
04-12 12:29:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xa575fa…
04-12 11:59:23	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd8a30d…
04-12 11:16:23	will the democratic coalition dk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x9aa5c5…
04-12 11:08:35	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x82ea41…
04-12 07:07:13	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7cf634…
04-10 09:26:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x025b56…
02-02 23:36:52	will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	No	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x87e3e6…
01-31 18:32:04	will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	No	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x3e7172…
01-24 00:11:24	will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x689202…
01-06 00:17:59	will robert lowry be the republican nominee for tx 21	No	BUY	69	97¢	$66	0x834b56…