Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 08-23 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

71% 60% +$24

Other

13% 40% -$23

Crypto

6% 100% +$49

Sports

5% 0% -$53

Tech

5% 0% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes		+1,113	$20	1¢	$14	-$6	05-28 11:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$189	179	179	+0	Yes	+$39	06-11 17:06
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	4	$180	564	564	+0	No	+$11	07-18 11:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$148	167	167	+0	Yes	+$48	06-13 17:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$60	39	39	+0	No	+$10	05-23 20:45
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	2	$60	239	0	+239	No	-$60	06-24 08:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	80	0	+80	Yes	+$30	05-12 22:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$35	59	0	+59	Yes	+$24	05-31 19:57
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$9	08-23 08:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$29	193	0	+193	Yes	-$29	06-28 20:24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$25	39	0	+39	Yes	+$14	05-10 13:54
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$25	69	0	+69	No	-$25	06-17 15:05
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$25	44	0	+44	Yes	-$25	06-23 14:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	1	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	-$20	07-18 11:44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$20	50	0	+50	No	-$20	05-31 20:03
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$20	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	05-28 11:23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	254	0	+254	No	-$20	07-04 20:12
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$19	240	0	+240	No	-$19	06-16 18:37
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	1	$16	30	0	+30	Yes	-$16	06-27 21:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$13	30	0	+30	No	+$17	07-03 16:56
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	-$12	05-10 15:33
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$11	42	42	+0	No	-$8	06-30 18:47
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	1	$10	29	0	+29	Yes	+$19	05-28 11:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$10	21	0	+21	No	-$10	05-31 19:48
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	3	$10	30	0	+30	Yes	-$10	06-18 18:25
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	15	0	+15	No	-$6	06-22 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 08:01:03	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x8f0a4b…
07-18 11:44:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x29e6d6…
07-18 11:22:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	564	17¢	$96	0x1d9ff0…
07-07 19:59:17	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5e28bf…
07-04 20:12:40	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	163	6¢	$10	0xf8820e…
07-03 16:56:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x350711…
06-30 18:47:17	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x2cd885…
06-28 20:24:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	193	15¢	$29	0xb9b51f…
06-27 21:24:32	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x76c7c7…
06-24 08:15:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	139	25¢	$35	0xfbc08e…
06-24 08:15:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0xcc272c…
06-23 14:44:56	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x168b8b…
06-22 19:10:26	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xd65998…
06-22 15:48:44	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	232	15¢	$35	0xf93281…
06-22 15:48:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0xe8149f…
06-22 15:47:38	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0xef930c…
06-18 18:25:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9213b2…
06-18 17:59:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7ac812…
06-18 17:56:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x630cdc…
06-17 21:27:52	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x64e0e8…
06-17 15:05:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x55fbcb…
06-16 20:16:02	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x65e6ab…
06-16 18:37:17	Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x8768cc…
06-16 18:36:38	Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x369aaa…
06-13 17:05:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	59¢	$98	0x878740…
06-11 17:06:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	179	64¢	$114	0xeb7ee2…
06-05 20:58:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x1a6f18…
06-05 20:58:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xf4f4a4…
06-01 18:57:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xdc47c2…
06-01 18:57:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x57c209…
06-01 18:57:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x42bbe4…
05-31 20:03:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcddb89…
05-31 20:02:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9f760b…
05-31 19:57:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	60¢	$35	0xc7d1fe…
05-31 19:48:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x420b2d…
05-28 11:26:14	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x050137…
05-28 11:23:58	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x22bd72…
05-28 11:23:42	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	678	1¢	$10	0x9eba8e…
05-23 20:45:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0xc2bf08…
05-12 22:16:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x56f74d…
05-12 22:16:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb669cd…
05-12 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x05cca6…
05-10 15:33:05	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x21e8fb…
05-10 13:54:14	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x3aa9c0…