Realized P&L
+$2.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
1,001
Trades
31,356
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$32
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
46% 62% +$1,115
Politics
26% 57% +$503
Sports
15% 75% +$923
Tech
9% 54% -$8
Pop-Culture
2% 81% +$49
Crypto
2% 51% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -260 -$5 2¢ $-5 +$1 09-22 07:01
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +100 -$1 2¢ $2 +$4 10-27 22:34
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +70 $0 3¢ $2 +$2 10-27 13:23
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes -30 -$12 6¢ $-2 +$10 10-27 01:25
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,200 $0 0¢ $2 +$2 10-11 16:17
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +470 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 09-21 07:26
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -348 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 10-23 23:20
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +274 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 10-27 16:08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +360 -$5 0¢ $1 +$6 10-27 19:29
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +110 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-27 02:46
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +240 -$4 0¢ $1 +$5 10-26 19:40
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +300 -$1 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 11:55
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +600 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-26 21:00
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -591 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 04:00
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +550 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 10-27 22:14
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +550 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-27 22:31
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +531 -$8 0¢ $1 +$9 08-09 06:49
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +520 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-27 15:40
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +35 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 10-23 21:07
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-26 21:10
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +341 -$9 0¢ $1 +$10 10-24 09:55
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes +12 -$2 4¢ $0 +$3 10-27 18:55
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? Yes -300 $4 0¢ $-0 -$4 10-21 07:03
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-27 02:53
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -290 -$10 0¢ $-0 +$9 08-17 07:38
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +70 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 10-27 22:16
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -60 -$5 1¢ $-0 +$5 10-27 05:12
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes -45 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 06-02 02:25
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? Yes -233 $2 0¢ $-0 -$2 10-21 07:03
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +84 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 18:42