Realized P&L
+$2.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
1,001
Trades
31,249
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$27
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
46% 62% +$1,115
Politics
26% 57% +$503
Sports
15% 75% +$923
Tech
9% 54% -$8
Pop-Culture
2% 81% +$49
Crypto
2% 51% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -260 -$5 1¢ $-4 +$2 09-22 07:01
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +63 -$1 4¢ $2 +$4 10-26 13:35
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes -30 -$12 7¢ $-2 +$10 10-27 01:25
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,200 $0 0¢ $2 +$2 10-11 16:17
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +470 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 09-21 07:26
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -348 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 10-23 23:20
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +110 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-27 02:46
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +210 -$3 1¢ $1 +$4 10-26 17:21
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +280 $1 0¢ $1 +$1 10-27 08:03
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +300 -$1 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 11:55
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +600 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-26 21:00
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -591 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 04:00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +531 -$8 0¢ $1 +$9 08-09 06:49
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-26 21:10
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +35 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 10-23 21:07
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +175 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-25 23:39
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +240 -$4 0¢ $1 +$5 10-26 19:40
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 10-27 02:53
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +341 -$9 0¢ $1 +$10 10-24 09:55
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? Yes -300 $4 0¢ $-0 -$4 10-21 07:03
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -290 -$10 0¢ $-0 +$9 08-17 07:38
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? Yes -233 $2 0¢ $-0 -$2 10-21 07:03
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 -$21 2¢ $0 +$21 10-27 06:14
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -60 -$5 1¢ $-0 +$5 10-27 05:12
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +173 -$5 0¢ $0 +$6 10-27 08:45
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes -45 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 02:25
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +31 -$2 1¢ $0 +$2 10-26 22:06
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? Yes -109 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-21 07:03
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes -47 $4 0¢ $-0 -$4 07-04 06:14
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? Yes -23 $3 0¢ $-0 -$3 10-21 07:02